Farmers, Ranchers, and Other Agricultural Managers

Management Occupations
O*NET-SOC code
11-9013.00

Plan, direct, or coordinate the management or operation of farms, ranches, greenhouses, aquacultural operations, nurseries, timber tracts, or other agricultural establishments. May hire, train, and supervise farm workers or contract for services to carry out the day-to-day activities of the managed operation. May engage in or supervise planting, cultivating, harvesting, and financial and marketing activities.

  • Data source: BLSPublished: 2026-08

    Moderate· relative

    LowFour relative bandsVery high

    Group-level value

    Scale, basis and source

    Four relative bands (Low / Moderate / High / Very high)

    831 detailed occupations in the BLS Employment Projections table. Assigned per National Employment Matrix (NEM) code, so occupations sharing a NEM code carry the same band

    Source dataset (XLSX download)

  • Data source: AnthropicPublished: 2026-03

    0.000

    0.000Range of values carried here0.745
    Scale, basis and source

    Observed exposure index, 0–1 as published

    Mapped onto O*NET tasks

    Published per SOC 2018 occupation; every O*NET occupation with the same SOC 2018 code carries this value

    Source dataset (CSV download)

  • Data source: ILOPublished: 2025

    0.22–0.27· 2 ISCO-08 groups

    Scale, basis and source

    Generative AI exposure index, 0–1 as published

    Published per ISCO-08 unit group. Linked to this occupation, wholly or in part, by applying U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics crosswalks (ISCO-08 to 2010 SOC, 2010 SOC to 2018 SOC) as published

    Source dataset (PDF download)

What kind of figure this source publishes

The BLS category is a relative rank, not an absolute level, and it is not a first-hand measurement: it groups an occupation's percentile ranks across several published studies into four bands. It is not an employment or wage forecast, not a probability of adoption, and it does not separate automation from augmentation.

ILO value for each linked ISCO-08 group
  • ISCO-08 1311Agricultural and Forestry Production Managers0.27
  • ISCO-08 1312Aquaculture and Fisheries Production Managers0.22

Task-level exposure

Exposed tasks only

30 rated tasks · 22 tasks with β ≥ 0.5 (73.3%)

β = direct exposure (E1) + 0.5 × exposure when tools are available (E2), per the source repository's definition.

  • Source unit: O*NET 27.2 tasks → O*NET 31.0 occupation code
  • All rated tasks are in the O*NET 31.0 task list.
Source
OpenAI "GPTs are GPTs" exposure rubric
Release
gh-main-0471612
License
MIT License, Copyright (c) 2024 OpenAI

Values in this tab are predicted labels, not observations. Eloundou et al. (2023) published two rating regimes — human raters and GPT-4 — and the β shown here is derived from the GPT-4 rater basis alone; the same task can take a different value under the other regime. The unit and the meaning differ from the observed shares (%) in the other tabs, so do not place them on the same axis.

Task (O*NET 27.2)βE1 + 0.5 × E2
Prepare reports required by state and federal laws.

O*NET Task ID 21378

1.0
Collect and record growth, production, and environmental data.

O*NET Task ID 21370

0.5
Determine how to allocate resources and to respond to unanticipated problems, such as insect infestation, drought, and fire.

O*NET Task ID 21374

0.5
Determine plant growing conditions, such as greenhouses, hydroponics, or natural settings, and set planting and care schedules.

O*NET Task ID 21375

0.5
Devise and participate in activities to improve fish hatching and growth rates, and to prevent disease in hatcheries.

O*NET Task ID 21376

0.5
Position and regulate plant irrigation systems, and program environmental and irrigation control computers.

O*NET Task ID 21377

0.5
Maintain financial, operational, production, or employment records for farms or ranches.

O*NET Task ID 21380

0.5
Coordinate clerical, record-keeping, inventory, requisitioning, and marketing activities.

O*NET Task ID 21381

0.5
Negotiate with buyers for the sale, storage, or shipment of crops or livestock.

O*NET Task ID 21383

0.5
Analyze soil to determine types or quantities of fertilizer required for maximum crop production.

O*NET Task ID 21385

0.5
Provide information to customers on the care of trees, shrubs, flowers, plants, and lawns.

O*NET Task ID 21386

0.5
Analyze market conditions to determine acreage allocations.

O*NET Task ID 21387

0.5
Replace chemical insecticides with environmentally friendly practices, such as adding pest-repelling plants to fields.

O*NET Task ID 21389

0.5
Conduct inspections to determine crop maturity or condition or to detect disease or insect infestation.

O*NET Task ID 21390

0.5
Conduct or supervise stock examinations to identify diseases or parasites.

O*NET Task ID 21391

0.5
Determine types or quantities of crops, plants, or livestock to be grown and raised, based on budgets, federal incentives, market conditions, executive directives, projected sales volumes, or soil conditions.

O*NET Task ID 21392

0.5
Determine, administer, and execute policies relating to operations administration and standards, facility maintenance, and safety.

O*NET Task ID 21393

0.5
Direct crop production operations, such as planning, tilling, planting, fertilizing, cultivating, spraying, and harvesting.

O*NET Task ID 21394

0.5
Evaluate marketing or sales alternatives for products.

O*NET Task ID 21395

0.5
Monitor activities, such as irrigation, chemical application, harvesting, milking, breeding, and grading, to ensure adherence to safety regulations or standards.

O*NET Task ID 21397

0.5
Monitor environments to ensure maintenance of optimum animal or plant life.

O*NET Task ID 21398

0.5
Obtain financing for and purchase necessary machinery, land, supplies, or livestock.

O*NET Task ID 21399

0.5
Manage nurseries that grow horticultural plants for sale to trade or retail customers, for display or exhibition, or for research.

O*NET Task ID 21371

0.0
Direct and monitor trapping and spawning of fish, egg incubation, and fry rearing, applying knowledge of management and fish culturing techniques.

O*NET Task ID 21372

0.0
Direct and monitor the transfer of mature fish to lakes, ponds, streams, or commercial tanks.

O*NET Task ID 21373

0.0
Inspect facilities and equipment for signs of disrepair, and perform necessary maintenance work.

O*NET Task ID 21379

0.0
Direct the breeding or raising of stock, such as cattle, poultry, or honeybees, using recognized breeding practices to ensure stock improvement.

O*NET Task ID 21382

0.0
Coordinate the selection and maintenance of brood stock.

O*NET Task ID 21384

0.0
Supervise the construction of farm or ranch structures, such as buildings, fences, drainage systems, wells, or roads.

O*NET Task ID 21388

0.0
Hire, supervise, and train support workers.

O*NET Task ID 21396

0.0

β = E1 + 0.5 × E2 · E1 = tasks where direct LLM access alone cuts time by at least 50%, E2 = tasks where software built on top of an LLM cuts time by at least 50%. Values take only 0 / 0.5 / 1.0.

Data sources & licenses — O*NET®, Eloundou et al. (2023): see full notices on the Credits page

All O*NET 31.0 task statements (30)

All O*NET 31.0 task statements for this occupation (English, as published; task type core or supplemental). Exposure values are not listed here; they are in the table above, next to each task statement as worded in the O*NET version each source used.

Task (O*NET 31.0)Type
Collect and record growth, production, and environmental data.Core
Manage nurseries that grow horticultural plants for sale to trade or retail customers, for display or exhibition, or for research.Core
Direct and monitor trapping and spawning of fish, egg incubation, and fry rearing, applying knowledge of management and fish culturing techniques.Core
Direct and monitor the transfer of mature fish to lakes, ponds, streams, or commercial tanks.Core
Determine how to allocate resources and to respond to unanticipated problems, such as insect infestation, drought, and fire.Core
Determine plant growing conditions, such as greenhouses, hydroponics, or natural settings, and set planting and care schedules.Core
Devise and participate in activities to improve fish hatching and growth rates, and to prevent disease in hatcheries.Core
Position and regulate plant irrigation systems, and program environmental and irrigation control computers.Core
Prepare reports required by state and federal laws.Core
Inspect facilities and equipment for signs of disrepair, and perform necessary maintenance work.Core
Maintain financial, operational, production, or employment records for farms or ranches.Core
Coordinate clerical, record-keeping, inventory, requisitioning, and marketing activities.Core
Direct the breeding or raising of stock, such as cattle, poultry, or honeybees, using recognized breeding practices to ensure stock improvement.Core
Negotiate with buyers for the sale, storage, or shipment of crops or livestock.Core
Coordinate the selection and maintenance of brood stock.Core
Analyze soil to determine types or quantities of fertilizer required for maximum crop production.Core
Provide information to customers on the care of trees, shrubs, flowers, plants, and lawns.Core
Analyze market conditions to determine acreage allocations.Core
Supervise the construction of farm or ranch structures, such as buildings, fences, drainage systems, wells, or roads.Core
Replace chemical insecticides with environmentally friendly practices, such as adding pest-repelling plants to fields.Supplemental
Conduct inspections to determine crop maturity or condition or to detect disease or insect infestation.—
Conduct or supervise stock examinations to identify diseases or parasites.—
Determine types or quantities of crops, plants, or livestock to be grown and raised, based on budgets, federal incentives, market conditions, executive directives, projected sales volumes, or soil conditions.—
Determine, administer, and execute policies relating to operations administration and standards, facility maintenance, and safety.—
Direct crop production operations, such as planning, tilling, planting, fertilizing, cultivating, spraying, and harvesting.—
Evaluate marketing or sales alternatives for products.—
Hire, supervise, and train support workers.—
Monitor activities, such as irrigation, chemical application, harvesting, milking, breeding, and grading, to ensure adherence to safety regulations or standards.—
Monitor environments to ensure maintenance of optimum animal or plant life.—
Obtain financing for and purchase necessary machinery, land, supplies, or livestock.—

Occupation information

Employment outlook (BLS)

Employment, 2025
789K
Projected employment, 2035
762K
Change (2025–35)
-3.4%
Median annual wage, 2025
$89,900
Typical education needed for entry
High school diploma or equivalent
lowest $30,890median wage across 825 detailed occupations, BLS EP 2025–35highest $559,030

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025–35 — Employment by detailed occupation, 2025 and projected 2035

Korea classification links (KSCO)

Links from the current release of the Korea Occupation Direct Crosswalk v1.1, made by AI Changing Work. Relation values are read from the O*NET-SOC occupation side.

KSCO codeKSCO titleRelationStatus
14901농림어업 관련 관리자This occupation is broaderconfirmed
61110곡식작물 재배원This occupation is broaderconfirmed
61130과수작물 재배원This occupation is broaderconfirmed
61121채소작물 재배원Related, not a matchconfirmed
61122특용작물 재배원Related, not a matchconfirmed
61311젖소 사육원Related, not a matchconfirmed
63012해조류 양식원Related, not a matchreviewed

Relation and status definitions(kr-direct v1.1)

ILO occupational description

AI Changing Work links the ISCO-08 unit groups below to this occupation by applying the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics crosswalks (2018 SOC to 2010 SOC, 2010 SOC to ISCO-08) as published, without case-by-case selection; each link may be whole or partial.

  • ISCO-08 1311Agricultural and Forestry Production Managers
  • ISCO-08 1312Aquaculture and Fisheries Production Managers

Sources: ILO ISCO-08 — details: Credits

ESCO occupational vocabulary

Each entry below is matched to this occupation in the published ESCO-O*NET Crosswalk (version 1, 2022). The match types are that crosswalk's; the wording is AI Changing Work's.

  • aquaculture hatchery managerESCO 6221.3This occupation is broader

    Aquaculture hatchery managers plan, direct, and coordinate the production in large-scale aquaculture operations to breed fish and shellfish, developing aquaculture breeding strategies using various types of spawning techniques. They control the reproduction and the early life cycle stages of cultured species. They supervise incubation, early feeding and rearing techniques of the cultured species.

  • aquaculture mooring managerESCO 6221.8This occupation is broader

    Aquaculture mooring managers carry out and supervise the mooring of cages in stable stations, drifting cages or even self-propelled and semi-submerged cages. They safely operate and moor a variety of different types of large-scale cages, manage conditions such as currents, wave climate and seabed profile, in open or semi-open water areas.

  • aquaculture production managerESCO 1312.3This occupation is broader

    Aquaculture production managers plan, direct and coordinate the production of fish, shellfish or other forms of aquatic life such as cash crops, in large-scale aquaculture operations to culture and harvest or for release into fresh, brackish or salt water.

  • aquaculture recirculation managerESCO 2132.3This occupation is broader

    Aquaculture recirculation managers control the production of aquatic organisms in land-based recirculation systems, manage water re-use processes and supervise complex circulation, aeration and biofilter systems.

  • crop production managerESCO 6114.1This occupation is broader

    Crop production managers plan the production, manage the enterprise and participate in the production process of crop production facilities.

  • horticulture production managerESCO 6113.2This occupation is broader

    Horticultural production managers plan the production, manage the enterprise and participate in the production

  • vineyard managerESCO 6112.6This occupation is broader

    Vineyard managers orchestrate the conduct of the vineyard and the winery, in some cases also the  administration and marketing.

  • mixed farmerESCO 6130.2Overlapping, not the same

    Mixed farmers are responsible for managing all aspects of livestock and crop production as a small enterprise or for self-sufficiency.

Source: European Commission, DG EMPL — ESCO API 2026-08-08 (bridge v1.2.1)

License: CC BY 4.0 (EU Reuse Notice)

View original

ESCO reuse terms and the modification notice are in Credits.

France classification links (ROME)

AI Changing Work's links between this occupation and ROME 4.0 job profiles, judged with AI models. Relations are read from this occupation's side. Links marked “provisional” were adopted on the judgments of two judges from the same model family (Claude) alone, or by an operator rule applied to their judgments, so they rest on weaker evidence than confirmed links.

ROME codeROME title (French)Relation
A1404Aquaculteur / AquacultriceThis occupation is broader
A1407Eleveur / Eleveuse de bovinsThis occupation is broader
A1408Eleveur / Eleveuse d'animaux sauvagesThis occupation is broader
A1414Horticulteur / HorticultriceThis occupation is broader
A1416Exploitant / Exploitante agricoleThis occupation is broader
A1420Chef / Cheffe de culture responsable d'unité de production agricoleThis occupation is broader
A1424Pisciculteur / PiscicultriceThis occupation is broader
A1428Algoculteur / AlgocultriceThis occupation is broader
A1429Apiculteur / ApicultriceThis occupation is broader
A1405Arboriculteur / ArboricultriceThis occupation is broaderprovisional
A1409Aviculteur / AvicultriceThis occupation is broaderprovisional
A1410Eleveur / Eleveuse d'ovinsThis occupation is broaderprovisional
A1411Eleveur / Eleveuse de porcinsThis occupation is broaderprovisional
A1432Osiériculteur / OsiéricultriceThis occupation is broaderprovisional
A1433Maraîcher / MaraîchèreThis occupation is broaderprovisional
A1434Tabaculteur / TabacultriceThis occupation is broaderprovisional
A1437ChampignonnisteThis occupation is broaderprovisional
A1439Eleveur / Eleveuse d'équidésThis occupation is broaderprovisional
A1440Cultivateur urbain / Cultivatrice urbaineThis occupation is broaderprovisional
A1441PépiniéristeThis occupation is broaderprovisional
A1442Eleveur / Eleveuse de lapinsThis occupation is broaderprovisional
A1309Technicien / Technicienne d'élevage équinRelated, not a match
A1417Saliculteur / SalicultriceRelated, not a match
A1418Viticulteur / ViticultriceRelated, not a match

Source: France Travail — Répertoire Opérationnel des Métiers et des Emplois (ROME 4.0), version 61, last updated 15 June 2026 (https://www.data.gouv.fr/datasets/repertoire-operationnel-des-metiers-et-des-emplois-rome). Licence Ouverte 2.0.

ROME codes and titles are reproduced unchanged; the links to O*NET-SOC occupations are AI Changing Work's own judgment and are not a France Travail correspondence.

(AI Changing Work link release: fr-direct v1)

Spain classification links (CNO-11)

AI Changing Work's links between this occupation and CNO-11 occupations, judged with AI models. Relations are read from this occupation's side.

CNO-11 codeCNO-11 title (Spanish)Relation
1311Directores de producción de explotaciones agropecuarias y forestalesSame scopeprovisional
1312Directores de producción de explotaciones pesqueras y acuícolasThis occupation is broaderprovisional
6110Trabajadores cualificados en actividades agrícolas (excepto en huertas, invernaderos, viveros y jardines)Related, not a matchprovisional
6202Trabajadores cualificados en actividades ganaderas de ovino y caprinoRelated, not a matchprovisional
6203Trabajadores cualificados en actividades ganaderas de porcinoRelated, not a matchprovisional
6204Trabajadores cualificados en apicultura y sericiculturaRelated, not a matchprovisional
6300Trabajadores cualificados en actividades agropecuarias mixtasRelated, not a matchprovisional

Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE), National Classification of Occupations 2011 (CNO-11, Royal Decree 1591/2010) — www.ine.es · Licensed CC BY 4.0. CNO-11 codes and Spanish titles are reproduced unchanged; the links to O*NET occupations are AI Changing Work's own judgment and are not an INE correspondence.

(AI Changing Work link release: es-direct v1)

Germany classification links (KldB)

AI Changing Work's links between this occupation and KldB occupations, judged with AI models. Relations are read from this occupation's side.

KldB codeKldB title (German)Relation
11194Führungskräfte - LandwirtschaftThis occupation is broader
11294Führungskräfte - TierwirtschaftThis occupation is broader
11494Führungskräfte - FischwirtschaftThis occupation is broader
12194Führungskräfte - GartenbauThis occupation is broader
11394Führungskräfte - PferdewirtschaftThis occupation is broaderprovisional
11694Führungskräfte - WeinbauThis occupation is broaderprovisional
11794Führungskräfte - Forst- und Jagdwirtschaft, LandschaftspflegeThis occupation is broaderprovisional
11102Berufe in der Landwirtschaft (ohne Spezialisierung) - fachlich ausgerichtete TätigkeitenOverlapping, not the same
11193Aufsichtskräfte - LandwirtschaftRelated, not a match
11602Berufe im Weinbau - fachlich ausgerichtete TätigkeitenRelated, not a matchprovisional
11693Aufsichtskräfte - WeinbauRelated, not a matchprovisional
12112Berufe im Obst- und Gemüsebau - fachlich ausgerichtete TätigkeitenRelated, not a matchprovisional
12122Berufe in Baumschule, Staudengärtnerei und Zierpflanzenbau - fachlich ausgerichtete TätigkeitenRelated, not a matchprovisional

Source: © Statistik der Bundesagentur für Arbeit — Klassifikation der Berufe 2010 – überarbeitete Fassung 2020, https://statistik.arbeitsagentur.de. KldB codes and titles are reproduced unchanged; the links to O*NET occupations are AI Changing Work's own mapping (eigene Zuordnung) and are not a Bundesagentur für Arbeit correspondence.

(AI Changing Work link release: de-direct v1)

Japan classification links (JSCO)

AI Changing Work's links between this occupation and JSCO occupations, judged with AI models. Relations are read from this occupation's side.

JSCO codeJSCO title (Japanese)Relation
461農耕従事者Overlapping, not the same
462養畜従事者Related, not a match
484水産養殖従事者Related, not a match

Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (MIC), Japan Standard Occupational Classification (Dec. 2009, MIC Notification No. 555). JSCO codes and Japanese titles are reproduced unchanged; the links to O*NET occupations are AI Changing Work's own judgment and are not a MIC correspondence.

(AI Changing Work link release: jp-direct v1)

Sources, licenses and AI Changing Work's modification and translation notices for this page: Credits & sources