🇺🇸AcademicMar 25, 2026
The AI Layoff Trap: Automation Arms Race
arXiv (Wharton)
Wharton arXiv paper: AI layoff trap — companies racing to automate create collective action problem that could backfire.
AI & Labor Policy Timeline
Track how governments and institutions worldwide are responding to AI's impact on jobs.
Data from January 2025 onwards
Country:
Type:
March 2026
🇺🇸CorporateMar 24, 2026
Economic Index March 2026: Learning Curves
Anthropic
Anthropic Economic Index March 2026: 49% of jobs now use AI for 25%+ of tasks. Learning curves show early adopters pulling ahead.
🇺🇸CorporateMar 22, 2026
How AI Is Transforming Work at Anthropic (Internal Data)
Anthropic
Anthropic internal data: engineers use AI for 59% of their work. Reveals actual usage patterns vs external estimates.
🇺🇸Think TankMar 20, 2026
Building Pro-Worker AI
Brookings (Acemoglu, Autor, Johnson)
Acemoglu, Autor, Johnson (Brookings): three leading economists argue current AI development path harms workers.
🇺🇸AcademicMar 20, 2026
AI Hiring Is Booming While Everything Else Stalls
Stanford HAI + Indeed
Stanford HAI + Indeed data: AI hiring surges while non-AI hiring stalls, creating a two-track labor market.
🇺🇸MediaMar 18, 2026
AI and the Entry-Level Job
Harvard Business Review + IBM
IBM triples entry-level hiring while competitors cut. HBR case study on contrarian AI workforce strategy.
🇺🇸MediaMar 18, 2026
How AI Is Changing the Labor Market
Dallas Federal Reserve + HBR
HBR + Dallas Fed synthesis: AI simultaneously helps and hurts workers through different channels — productivity vs displacement.
🇺🇸AcademicMar 18, 2026
Gen AI Wont Make Your Employees Experts
Stanford + Harvard
Stanford-Harvard study: AI cannot bridge expertise gaps. 8-month field study shows AI amplifies existing skill differences.
🇺🇸GovernmentMar 17, 2026
AI and Young Workers: Employment Effects
Dallas Federal Reserve
Dallas Fed data shows youth employment in tech declining since early 2022, months before ChatGPT launch.
🇺🇸Think TankMar 16, 2026
New Data Show No AI Jobs Apocalypse — For Now
Brookings Institution
Brookings 33-month analysis shows no mass AI unemployment yet, but identifies emerging warning signs in specific sectors.
🇺🇸Think TankMar 15, 2026
Research on AI and the Labor Market Is Still in the First Inning
Brookings Institution
Brookings meta-analysis argues AI labor research is in its earliest stages — most claims outrun the evidence.
🇺🇸MediaMar 15, 2026
Karpathy AI Job Exposure Score for Every US Job
Andrej Karpathy / Fortune
Karpathy (ex-OpenAI) scores every US job for AI exposure. White-collar professionals show highest vulnerability.
🌍InternationalMar 15, 2026
World Employment and Social Outlook: Trends 2026
ILO
ILO flagship report: global unemployment at 186M, AI paradox of productivity gains without job recovery. 408M lack adequate work.
🇺🇸Think TankMar 15, 2026
AI Labor Displacement and the Limits of Worker Retraining
Brookings Institution
Brookings examines historical retraining programs and finds limited success rates for displaced workers.
🌍InternationalMar 15, 2026
Generative AI and Jobs: Refined Global Index of Occupational Exposure
ILO
ILO refined index across 138 countries: women face 2x automation risk due to occupational segregation patterns.
🇺🇸Think TankMar 10, 2026
Measuring US Workers Capacity to Adapt to AI-Driven Job Displacement
Brookings Institution
Brookings measures 6.1M US workers with high AI exposure but low capacity to adapt — structural vulnerability mapping.
🇺🇸Think TankMar 5, 2026
AI and Young-Adult Jobs: The Real Mystery
Economic Innovation Group
EIG study challenges AI-youth-jobs narrative: employment decline has non-AI causes including post-pandemic corrections.
🇮🇳CorporateMar 1, 2026
India Brief: Economic Index
Anthropic
Anthropic India Brief: worlds 2nd largest AI user base but 101st in per-capita adoption — the scale vs depth gap.
February 2026
🇺🇸CorporateFeb 28, 2026
February 2026 Job Cuts Report
Challenger, Gray & Christmas
Challenger reports 12,304 AI-cited job cuts in Jan-Feb 2026 while hiring plans fell 56% year-over-year.
🇺🇸MediaFeb 20, 2026
AI Doesnt Reduce Work — It Intensifies It
Harvard Business Review
HBR 8-month field study finds AI increases work intensity rather than reducing workload — the productivity paradox.
🇺🇸Think TankFeb 15, 2026
Is Generative AI a Job Killer? Evidence From the Freelance Market
Brookings Institution
Brookings freelance market study: high-skilled freelancers hardest hit by AI, contradicting low-skill displacement narrative.
🇺🇸AcademicFeb 1, 2026
Payrolls to Prompts: Firms Replacing Labor With AI
arXiv (Payrolls to Prompts)
arXiv study: firms spend just 3 cents on AI for every dollar cut from freelance budgets — substitution is incomplete.
January 2026
🌍AcademicJan 28, 2026
Graph-Based Analysis of AI-Driven Labor Market Transitions
arXiv
Analyzes 9,978 Egyptian job postings using knowledge graphs. Finds 20.9% of jobs face high automation risk, but only 24.4% of at-risk workers have viable transition pathways. 75.6% face structural barriers requiring comprehensive reskilling, not incremental upskilling. Process-oriented skills appear in 15.6% of feasible transitions.
🇺🇸MediaJan 20, 2026
Companies Are Laying Off Workers Because of AIs Potential, Not Performance
Harvard Business Review
HBR analysis: CEOs are laying off workers based on AI potential, not demonstrated performance. Only 1 in 50 AI investments are transformative.
🇺🇸CorporateJan 15, 2026
Anthropic Economic Index: January 2026
Anthropic
Anthropic Economic Index: actual AI productivity gain is 1.0%, not the 1.8% headline — most usage is augmentation, not automation.
🇺🇸AcademicJan 10, 2026
AI-Exposed Jobs Deteriorated Before ChatGPT
University of Pittsburgh + RAND
Pittsburgh/RAND study of 10.5M LinkedIn profiles: AI-exposed jobs deteriorated 8-10 months before ChatGPT launch.
December 2025
🌍CorporateDec 15, 2025
AI Jobs Barometer 2025
PwC
PwC barometer finds AI-exposed jobs show 4x productivity gains and 56% wage premium over non-exposed roles.
🇺🇸GovernmentDec 1, 2025
Incorporating AI Impacts in BLS Employment Projections 2024-34
Bureau of Labor Statistics
BLS incorporates AI impacts into official 2024-34 employment projections for the first time — methodology shift.
June 2025
🇺🇸AcademicJun 1, 2025
AI Index Report 2025
Stanford HAI
Stanford HAI AI Index 2025: comprehensive cross-country analysis of AI adoption rates vs unemployment trends.
March 2025
🇺🇸AcademicMar 24, 2025
Augmenting or Automating Labor? The Dual Impact of AI on Jobs and Wages
arXiv
Studies 2015-2022 US data using instrumental variables. Finds automation AI negatively impacts new work, employment, and wages in low-skilled occupations, while augmentation AI fosters new work and raises wages for high-skilled occupations. Concludes AI may accelerate existing wage inequality.