Computer Programmers

Computer & Mathematical
TaskClaude.aiRaw / share %APIRaw / share %
Develop Web sites.

15-1251

0.520032.10
Correct errors by making appropriate changes and rechecking the program to ensure that the desired results are produced.

15-1251

0.330020.40.430032.3
Write, analyze, review, and rewrite programs, using workflow chart and diagram, and applying knowledge of computer capabilities, subject matter, and symbolic logic.

15-1251

0.280017.30.380028.6
Write, update, and maintain computer programs or software packages to handle specific jobs such as tracking inventory, storing or retrieving data, or controlling other equipment.

15-1251

0.280017.30.210015.8
Perform or direct revision, repair, or expansion of existing programs to increase operating efficiency or adapt to new requirements.

15-1251

0.15009.30.210015.8
Compile and write documentation of program development and subsequent revisions, inserting comments in the coded instructions so others can understand the program.

15-1251

0.03001.90.03002.3
Conduct trial runs of programs and software applications to be sure they will produce the desired information and that the instructions are correct.

15-1251

0.01000.60.05003.8
Prepare detailed workflow charts and diagrams that describe input, output, and logical operation, and convert them into a series of instructions coded in a computer language.

15-1251

0.01000.60.01000.8
Write or contribute to instructions or manuals to guide end users.

15-1251

0.01000.60.00000.0
Investigate whether networks, workstations, the central processing unit of the system, or peripheral equipment are responding to a program's instructions.

15-1251

0.00000.00.01000.8

Data sources & licenses — O*NET®, Anthropic Economic Index, Eloundou et al. (2023): see full notices on the Credits page

Exposure figures by source

This site carries AI exposure figures from 4 datasets. For this occupation, 4 of them publish a figure of the kind shown below; the 3 published most recently are displayed. The full list is on the Credits & Sources page.

  • Data source: BLS

    Very high

    Four relative bands (Low / Moderate / High / Very high)

    831 detailed occupations in the BLS Employment Projections table. Assigned per National Employment Matrix (NEM) code, so occupations sharing a NEM code carry the same band

    Source dataset (XLSX download)

  • Data source: Anthropic

    0.745

    Observed exposure index, 0–1 as published

    Mapped onto O*NET tasks

    Source dataset

  • Data source: ILO

    0.57

    Generative AI exposure index, 0–1 as published

    ISCO-08 unit group — every occupation sharing the code gets this value

    Source dataset

Each figure is published on its own scale and measures something different, so they cannot be added, averaged, or ranked against one another.

The BLS category is a relative rank, not an absolute level, and it is not a first-hand measurement: it groups an occupation's percentile ranks across several published studies into four bands. It is not an employment or wage forecast, not a probability of adoption, and it does not separate automation from augmentation.

BLS draws on research that is also shown here — Anthropic — so a resemblance between them is not independent confirmation but the same input read twice.

ILO

AI exposure (ILO)

0.57 / 1

top 7% of all occupations

All-occupation min 0.09across all occupationsAll-occupation max 0.70

Source: ILO Working Paper 140

Occupation information

Recent Changes Affecting This Occupation

May 2026: Anthropic observed-exposure score: 75% (highest in dataset). Highest in dataset (75%). Computer & Math category overall sits at 33% observed vs 90% theoretical.

[Source: Anthropic Economic Research (Massenkoff & McCrory, 2026)]

Apr 2026: BOK research identifies codified, textbook-style knowledge work as most AI-vulnerable. Korean youth employment in AI-exposed coding/programming roles shows paradoxical growth (+1.2pp) but collapsing new-hire rates.

[Source: Bank of Korea Employment Research (2025)]

Mar 2026: Dallas Fed: Computer systems design sector shows employment decline of 5% alongside 16.7% wage growth, suggesting AI automates routine coding while rewarding complex problem-solving.

[Source: Dallas Fed (Feb 2026)]