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Firefighters

Protective Servicevery lowaugment
BLS 2024-34: +4%
Median Wage: $57,120
Employment: 331K

Overall Exposure

6+2

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

10

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

2

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

3

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

612
+6

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

1016
+6

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

26
+4

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

36
+3

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
20234812actual
20245913actual
202561023actual
202681234estimated
2027101445estimated
2028121666estimated

Task Breakdown

Fight fires
1%β 0

About This Occupation

If you work as a Firefighters, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 3/100 and overall exposure at 6%, this role faces low transformation. The highest-impact area is fight fires at 1% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role. BLS projects +4% growth through 2034. Professionals who embrace AI tools will see their capabilities significantly amplified.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 3%, Firefighters has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

The AI automation risk score for Firefighters is 3% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 6%, with 10% theoretical exposure and 2% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +1 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Firefighters are: Fight fires (1%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects +4% employment change for Firefighters from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 6%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Firefighters should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.