Notaries Public
Overall Exposure
2025 vs 2023
Theoretical Exposure
88What AI could do
Observed Exposure
48What AI actually does
Automation Risk Score
72Displacement risk
3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)
Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.
Overall Exposure
2025 → 2028 (estimated)
Theoretical Exposure
2025 → 2028 (estimated)
Observed Exposure
2025 → 2028 (estimated)
Automation Risk
2025 → 2028 (estimated)
Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)
Detailed Metrics Table
| Year | Overall | Theoretical | Observed | Risk | Data Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 52 | 68 | 28 | 48 | actual |
| 2024 | 64 | 78 | 38 | 60 | actual |
| 2025 | 76 | 88 | 48 | 72 | actual |
| 2026 | 83 | 92 | 55 | 79 | estimated |
| 2027 | 88 | 95 | 61 | 84 | estimated |
| 2028 | 92 | 97 | 66 | 88 | estimated |
Task Breakdown
About This Occupation
If you work as a Notary Public, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 72/100 and overall exposure at 76%, this role faces very high transformation. The highest-impact area is maintain notarial journal and records at 92% automation. This is classified as an 'automate' role. BLS projects -5% growth through 2034. Remote online notarization (RON) platforms with AI identity verification are rapidly replacing in-person notarizations, and blockchain-based document certification may further reduce demand for traditional notaries.
Frequently Asked Questions
With an automation risk score of 72%, Notaries Public faces a significant risk of AI-driven displacement. Many core tasks in this role can be automated by current AI systems. However, full replacement is unlikely in the near term -- AI will more likely transform the role rather than eliminate it entirely.
The AI automation risk score for Notaries Public is 72% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 76%, with 88% theoretical exposure and 48% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +24 points.
The tasks with the highest automation potential for Notaries Public are: Maintain notarial journal and records (92%), Verify signer identity and document authenticity (88%), Ensure compliance with state notary laws (70%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.
The BLS projects -5% employment change for Notaries Public from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 76%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.
Since AI primarily automates tasks in this role, professionals in Notaries Public should focus on developing skills that complement AI rather than compete with it. Consider learning AI tool management, shifting toward supervisory and quality-control tasks, and building expertise in areas where human judgment remains essential.
Recent AI Impact Changes
Mar 2026: Published evergreen blog post analyzing AI impact on notaries: 76% exposure, 72% automation risk, RON disruption analysis.
[Source: AI Changing Work Blog]