All occupations
Export

Nurse Practitioners

Healthcaremediumaugment
Projected change (est.): ~+40%
Median Wage (est.): ~$126,260
Employment (est.): ~265K

Overall Exposure

31+11

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

48

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

16

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

22

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

3146
+15

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

4865
+17

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

1628
+12

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

2234
+12

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Task Breakdown

Review and interpret diagnostic data
58%β 1
Document clinical notes and prescriptions
65%β 1
Perform patient assessments and triage
18%β 0
Educate patients on health management
30%β 0.5

About This Occupation

If you work as a Nurse Practitioner, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 22/100 and overall exposure at 31%, this role faces medium transformation. The highest-impact area is document clinical notes and prescriptions at 65% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role, where AI-powered clinical decision support and documentation tools enhance diagnostic accuracy while direct patient care and relationship-building remain firmly human. BLS projects +40% growth through 2034, one of the fastest-growing healthcare occupations.

ISCO-08 classification

Unit group 2221ILO official

Nursing Professionals

Definition

ILO original text (English)

Nursing professionals provide treatment, support and care services for people who are in need of nursing care due to the effects of ageing, injury, illness or other physical or mental impairment, or potential risks to health. They assume responsibility for the planning and management of the care of patients, including the supervision of other health care workers, working autonomously or in teams with medical doctors and others in the practical application of preventive and curative measures.

Definition & vocabulary source

Source: International Labour Organization (ILO) — ISCO-08 Structure

License: ILO CC BY 4.0

View original

Official occupational information

  • ONET29-1141.00

    Registered Nurses

    Assess patient health problems and needs, develop and implement nursing care plans, and maintain medical records. Administer nursing care to ill, injured, convalescent, or disabled patients. May advise patients on health maintenance and disease prevention or provide case management. Licensing or registration required.

    View original
  • ONET29-1141.01

    Acute Care Nurses

    Provide advanced nursing care for patients with acute conditions such as heart attacks, respiratory distress syndrome, or shock. May care for pre- and post-operative patients or perform advanced, invasive diagnostic or therapeutic procedures.

    View original
  • ONET29-1141.04

    Clinical Nurse Specialists

    Direct nursing staff in the provision of patient care in a clinical practice setting, such as a hospital, hospice, clinic, or home. Ensure adherence to established clinical policies, protocols, regulations, and standards.

    View original
  • ONET29-1151.00

    Nurse Anesthetists

    Administer anesthesia, monitor patient's vital signs, and oversee patient recovery from anesthesia. May assist anesthesiologists, surgeons, other physicians, or dentists. Must be registered nurses who have specialized graduate education.

    View original
  • ONET29-1171.00

    Nurse Practitioners

    Diagnose and treat acute, episodic, or chronic illness, independently or as part of a healthcare team. May focus on health promotion and disease prevention. May order, perform, or interpret diagnostic tests such as lab work and x rays. May prescribe medication. Must be registered nurses who have specialized graduate education.

    View original

Source: O*NET 30.2, U.S. DOL/ETA

License: CC BY 4.0

View original

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 22%, Nurse Practitioners has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

Our estimated AI automation risk score for Nurse Practitioners is 22% for 2025. Estimated overall AI exposure is 31%, with 48% theoretical exposure and 16% observed exposure. The estimated risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +9 points. All of these are model-generated estimates, not measurements.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Nurse Practitioners are: Document clinical notes and prescriptions (65%), Review and interpret diagnostic data (58%), Educate patients on health management (30%). These rates are our own estimates of how much of each task current AI systems can handle. They are not measurements and are not taken from any external dataset.

We estimate a +40% employment change for Nurse Practitioners between 2024 and 2034. This is our own estimate, not a figure published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Combined with an estimated overall AI exposure of 31%, this occupation faces both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Nurse Practitioners should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.

Recent AI Impact Changes

Apr 2026: Nurse practitioners placed in insulated category alongside RNs — clinical decision-making plus relational and physical care anchor protection.

[Source: OpenAI Jobs Transition Framework, April 2026]

Mar 2026: New evergreen blog post analyzing AI impact on nurse practitioners published, covering AI documentation tools, 40% growth projection, and NP vs RN distinction.

[Source: AI Changing Work Blog]