Postal Service Mail Carriers

Transportation & Material Moving

AI exposure

  • Data source: BLSPublished: 2026-08

    Moderate· relative

    LowFour relative bandsVery high

    Group-level value

    Scale, basis and source

    Four relative bands (Low / Moderate / High / Very high)

    831 detailed occupations in the BLS Employment Projections table. Assigned per National Employment Matrix (NEM) code, so occupations sharing a NEM code carry the same band

    Source dataset (XLSX download)

  • Data source: AnthropicPublished: 2026-03

    0.000

    0.000Range of values carried here0.745
    Scale, basis and source

    Observed exposure index, 0–1 as published

    Mapped onto O*NET tasks

    Source dataset

  • Data source: ILOPublished: 2025

    0.41

    0.09Range of values carried here0.70

    Group-level value

    Scale, basis and source

    Generative AI exposure index, 0–1 as published

    ISCO-08 unit group — every occupation sharing the code gets this value

    Computed by this site, not published by the ILO: of the 1,012 occupations this site links to the ILO dataset, 36% score at or above this value.

    Source dataset

What kind of figure this source publishes

The BLS category is a relative rank, not an absolute level, and it is not a first-hand measurement: it groups an occupation's percentile ranks across several published studies into four bands. It is not an employment or wage forecast, not a probability of adoption, and it does not separate automation from augmentation.

Task-level exposure

Exposed tasks only

Values in this tab are predicted labels, not observations. Eloundou et al. (2023) published two rating regimes — human raters and GPT-4 — and the β shown here is derived from the GPT-4 rater basis alone; the same task can take a different value under the other regime. The unit and the meaning differ from the observed shares (%) in the other tabs, so do not place them on the same axis.

TaskβE1 + 0.5 × E2
Record address changes and redirect mail for those addresses.

O*NET Task ID 11347

1.0
Maintain accurate records of deliveries.

O*NET Task ID 11353

1.0
Answer customers' questions about postal services and regulations.

O*NET Task ID 11354

1.0
Enter change of address orders into computers that process forwarding address stickers.

O*NET Task ID 11359

1.0
Complete forms that notify publishers of address changes.

O*NET Task ID 11360

1.0
Scan labels on letters or parcels to confirm receipt.

O*NET Task ID 20906

0.5
Obtain signed receipts for registered, certified, and insured mail, collect associated charges, and complete any necessary paperwork.

O*NET Task ID 11341

0.0
Sort mail for delivery, arranging it in delivery sequence.

O*NET Task ID 11342

0.0
Deliver mail to residences and business establishments along specified routes by walking or driving, using a combination of satchels, carts, cars, and small trucks.

O*NET Task ID 11343

0.0
Return to the post office with mail collected from homes, businesses, and public mailboxes.

O*NET Task ID 11344

0.0
Turn in money and receipts collected along mail routes.

O*NET Task ID 11345

0.0
Sign for cash-on-delivery and registered mail before leaving the post office.

O*NET Task ID 11346

0.0
Hold mail for customers who are away from delivery locations.

O*NET Task ID 11348

0.0
Bundle mail in preparation for delivery or transportation to relay boxes.

O*NET Task ID 11349

0.0
Leave notices telling patrons where to collect mail that could not be delivered.

O*NET Task ID 11350

0.0
Meet schedules for the collection and return of mail.

O*NET Task ID 11351

0.0
Return incorrectly addressed mail to senders.

O*NET Task ID 11352

0.0
Provide customers with change of address cards and other forms.

O*NET Task ID 11355

0.0
Report any unusual circumstances concerning mail delivery, including the condition of street letter boxes.

O*NET Task ID 11356

0.0
Register, certify, and insure parcels and letters.

O*NET Task ID 11357

0.0
Travel to post offices to pick up the mail for routes or pick up mail from postal relay boxes.

O*NET Task ID 11358

0.0
Sell stamps and money orders.

O*NET Task ID 11361

0.0

β = E1 + 0.5 × E2 · E1 = tasks where direct LLM access alone cuts time by at least 50%, E2 = tasks where software built on top of an LLM cuts time by at least 50%. Values take only 0 / 0.5 / 1.0.

Data sources & licenses — O*NET®, Eloundou et al. (2023): see full notices on the Credits page

Occupation information