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Risk Managers

Managementhighaugment
BLS 2024-34: +5%
Median Wage: $127,050
Employment: 386K

Overall Exposure

55+15

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

73

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

34

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

28

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 โ†’ 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

55โ†’70
+15

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

73โ†’88
+15

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

34โ†’50
+16

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

28โ†’38
+10

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
202340581820actual
202448662624actual
202555733428actual
202661794032estimated
202766844535estimated
202870885038estimated

Task Breakdown

Conduct risk assessments and scenario analysis
65%ฮฒ 1
Monitor regulatory changes and ensure compliance
70%ฮฒ 1
Develop risk mitigation strategies and contingency plans
40%ฮฒ 0.5
Generate risk reports for executive leadership
75%ฮฒ 1
Advise leadership on risk appetite and strategic decisions
20%ฮฒ 0

About This Occupation

If you work as a Risk Manager, AI is significantly reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 28/100 and overall exposure at 55%, this role faces high transformation. The highest-impact area is generate risk reports for executive leadership at 75% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role โ€” AI excels at data-driven risk modeling while human judgment remains critical for strategic risk decisions. BLS projects +5% growth through 2034. Risk managers proficient in AI-driven risk analytics will be highly valued.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 28%, Risk Managers has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

The AI automation risk score for Risk Managers is 28% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 55%, with 73% theoretical exposure and 34% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +8 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Risk Managers are: Generate risk reports for executive leadership (75%), Monitor regulatory changes and ensure compliance (70%), Conduct risk assessments and scenario analysis (65%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects +5% employment change for Risk Managers from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 55%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Risk Managers should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.

Recent AI Impact Changes

Mar 2026: Published evergreen blog post analyzing AI impact. 55% exposure, 28% risk (lowest in finance), BLS +5% growth.

[Source: AI Changing Work Blog]