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Roofers

Construction, Maintenance & Repairvery lowaugment
BLS 2024-34: +6%
Median Wage: $46,000
Employment: 150K

Overall Exposure

6+4

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

12

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

3

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

4

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 โ†’ 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

6โ†’12
+6

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

12โ†’21
+9

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

3โ†’6
+3

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

4โ†’9
+5

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
20232612actual
20244923actual
202561234actual
202681546estimated
2027101857estimated
2028122169estimated

Task Breakdown

Estimate roofing materials and project costs
38%ฮฒ 0.5
Install and repair roofing materials
3%ฮฒ 0
Inspect roofs for damage and leaks
18%ฮฒ 0
Read and interpret blueprints
25%ฮฒ 0.5

About This Occupation

If you work as a Roofers, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 4/100 and overall exposure at 6%, this role faces very-low transformation. The highest-impact area is estimate roofing materials and project costs at 38% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role. BLS projects +6% growth through 2034. Roofing is one of the most physically demanding trades, where safety awareness and manual craftsmanship keep human labor essential.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 4%, Roofers has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

The AI automation risk score for Roofers is 4% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 6%, with 12% theoretical exposure and 3% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +2 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Roofers are: Estimate roofing materials and project costs (38%), Read and interpret blueprints (25%), Inspect roofs for damage and leaks (18%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects +6% employment change for Roofers from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 6%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Roofers should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.

Recent AI Impact Changes

Mar 2026: Karpathy rates roofers 0/10 for AI exposure โ€” the lowest possible score โ€” confirming physical trades remain outside AI reach.

[Source: Karpathy AI Exposure Score (Fortune)]

Mar 2026: Published evergreen blog post analyzing AI impact on roofers (4% automation risk)

[Source: Blog Wave 19]