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Educational, Guidance, and Career Counselors

Education & Trainingmediumaugment
Projected change (est.): ~+5%
Median Wage (est.): ~$61,000
Employment (est.): ~340K

Overall Exposure

40+15

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

50

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

20

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

28

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

40→53
+13

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

50→64
+14

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

20→30
+10

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

28→38
+10

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Task Breakdown

Analyze student academic records and data
65%β 1
Provide one-on-one counseling sessions
10%β 0
Develop career and college readiness plans
45%β 0.5
Generate progress reports and assessments
70%β 1

About This Occupation

If you work as an Educational, Guidance, and Career Counselors, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 28/100 and overall exposure at 40%, this role faces medium transformation. The highest-impact area is generate progress reports and assessments at 70% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role. BLS projects +5% growth through 2034. AI can handle data analysis and reporting, freeing counselors to focus on the human connection students need most.

ISCO-08 classification

Unit group 2423ILO official

Personnel and Careers Professionals

Indirect mapping — this occupation is linked to the ISCO unit group by a rule-based fallback.

Definition

ILO original text (English)

Personnel and careers professionals provide professional business services related to personnel policies such as employee recruitment or development, occupational analysis and vocational guidance.

Definition & vocabulary source

Source: International Labour Organization (ILO) — ISCO-08 Structure

License: ILO CC BY 4.0

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Official occupational information

  • ONET13-1071.00

    Human Resources Specialists

    Recruit, screen, interview, or place individuals within an organization. May perform other activities in multiple human resources areas.

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  • ONET13-1075.00

    Labor Relations Specialists

    Resolve disputes between workers and managers, negotiate collective bargaining agreements, or coordinate grievance procedures to handle employee complaints.

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  • ONET13-1141.00

    Compensation, Benefits, and Job Analysis Specialists

    Conduct programs of compensation and benefits and job analysis for employer. May specialize in specific areas, such as position classification and pension programs.

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  • ONET21-1012.00

    Educational, Guidance, and Career Counselors and Advisors

    Advise and assist students and provide educational and vocational guidance services.

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Source: O*NET 30.2, U.S. DOL/ETA

License: CC BY 4.0

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Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 28%, Educational, Guidance, and Career Counselors has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

Our estimated AI automation risk score for Educational, Guidance, and Career Counselors is 28% for 2025. Estimated overall AI exposure is 40%, with 50% theoretical exposure and 20% observed exposure. The estimated risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +10 points. All of these are model-generated estimates, not measurements.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Educational, Guidance, and Career Counselors are: Generate progress reports and assessments (70%), Analyze student academic records and data (65%), Develop career and college readiness plans (45%). These rates are our own estimates of how much of each task current AI systems can handle. They are not measurements and are not taken from any external dataset.

We estimate a +5% employment change for Educational, Guidance, and Career Counselors between 2024 and 2034. This is our own estimate, not a figure published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Combined with an estimated overall AI exposure of 40%, this occupation faces both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Educational, Guidance, and Career Counselors should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.

Recent AI Impact Changes

Mar 2026: New evergreen blog post analyzing AI impact on career counselors — 28% automation risk, human guidance remains essential.

[Source: AI Changing Work Blog]