Security Managers
Overall Exposure
2025 vs 2023
Theoretical Exposure
54What AI could do
Observed Exposure
20What AI actually does
Automation Risk Score
21Displacement risk
3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)
Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.
Overall Exposure
2025 → 2028 (estimated)
Theoretical Exposure
2025 → 2028 (estimated)
Observed Exposure
2025 → 2028 (estimated)
Automation Risk
2025 → 2028 (estimated)
Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)
Task Breakdown
About This Occupation
If you work as a Security Manager, AI is moderately reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 21/100 and overall exposure at 35%, this role faces moderate transformation. The highest-impact area is analyzing threat assessments and risk reports at 55% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role, where AI amplifies managerial decision-making rather than replacing leadership functions. BLS projects +3% growth through 2034, with median annual wage of $78,000. AI-powered analytics platforms can aggregate security data, flag anomalies, and generate predictive threat models, but strategic security planning, personnel leadership, and crisis management remain human-centric. Managers who leverage AI-driven security intelligence tools will strengthen their organizations' protective posture.
ISCO-08 classification
Security Guards
Indirect mapping — this occupation is linked to the ISCO unit group by a rule-based fallback.
Definition
ILO original text (English)
Security guards patrol or monitor premises to guard property against theft and vandalism. They control access to establishments and maintain order and enforce regulations at public events and within establishments.
Definition & vocabulary source
Source: International Labour Organization (ILO) — ISCO-08 Structure
License: ILO CC BY 4.0
Official occupational information
- ONET33-1099.00
First-Line Supervisors of Protective Service Workers, All Other
All protective service supervisors not listed separately above.
View original - ONET33-9031.00
Gambling Surveillance Officers and Gambling Investigators
Observe gambling operation for irregular activities such as cheating or theft by either employees or patrons. Investigate potential threats to gambling assets such as money, chips, and gambling equipment. Act as oversight and security agent for management and customers.
View original - ONET33-9032.00
Security Guards
Guard, patrol, or monitor premises to prevent theft, violence, or infractions of rules. May operate x-ray and metal detector equipment.
View original - ONET33-9093.00
Transportation Security Screeners
Conduct screening of passengers, baggage, or cargo to ensure compliance with Transportation Security Administration (TSA) regulations. May operate basic security equipment such as x-ray machines and hand wands at screening checkpoints.
View original
Frequently Asked Questions
With an automation risk score of 21%, Security Managers has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.
Our estimated AI automation risk score for Security Managers is 21% for 2025. Estimated overall AI exposure is 35%, with 54% theoretical exposure and 20% observed exposure. The estimated risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +6 points. All of these are model-generated estimates, not measurements.
The tasks with the highest automation potential for Security Managers are: Analyze threat assessments and risk reports (55%), Oversee surveillance and access control systems (50%), Develop and implement security policies and procedures (40%). These rates are our own estimates of how much of each task current AI systems can handle. They are not measurements and are not taken from any external dataset.
We estimate a +3% employment change for Security Managers between 2024 and 2034. This is our own estimate, not a figure published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Combined with an estimated overall AI exposure of 35%, this occupation faces both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.
Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Security Managers should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.