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Security Managers

Protective Servicemediumaugment
BLS 2024-34: +3%
Median Wage: $78,000
Employment: 52K

Overall Exposure

35+10

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

54

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

20

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

21

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

35→47
+12

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

54→66
+12

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

20→32
+12

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

21→30
+9

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
202325421215actual
202430481618actual
202535542021actual
202639582424estimated
202743622827estimated
202847663230estimated

Task Breakdown

Develop and implement security policies and procedures
40%β 0.5
Analyze threat assessments and risk reports
55%β 1
Manage and train security personnel
15%β 0
Oversee surveillance and access control systems
50%β 0.5

About This Occupation

If you work as a Security Manager, AI is moderately reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 21/100 and overall exposure at 35%, this role faces moderate transformation. The highest-impact area is analyzing threat assessments and risk reports at 55% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role, where AI amplifies managerial decision-making rather than replacing leadership functions. BLS projects +3% growth through 2034, with median annual wage of $78,000. AI-powered analytics platforms can aggregate security data, flag anomalies, and generate predictive threat models, but strategic security planning, personnel leadership, and crisis management remain human-centric. Managers who leverage AI-driven security intelligence tools will strengthen their organizations' protective posture.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 21%, Security Managers has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

The AI automation risk score for Security Managers is 21% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 35%, with 54% theoretical exposure and 20% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +6 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Security Managers are: Analyze threat assessments and risk reports (55%), Oversee surveillance and access control systems (50%), Develop and implement security policies and procedures (40%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects +3% employment change for Security Managers from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 35%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Security Managers should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.