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Waiters and Waitresses

Food Preparation & Servicevery lowaugment
BLS 2024-34: +5%
Median Wage: $31,000
Employment: 2.3M

Overall Exposure

9+4

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

18

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

4

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

7

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

915
+6

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

1827
+9

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

47
+3

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

712
+5

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
202351224actual
202471535actual
202591847actual
2026112159estimated
20271324610estimated
20281527712estimated

Task Breakdown

Take customer orders
35%β 0.5
Serve food and beverages
8%β 0
Process payments
55%β 1
Recommend menu items
30%β 0.5

About This Occupation

If you work as a Waiters and Waitresses, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 7/100 and overall exposure at 9%, this role faces very-low transformation. The highest-impact area is process payments at 55% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role. BLS projects +5% growth through 2034. The physical and interpersonal nature of this work provides strong protection against automation.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 7%, Waiters and Waitresses has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

The AI automation risk score for Waiters and Waitresses is 7% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 9%, with 18% theoretical exposure and 4% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +3 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Waiters and Waitresses are: Process payments (55%), Take customer orders (35%), Recommend menu items (30%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects +5% employment change for Waiters and Waitresses from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 9%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Waiters and Waitresses should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.