Web Developers
Computer & MathematicalAI exposure
- Data source: BLSPublished: '26.08
Very high· relative
LowFour relative bandsVery highGroup-level value
Scale, basis and source
Four relative bands (Low / Moderate / High / Very high)
831 detailed occupations in the BLS Employment Projections table. Assigned per National Employment Matrix (NEM) code, so occupations sharing a NEM code carry the same band
- Data source: AnthropicPublished: '26.03
0.480
0.000Range of values carried here0.745Scale, basis and source
- Data source: ILOPublished: '25
0.60
0.09Range of values carried here0.70Group-level value
Scale, basis and source
Generative AI exposure index, 0–1 as published
ISCO-08 unit group — every occupation sharing the code gets this value
Computed by this site, not published by the ILO: of the 1,012 occupations this site links to the ILO dataset, 4% score at or above this value.
What kind of figure this source publishes
The BLS category is a relative rank, not an absolute level, and it is not a first-hand measurement: it groups an occupation's percentile ranks across several published studies into four bands. It is not an employment or wage forecast, not a probability of adoption, and it does not separate automation from augmentation.
Task-level exposure
Show 17 hidden tasks| Task | Claude.aiRaw / share % | APIRaw / share % |
|---|---|---|
Write supporting code for Web applications or Web sites.15-1254 | 0.510044.7 | 0.510039.8 |
Design, build, or maintain Web sites, using authoring or scripting languages, content creation tools, management tools, and digital media.15-1254 | 0.220019.3 | 0.140010.9 |
Provide clear, detailed descriptions of Web site specifications, such as product features, activities, software, communication protocols, programming languages, and operating systems software and hardware.15-1254 | 0.10008.8 | 0.03002.3 |
Respond to user email inquiries, or set up automated systems to send responses.15-1254 | 0.08007.0 | 0.130010.2 |
Analyze user needs to determine technical requirements.15-1254 | 0.06005.3 | 0.220017.2 |
Perform or direct Web site updates.15-1254 | 0.06005.3 | 0.130010.2 |
Recommend and implement performance improvements.15-1254 | 0.04003.5 | 0.02001.6 |
Develop system interaction or sequence diagrams.15-1254 | 0.04003.5 | —0 |
Develop or implement procedures for ongoing Web site revision.15-1254 | 0.02001.8 | 0.01000.8 |
Select programming languages, design tools, or applications.15-1254 | 0.01000.9 | 0.00000.0 |
Values in this tab are predicted labels, not observations. Eloundou et al. (2023) published two rating regimes — human raters and GPT-4 — and the β shown here is derived from the GPT-4 rater basis alone; the same task can take a different value under the other regime. The unit and the meaning differ from the observed shares (%) in the other tabs, so do not place them on the same axis.
| Task | βE1 + 0.5 × E2 |
|---|---|
Design, build, or maintain Web sites, using authoring or scripting languages, content creation tools, management tools, and digital media.O*NET Task ID 14694 | 1.0 |
Perform or direct Web site updates.O*NET Task ID 14695 | 1.0 |
Back up files from Web sites to local directories for instant recovery in case of problems.O*NET Task ID 14698 | 1.0 |
Evaluate code to ensure that it is valid, is properly structured, meets industry standards, and is compatible with browsers, devices, or operating systems.O*NET Task ID 14700 | 1.0 |
Analyze user needs to determine technical requirements.O*NET Task ID 14702 | 1.0 |
Develop databases that support Web applications and Web sites.O*NET Task ID 14704 | 1.0 |
Renew domain name registrations.O*NET Task ID 14705 | 1.0 |
Write supporting code for Web applications or Web sites.O*NET Task ID 14707 | 1.0 |
Communicate with network personnel or Web site hosting agencies to address hardware or software issues affecting Web sites.O*NET Task ID 14708 | 1.0 |
Perform Web site tests according to planned schedules, or after any Web site or product revision.O*NET Task ID 14710 | 1.0 |
β = E1 + 0.5 × E2 · E1 = tasks where direct LLM access alone cuts time by at least 50%, E2 = tasks where software built on top of an LLM cuts time by at least 50%. Values take only 0 / 0.5 / 1.0.
Data sources & licenses — O*NET®, Anthropic Economic Index, Eloundou et al. (2023): see full notices on the Credits page
Occupation information
Recent Changes Affecting This Occupation
Mar 2026: Brookings freelance market study shows web developers less impacted than writers and designers by generative AI, likely due to iterative debugging and integration complexity in software projects.
[Source: Brookings Institution (Hui & Reshef, 2025)]Mar 2026: Web developers, part of SOC group 15, saw significant employment deterioration starting early 2022 — before ChatGPT. New graduate entry rates into AI-exposed occupations began declining in 2021, suggesting structural factors beyond generative AI.
[Source: Frank et al. (2026) arXiv:2601.02554]Mar 2026: Firm-level data reveals companies redirecting budgets from human contractors to AI tools, with outsourced development work in the direct impact zone.
[Source: Stevens (2026) arXiv]