Wildfire Analysts

Protective Service

AI exposure

  • Data source: BLSPublished: 2026-08

    Moderate· relative

    LowFour relative bandsVery high

    Group-level value

    Scale, basis and source

    Four relative bands (Low / Moderate / High / Very high)

    831 detailed occupations in the BLS Employment Projections table. Assigned per National Employment Matrix (NEM) code, so occupations sharing a NEM code carry the same band

    Source dataset (XLSX download)

  • Data source: AnthropicPublished: 2026-03

    0.000

    0.000Range of values carried here0.745
    Scale, basis and source

    Observed exposure index, 0–1 as published

    Mapped onto O*NET tasks

    Source dataset

  • Data source: ILOPublished: 2025

    0.26

    0.09Range of values carried here0.70

    Group-level value

    Scale, basis and source

    Generative AI exposure index, 0–1 as published

    ISCO-08 unit group — every occupation sharing the code gets this value

    Computed by this site, not published by the ILO: of the 1,012 occupations this site links to the ILO dataset, 76% score at or above this value.

    Source dataset

What kind of figure this source publishes

The BLS category is a relative rank, not an absolute level, and it is not a first-hand measurement: it groups an occupation's percentile ranks across several published studies into four bands. It is not an employment or wage forecast, not a probability of adoption, and it does not separate automation from augmentation.

Task-level exposure

Exposed tasks only

Values in this tab are predicted labels, not observations. Eloundou et al. (2023) published two rating regimes — human raters and GPT-4 — and the β shown here is derived from the GPT-4 rater basis alone; the same task can take a different value under the other regime. The unit and the meaning differ from the observed shares (%) in the other tabs, so do not place them on the same axis.

TaskβE1 + 0.5 × E2
Relay messages about emergencies, accidents, locations of crew and personnel, and fire hazard conditions.

O*NET Task ID 11102

1.0
Maintain records and logbooks.

O*NET Task ID 11108

1.0
Estimate sizes and characteristics of fires, and report findings to base camps by radio or telephone.

O*NET Task ID 11104

0.5
Locate forest fires on area maps, using azimuth sighters and known landmarks.

O*NET Task ID 11107

0.5
Compile and report meteorological data, such as temperature, relative humidity, wind direction and velocity, and types of cloud formations.

O*NET Task ID 11113

0.5
Direct crews working on firelines during forest fires.

O*NET Task ID 11103

0.0
Administer regulations regarding sanitation, fire prevention, violation corrections, and related forest regulations.

O*NET Task ID 11105

0.0
Extinguish smaller fires with portable extinguishers, shovels, and axes.

O*NET Task ID 11106

0.0
Examine and inventory firefighting equipment, such as axes, fire hoses, shovels, pumps, buckets, and fire extinguishers, to determine amount and condition.

O*NET Task ID 11109

0.0
Direct maintenance and repair of firefighting equipment, or requisition new equipment.

O*NET Task ID 11110

0.0
Restrict public access and recreational use of forest lands during critical fire seasons.

O*NET Task ID 11111

0.0
Patrol assigned areas, looking for forest fires, hazardous conditions, and weather phenomena.

O*NET Task ID 11112

0.0
Inspect camp sites to ensure that campers are in compliance with forest use regulations.

O*NET Task ID 11114

0.0
Inspect forest tracts and logging areas for fire hazards such as accumulated wastes or mishandling of combustibles, and recommend appropriate fire prevention measures.

O*NET Task ID 11115

0.0
Conduct wildland firefighting training.

O*NET Task ID 21143

0.0
Educate the public about fire safety and prevention.

O*NET Task ID 21144

0.0

β = E1 + 0.5 × E2 · E1 = tasks where direct LLM access alone cuts time by at least 50%, E2 = tasks where software built on top of an LLM cuts time by at least 50%. Values take only 0 / 0.5 / 1.0.

Data sources & licenses — O*NET®, Eloundou et al. (2023): see full notices on the Credits page

Occupation information