裁判官

法律

AI露出度

  • データ出典: BLS公表時点: 2026-08

    高い· 相対

    低い4段階の相対区分非常に高い

    職業群単位の値

    尺度・母数・出典

    4段階の相対区分(低い / 中程度 / 高い / 非常に高い)

    BLS雇用見通し表の詳細職業831件が母数。値は NEM(全国雇用マトリクス)コード単位で付与されるため、同じ NEM コードの職業は同じバンドになります

    出典データセット(XLSX ファイルのダウンロード)

  • データ出典: Anthropic公表時点: 2026-03

    0.311

    0.000ここに掲載された値の範囲0.745
    尺度・母数・出典

    観測エクスポージャー指数、公開されたまま0–1

    O*NETタスクへの対応づけが基準

    出典データセット

  • データ出典: ILO公表時点: 2025

    0.31

    0.09ここに掲載された値の範囲0.70

    職業群単位の値

    尺度・母数・出典

    生成AI露出度指数、公開されたまま0–1

    ISCO-08の職業小分類単位 — 同じコードの職業はすべて同じ値

    当サイトの算出であり、ILOが公表した数値ではありません。当サイトがILOデータセットに結び付けた職業1,012件のうち、この値以上のものは65%です。

    出典データセット

この出典がどのような性格の値か

BLSの区分は絶対水準ではなく相対順位であり、一次測定でもありません。複数の既存研究が付けた職業別パーセンタイル順位を4段階にまとめた値です。雇用や賃金の予測でもなく、導入確率でもなく、自動化と増強を区別しません。

Task-level exposure

露出のある作業のみ
TaskClaude.aiRaw / share %APIRaw / share %
Read documents on pleadings and motions to ascertain facts and issues.

23-1023

0.0100100.00.0200100.0
Research legal issues and write opinions on the issues.

23-1023

0.00000.00.00000.0
Write decisions on cases.

23-1023

0.00000.0—0
Provide information regarding the judicial system or other legal issues through the media and public speeches.
—00.00000.0
Not observed on any surface — 17 task(s) — These tasks have no row in the source for this release. The 0 in the share row is a display-stage composition ratio; absence is what the — in the raw row states.
Instruct juries on applicable laws, direct juries to deduce the facts from the evidence presented, and hear their verdicts.
—0—0
Sentence defendants in criminal cases, on conviction by jury, according to applicable government statutes.
—0—0
Rule on admissibility of evidence and methods of conducting testimony.
—0—0
Preside over hearings and listen to allegations made by plaintiffs to determine whether the evidence supports the charges.
—0—0
Interpret and enforce rules of procedure or establish new rules in situations where there are no procedures already established by law.
—0—0
Monitor proceedings to ensure that all applicable rules and procedures are followed.
—0—0
Advise attorneys, juries, litigants, and court personnel regarding conduct, issues, and proceedings.
—0—0
Award compensation for damages to litigants in civil cases in relation to findings by juries or by the court.
—0—0
Settle disputes between opposing attorneys.
—0—0
Supervise other judges, court officers, and the court's administrative staff.
—0—0
Impose restrictions upon parties in civil cases until trials can be held.
—0—0
Issue arrest warrants.
—0—0
Conduct preliminary hearings to decide issues, such as whether there is reasonable and probable cause to hold defendants in felony cases.
—0—0
Rule on custody and access disputes, and enforce court orders regarding custody and support of children.
—0—0
Grant divorces and divide assets between spouses.
—0—0
Participate in judicial tribunals to help resolve disputes.
—0—0
Perform wedding ceremonies.
—0—0

Data sources & licenses — O*NET®, Anthropic Economic Index, Eloundou et al. (2023): see full notices on the Credits page

職業情報

この職業に関わる最近の変化

2026年3月: Same paper assigns ATE 0.43 by 2027 in SF Bay Tier 1. 100% of legal occupations in scope cross moderate-risk threshold by 2027 in Tier 1; only 14.3% cross in Tier 3 (New York) by 2030.

[出典: arXiv 2604.00186 (Gupta & Kumar, 2026)]

2026年3月: ATE framework identifies judges among highest-risk occupations (ATE 0.43-0.47) for agentic AI displacement — AI systems increasingly capable of end-to-end legal reasoning workflows.

[出典: Gupta & Kumar (2026) Agentic AI and Occupational Displacement]

These summaries were written by AI Changing Work from the source linked with each one, and any figures in them are given as AI Changing Work summarised them; they can differ from the source's own wording and from figures shown elsewhere on this page, so check the source before relying on them. AI Changing Work matched this page's occupation to an O*NET occupation and chose, by its own judgment, case by case, which summaries relate to that O*NET occupation; a summary appearing here does not mean that its source names this occupation.