经济学家

生命、物理与社会科学

AI暴露度

数据来源: BLS发布时间: '26.08
很高· 相对
低四级相对区间很高
职业群单位数值
尺度 · 母数 · 来源
四级相对类别（低 / 中等 / 高 / 很高）
以BLS就业预测表中831个细分职业为基数。取值按 NEM（全国就业矩阵）代码给定，因此共用同一 NEM 代码的职业得到相同分档
来源数据集（XLSX 文件下载）
数据来源: Anthropic发布时间: '26.03
0.242
0.000此处所载数值的范围0.745
尺度 · 母数 · 来源
观测暴露度指数，按发布原值0–1
以O*NET任务映射为基准
来源数据集
数据来源: ILO发布时间: '25
0.55
0.09此处所载数值的范围0.70
职业群单位数值
尺度 · 母数 · 来源
生成式AI暴露度指数，按发布原值0–1
ISCO-08职业小类单位 — 共用同一代码的职业取值相同
本站计算，并非国际劳工组织发布的数值。在本站与 ILO 数据集相连的 1,012 个职业中，达到或高于此值的占 12%。
来源数据集

该来源发布的是什么性质的数值

BLS的类别是相对排位而非绝对水平，也不是一手测量：它把多项已发表研究给出的职业百分位排名归并为四个等级。它不是就业或工资预测，不是采用概率，也不区分自动化与增强。

Task-level exposure

仅显示有暴露的工作

Task	Claude.aiRaw / share %	APIRaw / share %
Provide advice and consultation on economic relationships to businesses, public and private agencies, and other employers. 19-3011	0.134553.2	0.013419.9
Write technical documents or academic articles to communicate study results or economic forecasts. 19-3011	0.034513.7	0.008712.8
Study economic and statistical data in area of specialization, such as finance, labor, or agriculture. 19-3011	0.032012.7	0.019929.4
Compile, analyze, and report data to explain economic phenomena and forecast market trends, applying mathematical models and statistical techniques. 19-3011	0.025810.2	0.013119.4
Conduct research on economic issues and disseminate research findings through technical reports or scientific articles in journals. 19-3011	0.01315.2	0.00385.6
Formulate recommendations, policies, or plans to solve economic problems or to interpret markets. 19-3011	0.00542.1	0.00162.3
Supervise research projects and students' study projects. 19-3011	0.00381.5	—0
Develop economic models, forecasts, or scenarios to predict future economic and environmental outcomes. 19-3011	0.00341.4	0.007110.5
Not observed on any surface — 23 task(s) — These tasks have no row in the source for this release. The 0 in the share row is a display-stage composition ratio; absence is what the — in the raw row states.
Develop economic guidelines and standards and prepare points of view used in forecasting trends and formulating economic policy.	—0	—0
Testify at regulatory or legislative hearings concerning the estimated effects of changes in legislation or public policy and present recommendations based on cost-benefit analyses.	—0	—0
Forecast production and consumption of renewable resources and supply, consumption and depletion of non-renewable resources.	—0	—0
Teach theories, principles, and methods of economics.	—0	—0
Study the socioeconomic impacts of new public policies, such as proposed legislation, taxes, services, and regulations.	—0	—0
Provide litigation support, such as writing reports for expert testimony or testifying as an expert witness.	—0	—0
Prepare and deliver presentations to communicate economic and environmental study results, to present policy recommendations, or to raise awareness of environmental consequences.	—0	—0
Demonstrate or promote the economic benefits of sound environmental regulations.	—0	—0
Write social, legal, or economic impact statements to inform decision-makers for natural resource policies, standards, or programs.	—0	—0
Write research proposals and grant applications to obtain private or public funding for environmental and economic studies.	—0	—0
Examine the exhaustibility of natural resources or the long-term costs of environmental rehabilitation.	—0	—0
Develop systems for collecting, analyzing, and interpreting environmental and economic data.	—0	—0
Develop environmental research project plans, including information on budgets, goals, deliverables, timelines, and resource requirements.	—0	—0
Collect and analyze data to compare the environmental implications of economic policy or practice alternatives.	—0	—0
Perform complex, dynamic, and integrated mathematical modeling of ecological, environmental, or economic systems.	—0	—0
Conduct research to study the relationships among environmental problems and patterns of economic production and consumption.	—0	—0
Conduct research on economic and environmental topics, such as alternative fuel use, public and private land use, soil conservation, air and water pollution control, and endangered species protection.	—0	—0
Develop programs or policy recommendations to achieve environmental goals in cost-effective ways.	—0	—0
Assess the costs and benefits of various activities, policies, or regulations that affect the environment or natural resource stocks.	—0	—0
Develop programs or policy recommendations to promote sustainability and sustainable development.	—0	—0
Monitor or analyze market and environmental trends.	—0	—0
Interpret indicators to ascertain the overall health of an environment.	—0	—0
Identify and recommend environmentally-friendly business practices.	—0	—0

Values in this tab are predicted labels, not observations. Eloundou et al. (2023) published two rating regimes — human raters and GPT-4 — and the β shown here is derived from the GPT-4 rater basis alone; the same task can take a different value under the other regime. The unit and the meaning differ from the observed shares (%) in the other tabs, so do not place them on the same axis.

Task	βE1 + 0.5 × E2
Study economic and statistical data in area of specialization, such as finance, labor, or agriculture. O*NET Task ID 7536	0.5
Provide advice and consultation on economic relationships to businesses, public and private agencies, and other employers. O*NET Task ID 7537	0.5
Compile, analyze, and report data to explain economic phenomena and forecast market trends, applying mathematical models and statistical techniques. O*NET Task ID 7538	0.5
Formulate recommendations, policies, or plans to solve economic problems or to interpret markets. O*NET Task ID 7539	0.5
Develop economic guidelines and standards, and prepare points of view used in forecasting trends and formulating economic policy. O*NET Task ID 7540	0.5
Testify at regulatory or legislative hearings concerning the estimated effects of changes in legislation or public policy, and present recommendations based on cost-benefit analyses. O*NET Task ID 7541	0.5
Supervise research projects and students' study projects. O*NET Task ID 7542	0.5
Forecast production and consumption of renewable resources and supply, consumption, and depletion of non-renewable resources. O*NET Task ID 7543	0.5
Teach theories, principles, and methods of economics. O*NET Task ID 7544	0.5
Provide litigation support, such as writing reports for expert testimony or testifying as an expert witness. O*NET Task ID 20051	0.5
Study the socioeconomic impacts of new public policies, such as proposed legislation, taxes, services, and regulations. O*NET Task ID 20052	0.5
Conduct research on economic issues, and disseminate research findings through technical reports or scientific articles in journals. O*NET Task ID 20053	0.5
Explain economic impact of policies to the public. O*NET Task ID 21106	0.5
再显示 3 项工作 ▾收起 ▴

β = E1 + 0.5 × E2 · E1 = tasks where direct LLM access alone cuts time by at least 50%, E2 = tasks where software built on top of an LLM cuts time by at least 50%. Values take only 0 / 0.5 / 1.0.

Data sources & licenses — O*NET®, Anthropic Economic Index, Eloundou et al. (2023): see full notices on the Credits page

Occupation information

ILO

ILO occupational description

Economists

经济学家

自行翻译

自行翻译 · 非 ISCO 官方词汇 — 未经国际劳工组织审核。

Economists conduct research, monitor data, analyse information and prepare reports and plans to resolve economic and business problems and develop models to analyse, explain and forecast economic behaviour and patterns. They provide advice to business, interest groups and governments to formulate solutions to present or projected economic and business problems.

Tasks

(a) forecasting changes in the economic environment for short-term budgeting, long-term planning and investment evaluation;
(b) formulating recommendations, policies and plans for the economy, corporate strategies and investment, and undertaking feasibility studies for projects;
(c) monitoring economic data to assess the effectiveness, and advise on the appropriateness, of monetary and fiscal policies;
(d) forecasting production and consumption of specific products and services based on records of past production and consumption and general economic and industry-specific conditions;
(e) preparing forecasts of income and expenditure, interest rates and exchange rates;
(f) analysing factors that determine labour force participation, employment, wages, unemployment and other labour market outcomes;
(g) applying mathematical formulae and statistical techniques and apply to test economic theories and devise solutions to economic problems;
(h) compiling, analysing and interpreting economic data using economic theory and a variety of statistical and other techniques;
(i) evaluating the outcome of political decisions concerning public economy and finances and advising on economic policy and possible courses of action in the light of past, present and projected economic factors and trends;
(j) preparing scholarly papers and reports;
(k) examining problems related to the economic activities of individual companies;
(l) conducting research on market conditions in local, regional or national areas to set sales and pricing levels for goods and services, to assess market potential and future trends and to develop business strategies.

Example occupations

Econometrician · Economic adviser · Economic analyst · Economist · Labour economist

ISCO-08 2631

Sources: ILO ISCO-08 (CC BY 4.0) — details: Credits

ESCO occupational vocabulary

business economics researcherESCO 2631.1.1
Business economics researchers conduct research on topics regarding economy, organisations, and strategy. They analyse macroeconomic and microeconomic trends and use this information to analyse the positions of industries or specific companies in the economy. They provide advice regarding strategic planning, product feasibility, forecast trends, emerging markets, taxing policies, and consumer trends.
economic policy officerESCO 2412.3
Economic policy officers develop economic strategies. They monitor aspects of economics such as competitiveness, innovation and trade. Economic policy officers contribute to the development of economic policies, projects and programs. They research, analyse and assess public policy problems and recommend appropriate actions.
economic adviserESCO 2631.1.2
Economic advisers research economic developments and advise on economic problems. They forecast trends and behaviour in economics, and advise on finance, trade, fiscal and other related matters. They advise companies and organisations on techniques to gain economic profit.
economistESCO 2631.1
Economists perform research and develop theories in the field of economics, whether for microeconomic or macroeconomic analysis. They study trends, analyse statistical data, and to some extent work with economic mathematical models in order to advise companies, governments, and related institutions. They advise on product feasibility, trend forecasts, emerging markets, tax policies, and consumer trends.
economic development coordinatorESCO 2631.1.3
Economic development coordinators outline and implement policies for the improvement of a community's, government's or institution's economic growth and stability. They research economic trends and coordinate cooperation between institutions working in economic development. They analyse potential economic risks and conflicts and develop plans to resolve them. Economic development coordinators advise on the economic sustainability of institutions and economic growth.
tax policy analystESCO 2631.1.4
Tax policy analysts research and develop taxation policies and legislation in order to improve and develop tax policies. They advise official bodies on policy implementation and financial operations, as well as forecast financial influence of changes in tax policies.

Source: European Commission, DG EMPL — ESCO API 2026-08-08 (bridge v1.2.1)

License: CC BY 4.0 (EU Reuse Notice)

View original

ESCO reuse terms and the modification notice are in Credits.

与本职业相关的近期变化

2026年3月: New blog post: economists face 60% exposure, 36% risk.

[来源: ACW Blog]