First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers

O*NET-SOC code: 33-1011.00

Directly supervise and coordinate activities of correctional officers and jailers.

Data source: BLSPublished: 2026-08
Moderate· relative
LowFour relative bandsVery high
Group-level value
Scale, basis and source
Four relative bands (Low / Moderate / High / Very high)
831 detailed occupations in the BLS Employment Projections table. Assigned per National Employment Matrix (NEM) code, so occupations sharing a NEM code carry the same band
Source dataset (XLSX download)
Data source: AnthropicPublished: 2026-03
0.032
0.000Range of values carried here0.745
Scale, basis and source
Observed exposure index, 0–1 as published
Mapped onto O*NET tasks
Published per SOC 2018 occupation; every O*NET occupation with the same SOC 2018 code carries this value
Source dataset (CSV download)
Data source: ILOPublished: 2025
0.14
0.09Range of values carried here0.70
Group-level value
Scale, basis and source
Generative AI exposure index, 0–1 as published
Published per ISCO-08 unit group. Linked to this occupation, wholly or in part, by applying U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics crosswalks (ISCO-08 to 2010 SOC, 2010 SOC to 2018 SOC) as published
Source dataset (PDF download)

What kind of figure this source publishes

The BLS category is a relative rank, not an absolute level, and it is not a first-hand measurement: it groups an occupation's percentile ranks across several published studies into four bands. It is not an employment or wage forecast, not a probability of adoption, and it does not separate automation from augmentation.

Task-level exposure

Show 20 hidden tasks

23 rated tasks · 8 tasks with β ≥ 0.5 (34.8%)

β = direct exposure (E1) + 0.5 × exposure when tools are available (E2), per the source repository's definition.

Source unit: O*NET 27.2 tasks → O*NET 31.0 occupation code
All rated tasks are in the O*NET 31.0 task list.

Source: OpenAI "GPTs are GPTs" exposure rubric
Release: gh-main-0471612
License: MIT License, Copyright (c) 2024 OpenAI

Task (O*NET 20.1)	Claude.aiRaw / share %	APIRaw / share %
Maintain knowledge of, comply with, and enforce all institutional policies, rules, procedures, and regulations. 33-1011.00	0.002459.0	0.0103100.0
Instruct employees or provide on-the-job training. 33-1011.00	0.001741.0	—0

Values in this tab are predicted labels, not observations. Eloundou et al. (2023) published two rating regimes — human raters and GPT-4 — and the β shown here is derived from the GPT-4 rater basis alone; the same task can take a different value under the other regime. The unit and the meaning differ from the observed shares (%) in the other tabs, so do not place them on the same axis.

Task (O*NET 27.2)	βE1 + 0.5 × E2
Maintain knowledge of, comply with, and enforce all institutional policies, rules, procedures, and regulations. O*NET Task ID 9431	1.0
Complete administrative paperwork or supervise the preparation or maintenance of records, forms, or reports. O*NET Task ID 9436	1.0
Set up employee work schedules. O*NET Task ID 9443	1.0
Convey correctional officers' or inmates' complaints to superiors. O*NET Task ID 9449	1.0
Conduct evaluations of employees' performance. O*NET Task ID 21196	1.0
Develop work or security procedures. O*NET Task ID 9442	0.5
Examine incoming or outgoing mail to ensure conformance with regulations. O*NET Task ID 9448	0.5
Review offender information to identify issues that require special attention. O*NET Task ID 20255	0.5

β = E1 + 0.5 × E2 · E1 = tasks where direct LLM access alone cuts time by at least 50%, E2 = tasks where software built on top of an LLM cuts time by at least 50%. Values take only 0 / 0.5 / 1.0.

Data sources & licenses — O*NET®, Anthropic Economic Index, Eloundou et al. (2023): see full notices on the Credits page

All O*NET 31.0 task statements (23)

All O*NET 31.0 task statements for this occupation (English, as published; task type core or supplemental). Exposure values are not listed here; they are in the table above, next to each task statement as worded in the O*NET version each source used.

Task (O*NET 31.0)	Type
Take, receive, or check periodic inmate counts.	Core
Maintain order, discipline, and security within assigned areas in accordance with relevant rules, regulations, policies, and laws.	Core
Respond to emergencies, such as escapes.	Core
Maintain knowledge of, comply with, and enforce all institutional policies, rules, procedures, and regulations.	Core
Supervise and direct the work of correctional officers to ensure the safe custody, discipline, and welfare of inmates.	Core
Restrain, secure, or control offenders, using chemical agents, firearms, or other weapons of force as necessary.	Core
Supervise or perform searches of inmates or their quarters to locate contraband items.	Core
Monitor behavior of subordinates to ensure alert, courteous, and professional behavior toward inmates, parolees, fellow employees, visitors, and the public.	Core
Complete administrative paperwork or supervise the preparation or maintenance of records, forms, or reports.	Core
Instruct employees or provide on-the-job training.	Core
Conduct roll calls of correctional officers.	Core
Supervise activities, such as searches, shakedowns, riot control, or institutional tours.	Core
Carry injured offenders or employees to safety and provide emergency first aid when necessary.	Core
Supervise or provide security for offenders performing tasks, such as construction, maintenance, laundry, food service, or other industrial or agricultural operations.	Core
Develop work or security procedures.	Core
Set up employee work schedules.	Core
Resolve problems between inmates.	Core
Rate behavior of inmates, promoting acceptable attitudes and behaviors to those with low ratings.	Core
Transfer or transport offenders on foot or by driving vehicles, such as trailers, vans, or buses.	Core
Examine incoming or outgoing mail to ensure conformance with regulations.	Core
Convey correctional officers' or inmates' complaints to superiors.	Core
Review offender information to identify issues that require special attention.	Core
Conduct evaluations of employees' performance.	Core

Anthropic, "What work can robots do?"2026-09

0.01/ 3· Robot exposure index

0 none3 unstructured settings

Scale, basis and source

Each physical task is graded 0–3 by the setting in which robots that have been deployed, sold or demonstrated could do it (0 none · 1 purpose-built robot settings such as a fenced machine cell or a bottling line · 2 structured facilities such as a hospital pharmacy or a container port · 3 unstructured settings such as a private home or a construction site), and the grades are averaged by share of working time

Physical tasks among this occupation's O*NET 29.3 tasks

Anthropic estimated the grades and time shares with Claude Opus 5 using web search, as of 2026.

Source dataset

The robot exposure index is a different measure from the AI exposure figures on this site and cannot be added to or compared with them. It does not measure actual adoption or cost, and 0 also covers occupations with no physical tasks.

Tier of each physical task

Robot environment tiers (E0–E3)

E0 noneDetails
Rated not doable by robots that have been deployed, sold or demonstrated, even in a purpose-built setting
E1 purpose-built robot settingsDetails
Rated doable in a setting built around the machine, such as a fenced machine cell or a bottling line
E2 structured facilitiesDetails
Rated doable in a human work facility that an institution keeps to a working standard, such as a hospital pharmacy or a container port
E3 unstructured settingsDetails
Rated doable in a setting that no institution keeps to a working standard, such as a private home or a construction site

Only tasks classified as physical are listed; other tasks have no tier in the source.

Task (O*NET 29.3)	Robot environment tier
Maintain order, discipline, and security within assigned areas in accordance with relevant rules, regulations, policies, and laws.	E0 none
Respond to emergencies, such as escapes.	E0 none
Restrain, secure, or control offenders, using chemical agents, firearms, or other weapons of force as necessary.	E0 none
Supervise or perform searches of inmates or their quarters to locate contraband items.	E0 none
Supervise activities, such as searches, shakedowns, riot control, or institutional tours.	E0 none
Carry injured offenders or employees to safety and provide emergency first aid when necessary.	E0 none
Supervise or provide security for offenders performing tasks, such as construction, maintenance, laundry, food service, or other industrial or agricultural operations.	E0 none
Resolve problems between inmates.	E0 none
Transfer or transport offenders on foot or by driving vehicles, such as trailers, vans, or buses.	E0 none
Examine incoming or outgoing mail to ensure conformance with regulations.	E1 purpose-built robot settings

Employment outlook (BLS)

Employment, 2025: 56K
Projected employment, 2035: 55K
Change (2025–35): -2.5%
Median annual wage, 2025: $77,970
Typical education needed for entry: High school diploma or equivalent

lowest $30,890median wage across 825 detailed occupations, BLS EP 2025–35highest $559,030

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025–35 — Employment by detailed occupation, 2025 and projected 2035

Korea classification links (KSCO)

Links from the current release of the Korea Occupation Direct Crosswalk v1.1, made by AI Changing Work. Relation values are read from the O*NET-SOC occupation side.

KSCO code	KSCO title	Relation	Status
41132	교도관	This occupation is narrower	confirmed
13134	교도 관리자	Overlapping, not the same	confirmed

Relation and status definitions(kr-direct v1.1)

ILO occupational description

AI Changing Work links the ISCO-08 unit groups below to this occupation by applying the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics crosswalks (2018 SOC to 2010 SOC, 2010 SOC to ISCO-08) as published, without case-by-case selection; each link may be whole or partial.

ISCO-08 5413Prison Guards

The definition, tasks and examples below are the ILO's description of that unit group, not of this occupation.

Prison guards watch over and maintain order among inmates of prisons, reformatories or penitentiaries.

Tasks

(a) searching arriving prisoners, putting their valuables in safekeeping, escorting prisoners to cells and locking them in;
(b) making periodic inspection tours of cells and inspecting and maintaining the security of locks, windows, doors and gates;
(c) supervising prisoners at work and meals, and during recreation periods;
(d) observing the conduct and behaviour of prisoners to prevent disturbances and escapes;
(e) patrolling prison areas to prevent escapes;
(f) assisting with the implementation of rehabilitation programmes;
(g) escorting prisoners in transit and during temporary leave.

Example occupations

Prison guard

Sources: ILO ISCO-08 — details: Credits

ESCO occupational vocabulary

Each entry below is matched to this occupation in the published ESCO-O*NET Crosswalk (version 1, 2022). The match types are that crosswalk's; the wording is AI Changing Work's.

correctional services managerESCO 1349.10Same scope
Correctional services managers manage the operations of a correctional facility. They supervise personnel, develop and oversee correctional procedures, and ensure the operation is compliant with legal regulations. They perform administrative duties and facilitate cooperation with external institutions and staff providing aid to the facility.

Source: European Commission, DG EMPL — ESCO API 2026-08-08 (bridge v1.2.1)

License: CC BY 4.0 (EU Reuse Notice)

View original

ESCO reuse terms and the modification notice are in Credits.

France classification links (ROME)

AI Changing Work's links between this occupation and ROME 4.0 job profiles, judged with AI models. Relations are read from this occupation's side. Links marked “provisional” were adopted on the judgments of two judges from the same model family (Claude) alone, or by an operator rule applied to their judgments, so they rest on weaker evidence than confirmed links.

ROME code	ROME title (French)	Relation
K1716	Chef / Cheffe de service pénitentiaire	This occupation is broaderprovisional
K1410	Directeur régional / Directrice régionale des services pénitentiaires	Related, not a matchprovisional
K1420	Directeur / Directrice d'établissement pénitentiaire	Related, not a matchprovisional
K1711	Surveillant pénitentiaire / Surveillante pénitentiaire	Related, not a matchprovisional

Source: France Travail — Répertoire Opérationnel des Métiers et des Emplois (ROME 4.0), version 61, last updated 15 June 2026 (https://www.data.gouv.fr/datasets/repertoire-operationnel-des-metiers-et-des-emplois-rome). Licence Ouverte 2.0.

ROME codes and titles are reproduced unchanged; the links to O*NET-SOC occupations are AI Changing Work's own judgment and are not a France Travail correspondence.

(AI Changing Work link release: fr-direct v1)

Spain classification links (CNO-11)

AI Changing Work's links between this occupation and CNO-11 occupations, judged with AI models. Relations are read from this occupation's side.

CNO-11 code	CNO-11 title (Spanish)	Relation
5991	Vigilantes de prisiones	This occupation is narrower

Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE), National Classification of Occupations 2011 (CNO-11, Royal Decree 1591/2010) — www.ine.es · Licensed CC BY 4.0. CNO-11 codes and Spanish titles are reproduced unchanged; the links to O*NET occupations are AI Changing Work's own judgment and are not an INE correspondence.

(AI Changing Work link release: es-direct v1)

Germany classification links (KldB)

AI Changing Work's links between this occupation and KldB occupations, judged with AI models. Relations are read from this occupation's side.

KldB code	KldB title (German)	Relation
53243	Berufe im Justizvollzugsdienst - komplexe Spezialistentätigkeiten	This occupation is narrower
53242	Berufe im Justizvollzugsdienst - fachlich ausgerichtete Tätigkeiten	Related, not a match
53244	Berufe im Justizvollzugsdienst - hoch komplexe Tätigkeiten	Related, not a matchprovisional

Source: © Statistik der Bundesagentur für Arbeit — Klassifikation der Berufe 2010 – überarbeitete Fassung 2020, https://statistik.arbeitsagentur.de. KldB codes and titles are reproduced unchanged; the links to O*NET occupations are AI Changing Work's own mapping (eigene Zuordnung) and are not a Bundesagentur für Arbeit correspondence.

(AI Changing Work link release: de-direct v1)

Japan classification links (JSCO)

AI Changing Work's links between this occupation and JSCO occupations, judged with AI models. Relations are read from this occupation's side.

JSCO code	JSCO title (Japanese)	Relation
451	看守	This occupation is narrower

Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (MIC), Japan Standard Occupational Classification (Dec. 2009, MIC Notification No. 555). JSCO codes and Japanese titles are reproduced unchanged; the links to O*NET occupations are AI Changing Work's own judgment and are not a MIC correspondence.

(AI Changing Work link release: jp-direct v1)

Sources, licenses and AI Changing Work's modification and translation notices for this page: Credits & sources