Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers

Transportation and Material Moving Occupations
O*NET-SOC code
53-4013.00

Drive switching or other locomotive or dinkey engines within railroad yard, industrial plant, quarry, construction project, or similar location.

  • Data source: BLSPublished: 2026-08

    Moderate· relative

    LowFour relative bandsVery high

    Group-level value

    Scale, basis and source

    Four relative bands (Low / Moderate / High / Very high)

    831 detailed occupations in the BLS Employment Projections table. Assigned per National Employment Matrix (NEM) code, so occupations sharing a NEM code carry the same band

    Source dataset (XLSX download)

  • Data source: AnthropicPublished: 2026-03

    0.000

    0.000Range of values carried here0.745
    Scale, basis and source

    Observed exposure index, 0–1 as published

    Mapped onto O*NET tasks

    Published per SOC 2018 occupation; every O*NET occupation with the same SOC 2018 code carries this value

    Source dataset (CSV download)

  • Data source: ILOPublished: 2025

    0.20

    0.09Range of values carried here0.70

    Group-level value

    Scale, basis and source

    Generative AI exposure index, 0–1 as published

    Published per ISCO-08 unit group. Linked to this occupation, wholly or in part, by applying U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics crosswalks (ISCO-08 to 2010 SOC, 2010 SOC to 2018 SOC) as published

    Source dataset (PDF download)

What kind of figure this source publishes

The BLS category is a relative rank, not an absolute level, and it is not a first-hand measurement: it groups an occupation's percentile ranks across several published studies into four bands. It is not an employment or wage forecast, not a probability of adoption, and it does not separate automation from augmentation.

Task-level exposure

Show 20 hidden tasks

25 rated tasks · 5 tasks with β ≥ 0.5 (20.0%)

β = direct exposure (E1) + 0.5 × exposure when tools are available (E2), per the source repository's definition.

  • Source unit: O*NET 27.2 tasks → O*NET 31.0 occupation code
  • 2 rated tasks are not in the O*NET 31.0 task list; their scores are kept as published for O*NET 27.2.
Source
OpenAI "GPTs are GPTs" exposure rubric
Release
gh-main-0471612
License
MIT License, Copyright (c) 2024 OpenAI

Values in this tab are predicted labels, not observations. Eloundou et al. (2023) published two rating regimes — human raters and GPT-4 — and the β shown here is derived from the GPT-4 rater basis alone; the same task can take a different value under the other regime. The unit and the meaning differ from the observed shares (%) in the other tabs, so do not place them on the same axis.

Task (O*NET 27.2)βE1 + 0.5 × E2
Confer with conductors and other workers via radiotelephones or computers to exchange switching information.

O*NET Task ID 10665

1.0
Read switching instructions and daily car schedules to determine work to be performed, or receive orders from yard conductors.

O*NET Task ID 10671

1.0
Receive, relay, and act upon instructions and inquiries from train operations and customer service center personnel.

O*NET Task ID 10678

1.0
Report arrival and departure times, train delays, work order completion, and time on duty.

O*NET Task ID 10680

1.0
Record numbers of cars available, numbers of cars sent to repair stations, and types of service needed.

O*NET Task ID 10684

1.0

β = E1 + 0.5 × E2 · E1 = tasks where direct LLM access alone cuts time by at least 50%, E2 = tasks where software built on top of an LLM cuts time by at least 50%. Values take only 0 / 0.5 / 1.0.

Data sources & licenses — O*NET®, Eloundou et al. (2023): see full notices on the Credits page

All O*NET 31.0 task statements (23)

All O*NET 31.0 task statements for this occupation (English, as published; task type core or supplemental). Exposure values are not listed here; they are in the table above, next to each task statement as worded in the O*NET version each source used.

Task (O*NET 31.0)Type
Confer with conductors and other workers via radiotelephones or computers to exchange switching information.Core
Signal crew members for movement of engines or trains, using lanterns, hand signals, radios, or telephones.Core
Observe and respond to wayside and cab signals, including color light signals, position signals, torpedoes, flags, and hot box detectors.Core
Drive engines within railroad yards or other establishments to couple, uncouple, or switch railroad cars.Core
Inspect engines before and after use to ensure proper operation.Core
Apply and release hand brakes.Core
Read switching instructions and daily car schedules to determine work to be performed, or receive orders from yard conductors.Core
Inspect the condition of stationary trains, rolling stock, and equipment.Core
Observe water levels and oil, air, and steam pressure gauges to ensure proper operation of equipment.Core
Spot cars for loading and unloading at customer locations.Core
Inspect track for defects such as broken rails and switch malfunctions.Core
Operate track switches, derails, automatic switches, and retarders to change routing of train or cars.Core
Receive, relay, and act upon instructions and inquiries from train operations and customer service center personnel.Core
Couple and uncouple air hoses and electrical connections between cars.Core
Report arrival and departure times, train delays, work order completion, and time on duty.Core
Pull knuckles to open them for coupling.Core
Provide assistance in aligning drawbars, using available equipment to lift, pull, or push on the drawbars.Core
Drive locomotives to and from various stations in roundhouses to have locomotives cleaned, serviced, repaired, or supplied.Core
Perform routine repair and maintenance duties.Core
Ride on moving cars by holding onto grab irons and standing on ladder steps.Supplemental
Record numbers of cars available, numbers of cars sent to repair stations, and types of service needed.Supplemental
Operate flatcars equipped with derricks or railcars to transport personnel or equipment.Supplemental
Provide assistance in the installation or repair of rails and ties.Supplemental

Occupation information

Employment outlook (BLS)

Employment, 2025
4K
Projected employment, 2035
4K
Change (2025–35)
+0.8%
Median annual wage, 2025
$60,600
Typical education needed for entry
High school diploma or equivalent
lowest $30,890median wage across 825 detailed occupations, BLS EP 2025–35highest $559,030

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2025–35 — Employment by detailed occupation, 2025 and projected 2035

Korea classification links (KSCO)

Links from the current release of the Korea Occupation Direct Crosswalk v1.1, made by AI Changing Work. Relation values are read from the O*NET-SOC occupation side.

KSCO codeKSCO titleRelationStatus
87119그 외 철도 및 전동차 기관사This occupation is narrowerconfirmed

Relation and status definitions(kr-direct v1.1)

ILO occupational description

AI Changing Work links the ISCO-08 unit groups below to this occupation by applying the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics crosswalks (2018 SOC to 2010 SOC, 2010 SOC to ISCO-08) as published, without case-by-case selection; each link may be whole or partial.

  • ISCO-08 8311Locomotive Engine Drivers

The definition, tasks and examples below are the ILO's description of that unit group, not of this occupation.

Locomotive engine drivers drive, or assist in driving, locomotive engines to transport passengers and freight.

Tasks

  • (a) driving or assisting in driving a steam, electric or diesel-electric locomotive engine;
  • (b) driving an underground or elevated passenger train;
  • (c) driving a locomotive to haul carriages underground or on the surface of a mine or quarry;
  • (d) watching for track hazards, observing signals and indicator gauges;
  • (e) operating communications systems to communicate with train crews and traffic controllers to ensure safe operation and scheduling of trains.

Example occupations

Locomotive driver · Metropolitan railway driver · Train driver

Sources: ILO ISCO-08 — details: Credits

ESCO occupational vocabulary

Each entry below is matched to this occupation in the published ESCO-O*NET Crosswalk (version 1, 2022). The match types are that crosswalk's; the wording is AI Changing Work's.

  • shunterESCO 8312.3Same scope

    Shunters move shunting units with or without wagons or groups of wagons in order to build trains. They manage the driving of locomotives and are involved in switching wagons, making or splitting up trains in shunting yards or sidings. They operate according to the technical features, such as controlling movement via a remote control device.

  • rail maintenance technicianESCO 3112.1.10Overlapping, not the same

    Rail maintenance technicians execute routine inspections of railway tracks, powerlines, signage stations, switches, and other railway infrastructure. They are also sent out to repair defects quickly, safely, and at any time of the day or night.

  • rail switchpersonESCO 8312.2Overlapping, not the same

    Rail switchpersons assist in the tasks of the traffic controller. They operate switches and signals according to rail traffic control instructions, according to regulations and compliant with safety rules.

Source: European Commission, DG EMPL — ESCO API 2026-08-08 (bridge v1.2.1)

License: CC BY 4.0 (EU Reuse Notice)

View original

ESCO reuse terms and the modification notice are in Credits.

France classification links (ROME)

AI Changing Work's links between this occupation and ROME 4.0 job profiles, judged with AI models. Relations are read from this occupation's side. Links marked “provisional” were adopted on the judgments of two judges from the same model family (Claude) alone, or by an operator rule applied to their judgments, so they rest on weaker evidence than confirmed links.

ROME codeROME title (French)Relation
N4303Conducteur / Conductrice d'engins de manœuvre du réseau ferréSame scopeprovisional
N4301Conducteur / Conductrice de trainRelated, not a matchprovisional
N4403Opérateur / Opératrice ferroviaireRelated, not a matchprovisional

Source: France Travail — Répertoire Opérationnel des Métiers et des Emplois (ROME 4.0), version 61, last updated 15 June 2026 (https://www.data.gouv.fr/datasets/repertoire-operationnel-des-metiers-et-des-emplois-rome). Licence Ouverte 2.0.

ROME codes and titles are reproduced unchanged; the links to O*NET-SOC occupations are AI Changing Work's own judgment and are not a France Travail correspondence.

(AI Changing Work link release: fr-direct v1)

Spain classification links (CNO-11)

AI Changing Work's links between this occupation and CNO-11 occupations, judged with AI models. Relations are read from this occupation's side.

CNO-11 codeCNO-11 title (Spanish)Relation
8311Maquinistas de locomotorasThis occupation is narrower
8312Agentes de maniobras ferroviariasRelated, not a match

Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE), National Classification of Occupations 2011 (CNO-11, Royal Decree 1591/2010) — www.ine.es · Licensed CC BY 4.0. CNO-11 codes and Spanish titles are reproduced unchanged; the links to O*NET occupations are AI Changing Work's own judgment and are not an INE correspondence.

(AI Changing Work link release: es-direct v1)

Germany classification links (KldB)

AI Changing Work's links between this occupation and KldB occupations, judged with AI models. Relations are read from this occupation's side.

KldB codeKldB title (German)Relation
52202Triebfahrzeugführer/innen im Eisenbahnverkehr (ohne Spezialisierung) - fachlich ausgerichtete TätigkeitenThis occupation is narrower

Source: © Statistik der Bundesagentur für Arbeit — Klassifikation der Berufe 2010 – überarbeitete Fassung 2020, https://statistik.arbeitsagentur.de. KldB codes and titles are reproduced unchanged; the links to O*NET occupations are AI Changing Work's own mapping (eigene Zuordnung) and are not a Bundesagentur für Arbeit correspondence.

(AI Changing Work link release: de-direct v1)

Japan classification links (JSCO)

AI Changing Work's links between this occupation and JSCO occupations, judged with AI models. Relations are read from this occupation's side.

JSCO codeJSCO title (Japanese)Relation
609その他の鉄道運転従事者This occupation is narrowerprovisional
632鉄道輸送関連業務従事者Related, not a matchprovisional

Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications (MIC), Japan Standard Occupational Classification (Dec. 2009, MIC Notification No. 555). JSCO codes and Japanese titles are reproduced unchanged; the links to O*NET occupations are AI Changing Work's own judgment and are not a MIC correspondence.

(AI Changing Work link release: jp-direct v1)

Sources, licenses and AI Changing Work's modification and translation notices for this page: Credits & sources