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Administrative Services Managers

Managementhighaugment
BLS 2024-34: +5%
Median Wage: $104,000
Employment: 260K

Overall Exposure

55+15

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

73

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

40

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

46

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 โ†’ 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

55โ†’71
+16

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

73โ†’86
+13

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

40โ†’56
+16

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

46โ†’62
+16

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
202340602633actual
202447663239actual
202555734046actual
202661784652estimated
202766825157estimated
202871865662estimated

Task Breakdown

Manage records systems and automate document workflows
78%ฮฒ 1
Draft administrative policies and standard operating procedures
60%ฮฒ 1
Coordinate office space planning and resource procurement
35%ฮฒ 0.5
Supervise administrative staff and resolve workplace issues
18%ฮฒ 0

About This Occupation

If you work as an Administrative Services Manager, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 46/100 and overall exposure at 55%, this role faces high transformation. The highest-impact area is manage records systems and automate document workflows at 78% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role. BLS projects +5% growth through 2034. AI is rapidly automating records management, document workflows, and policy drafting, but supervising staff and resolving nuanced workplace issues still depend on human judgment and interpersonal skills.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 46%, Administrative Services Managers faces a moderate level of AI-driven change. Some tasks can be automated, but many require human judgment, creativity, or interpersonal skills that AI cannot yet replicate. The role is more likely to evolve alongside AI than be replaced.

The AI automation risk score for Administrative Services Managers is 46% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 55%, with 73% theoretical exposure and 40% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +13 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Administrative Services Managers are: Manage records systems and automate document workflows (78%), Draft administrative policies and standard operating procedures (60%), Coordinate office space planning and resource procurement (35%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects +5% employment change for Administrative Services Managers from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 55%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Administrative Services Managers should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.