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Armored Car Guards

Protective Servicelowaugment
BLS 2024-34: -8%
Median Wage: $36,610
Employment: 44K

Overall Exposure

19+7

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

35

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

9

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

30

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

1930
+11

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

3548
+13

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

917
+8

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

3041
+11

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
20231225522actual
20241530726actual
20251935930actual
202623401234estimated
202727441538estimated
202830481741estimated

Task Breakdown

Plan and verify secure transport routes using GPS tracking
45%β 0.5
Physically guard and escort currency during transfers
5%β 0
Log and reconcile cash deliveries and pickups
60%β 1
Monitor vehicle security systems and alarms
55%β 0.5

About This Occupation

If you work as an Armored Car Guard, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 30/100 and overall exposure at 19%, this role faces low transformation. The highest-impact area is log and reconcile cash deliveries and pickups at 60% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role. BLS projects -8% growth through 2034. While physical guarding remains irreplaceable, the ongoing shift toward digital payments is reducing demand for cash transport services.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 30%, Armored Car Guards has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

The AI automation risk score for Armored Car Guards is 30% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 19%, with 35% theoretical exposure and 9% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +8 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Armored Car Guards are: Log and reconcile cash deliveries and pickups (60%), Monitor vehicle security systems and alarms (55%), Plan and verify secure transport routes using GPS tracking (45%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects -8% employment change for Armored Car Guards from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 19%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Armored Car Guards should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.