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Athletic Trainers

Education & Traininglowaugment
BLS 2024-34: +14%
Median Wage: $56,420
Employment: 35K

Overall Exposure

23+8

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

40

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

12

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

14

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 โ†’ 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

23โ†’34
+11

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

40โ†’53
+13

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

12โ†’21
+9

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

14โ†’22
+8

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
2023153058actual
20241935811actual
202523401214actual
202627451517estimated
202731491820estimated
202834532122estimated

Task Breakdown

Assess and diagnose musculoskeletal injuries
20%ฮฒ 0
Design and implement rehabilitation exercise programs
30%ฮฒ 0.5
Provide emergency care and first aid during athletic events
5%ฮฒ 0
Document patient progress and maintain medical records
55%ฮฒ 1

About This Occupation

If you work as an Athletic Trainer, AI has limited impact on your profession. With an automation risk of just 14/100 and overall exposure at 23%, this role faces low transformation. The highest-impact area is document patient progress and maintain medical records at 55% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role โ€” AI assists with data tracking while hands-on care remains essential. BLS projects +14% growth through 2034, much faster than average. The physical, interpersonal nature of this work provides strong protection against automation.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 14%, Athletic Trainers has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

The AI automation risk score for Athletic Trainers is 14% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 23%, with 40% theoretical exposure and 12% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +6 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Athletic Trainers are: Document patient progress and maintain medical records (55%), Design and implement rehabilitation exercise programs (30%), Assess and diagnose musculoskeletal injuries (20%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects +14% employment change for Athletic Trainers from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 23%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Athletic Trainers should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.

Recent AI Impact Changes

Mar 2026: New evergreen blog post on AI and athletes. Physical performance at 3-10% automation. BLS projects +13% growth.

[Source: AI Changing Work Blog]

Mar 2026: New blog post: athletic trainers face 27% AI exposure, 17% risk. 14% BLS growth.

[Source: ACW Blog]