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Bailiffs

Protective Servicevery lowaugment
BLS 2024-34: -2%
Median Wage: $48,000
Employment: 16K

Overall Exposure

10+5

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

20

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

5

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

7

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 โ†’ 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

10โ†’19
+9

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

20โ†’32
+12

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

5โ†’11
+6

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

7โ†’13
+6

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
202351224actual
202471535actual
2025102057actual
2026132479estimated
20271628911estimated
202819321113estimated

Task Breakdown

Process and serve legal documents and court orders
22%ฮฒ 0.5
Maintain physical security and order in courtrooms
3%ฮฒ 0
Escort and manage jury members and witnesses
2%ฮฒ 0
Log courtroom proceedings and maintain case records
35%ฮฒ 0.5

About This Occupation

If you work as a Bailiff, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 7/100 and overall exposure at 10%, this role faces very-low transformation. The highest-impact area is log courtroom proceedings and maintain case records at 35% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role. BLS projects -2% decline through 2034. The predominantly physical nature of courtroom security severely limits AI's applicability, though administrative record-keeping tasks see modest gains from automation.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 7%, Bailiffs has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

The AI automation risk score for Bailiffs is 7% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 10%, with 20% theoretical exposure and 5% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +3 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Bailiffs are: Log courtroom proceedings and maintain case records (35%), Process and serve legal documents and court orders (22%), Maintain physical security and order in courtrooms (3%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects -2% employment change for Bailiffs from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 10%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Bailiffs should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.

Recent AI Impact Changes

Mar 2026: Published evergreen blog post on bailiffs and AI. At 7% automation risk and 10% exposure, one of the most AI-proof jobs in America.

[Source: AIChanging.Work Blog]