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Boilermakers

Construction, Maintenance & Repairlowaugment
BLS 2024-34: -1%
Median Wage: $64,290
Employment: 17K

Overall Exposure

14+6

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

26

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

7

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

10

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

14→23
+9

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

26→38
+12

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

7→13
+6

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

10→16
+6

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
202381836actual
2024112258actual
20251426710actual
20261730912estimated
202720341114estimated
202823381316estimated

Task Breakdown

Examine boilers and pressure vessels for defects
25%β 0.5
Weld boiler sections and components using arc or gas welding
10%β 0
Read and interpret blueprints and technical drawings
30%β 0.5
Install and maintain boiler tubes, stacks, and fittings
8%β 0
Perform hydrostatic testing to verify vessel integrity
20%β 0.5

About This Occupation

If you work as a Boilermaker, AI has limited direct impact on your hands-on trade. With an automation risk of 10/100 and overall exposure at 14%, this role faces low transformation. The highest-impact area is reading and interpreting blueprints at 30% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role. BLS projects -1% decline through 2034. Skilled welding and physical assembly remain firmly human tasks, though AI-assisted inspection tools are emerging.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 10%, Boilermakers has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

The AI automation risk score for Boilermakers is 10% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 14%, with 26% theoretical exposure and 7% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +4 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Boilermakers are: Read and interpret blueprints and technical drawings (30%), Examine boilers and pressure vessels for defects (25%), Perform hydrostatic testing to verify vessel integrity (20%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects -1% employment change for Boilermakers from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 14%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Boilermakers should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.

Recent AI Impact Changes

Mar 2026: Evergreen blog post published analyzing AI impact on boilermakers (11% exposure, 8/100 risk).

[Source: AI Changing Work Blog]