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Boilermakers

Construction, Maintenance & Repairlowaugment
Projected change (est.): ~-1%
Median Wage (est.): ~$64,290
Employment (est.): ~17K

Overall Exposure

14+6

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

26

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

7

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

10

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

14→23
+9

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

26→38
+12

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

7→13
+6

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

10→16
+6

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Task Breakdown

Examine boilers and pressure vessels for defects
25%β 0.5
Weld boiler sections and components using arc or gas welding
10%β 0
Read and interpret blueprints and technical drawings
30%β 0.5
Install and maintain boiler tubes, stacks, and fittings
8%β 0
Perform hydrostatic testing to verify vessel integrity
20%β 0.5

About This Occupation

If you work as a Boilermaker, AI has limited direct impact on your hands-on trade. With an automation risk of 10/100 and overall exposure at 14%, this role faces low transformation. The highest-impact area is reading and interpreting blueprints at 30% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role. BLS projects -1% decline through 2034. Skilled welding and physical assembly remain firmly human tasks, though AI-assisted inspection tools are emerging.

ISCO-08 classification

Unit group 7213ILO official

Sheet Metal Workers

Definition

ILO original text (English)

Sheet metal workers make, install and repair articles and parts of articles made out of sheet metal such as sheet steel, copper, tin, brass, aluminium, zinc or galvanised iron.

Definition & vocabulary source

Source: International Labour Organization (ILO) — ISCO-08 Structure

License: ILO CC BY 4.0

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Official occupational information

  • ONET47-2011.00

    Boilermakers

    Construct, assemble, maintain, and repair stationary steam boilers and boiler house auxiliaries. Align structures or plate sections to assemble boiler frame tanks or vats, following blueprints. Work involves use of hand and power tools, plumb bobs, levels, wedges, dogs, or turnbuckles. Assist in testing assembled vessels. Direct cleaning of boilers and boiler furnaces. Inspect and repair boiler fittings, such as safety valves, regulators, automatic-control mechanisms, water columns, and auxiliary machines.

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  • ONET47-2211.00

    Sheet Metal Workers

    Fabricate, assemble, install, and repair sheet metal products and equipment, such as ducts, control boxes, drainpipes, and furnace casings. Work may involve any of the following: setting up and operating fabricating machines to cut, bend, and straighten sheet metal; shaping metal over anvils, blocks, or forms using hammer; operating soldering and welding equipment to join sheet metal parts; or inspecting, assembling, and smoothing seams and joints of burred surfaces. Includes sheet metal duct installers who install prefabricated sheet metal ducts used for heating, air conditioning, or other purposes.

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Source: O*NET 30.2, U.S. DOL/ETA

License: CC BY 4.0

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Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 10%, Boilermakers has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

Our estimated AI automation risk score for Boilermakers is 10% for 2025. Estimated overall AI exposure is 14%, with 26% theoretical exposure and 7% observed exposure. The estimated risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +4 points. All of these are model-generated estimates, not measurements.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Boilermakers are: Read and interpret blueprints and technical drawings (30%), Examine boilers and pressure vessels for defects (25%), Perform hydrostatic testing to verify vessel integrity (20%). These rates are our own estimates of how much of each task current AI systems can handle. They are not measurements and are not taken from any external dataset.

We estimate a -1% employment change for Boilermakers between 2024 and 2034. This is our own estimate, not a figure published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Combined with an estimated overall AI exposure of 14%, this occupation faces both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Boilermakers should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.

Recent AI Impact Changes

Mar 2026: Evergreen blog post published analyzing AI impact on boilermakers (11% exposure, 8/100 risk).

[Source: AI Changing Work Blog]