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Cashiers

Sales & Marketinghighautomate
Projected change (est.): ~-10%
Median Wage (est.): ~$29,120
Employment (est.): ~3.3M

Overall Exposure

62+14

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

78

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

40

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

64

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

62→77
+15

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

78→91
+13

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

40→54
+14

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

64→78
+14

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Task Breakdown

Process payment transactions
90%β 1
Scan and bag items
85%β 1
Balance cash register
75%β 1
Assist customers with inquiries
45%β 0.5

About This Occupation

If you work as a Cashier, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 64/100 and overall exposure at 62%, this role faces high transformation. The highest-impact area is process payment transactions at 90% automation. This is classified as an 'automate' role. BLS projects -10% growth through 2034. Self-checkout and automated payment systems are rapidly replacing traditional cashier roles across retail.

ISCO-08 classification

Unit group 5230ILO official

Cashiers and Ticket Clerks

Definition

ILO original text (English)

Cashiers and ticket clerks operate cash registers, optical price scanners, computers or other equipment to record and accept payment for the purchase of goods, services and admissions in settings such as stores, restaurants and ticket offices.

Definition & vocabulary source

Source: International Labour Organization (ILO) — ISCO-08 Structure

License: ILO CC BY 4.0

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Official occupational information

  • ONET41-2011.00

    Cashiers

    Receive and disburse money in establishments other than financial institutions. May use electronic scanners, cash registers, or related equipment. May process credit or debit card transactions and validate checks.

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Source: O*NET 30.2, U.S. DOL/ETA

License: CC BY 4.0

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Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 64%, Cashiers faces a significant risk of AI-driven displacement. Many core tasks in this role can be automated by current AI systems. However, full replacement is unlikely in the near term -- AI will more likely transform the role rather than eliminate it entirely.

Our estimated AI automation risk score for Cashiers is 64% for 2025. Estimated overall AI exposure is 62%, with 78% theoretical exposure and 40% observed exposure. The estimated risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +14 points. All of these are model-generated estimates, not measurements.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Cashiers are: Process payment transactions (90%), Scan and bag items (85%), Balance cash register (75%). These rates are our own estimates of how much of each task current AI systems can handle. They are not measurements and are not taken from any external dataset.

We estimate a -10% employment change for Cashiers between 2024 and 2034. This is our own estimate, not a figure published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Combined with an estimated overall AI exposure of 62%, this occupation faces both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily automates tasks in this role, professionals in Cashiers should focus on developing skills that complement AI rather than compete with it. Consider learning AI tool management, shifting toward supervisory and quality-control tasks, and building expertise in areas where human judgment remains essential.