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Dock Workers

Transportation & Material Movingmediummixed
BLS 2024-34: -2%
Median Wage: $44,150
Employment: 75K

Overall Exposure

46

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

67

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

25

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

40

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 โ†’ 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

46โ†’62
+16

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

67โ†’80
+13

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

25โ†’44
+19

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

40โ†’55
+15

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
202440621835actual
202546672540estimated
202652723245estimated
202757763850estimated
202862804455estimated

Task Breakdown

Track and log cargo inventory using digital manifest systems
72%ฮฒ 1
Operate cranes and forklifts to load and unload containers
30%ฮฒ 0.5
Secure and inspect freight for safe maritime transport
18%ฮฒ 0

About This Occupation

If you work as a Dock Worker, AI and automation are transforming cargo tracking while physical handling remains essential. With an automation risk of 40/100 and overall exposure at 46%, this role faces medium transformation. Inventory tracking sees the highest automation at 72%. BLS projects -2% decline through 2034.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 40%, Dock Workers faces a moderate level of AI-driven change. Some tasks can be automated, but many require human judgment, creativity, or interpersonal skills that AI cannot yet replicate. The role is more likely to evolve alongside AI than be replaced.

The AI automation risk score for Dock Workers is 40% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 46%, with 67% theoretical exposure and 25% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is 0 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Dock Workers are: Track and log cargo inventory using digital manifest systems (72%), Operate cranes and forklifts to load and unload containers (30%), Secure and inspect freight for safe maritime transport (18%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects -2% employment change for Dock Workers from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 46%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Dock Workers should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.