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ESL Teachers

Education & Training
Projected change 2024–34: -13.7%
Median annual wage (2024): $59,950
Employment (2024): 41K

United States · BLS Employment Projections 2024–34 (figures for SOC 25-3011 occupational group)

AI exposure in published research

Figures below are reproduced from external datasets without modification. Where a dataset does not cover this occupation, the value is shown as — rather than as zero.

Data provider: OpenAI · "GPTs are GPTs"

Time basis: 2023 baselineex-ante estimate

Scored against GPT-4-generation capability.

Human rater basis
42.6%
GPT-4 rater basis
40.4%

β = direct exposure (E1) + 0.5 × exposure when tools are available (E2), per the source repository's definition.

39 rated tasks · 25 tasks with β ≥ 0.5 (64.1%)

Version:
gh-main-0471612
License:
MIT License · Copyright (c) 2024 OpenAI

Data provider: Anthropic Economic Index

Time basis: Published 2026-03-05composite index

Observed exposure
6.4%

Theoretical exposure index weighted by measured Claude usage, per the original report's definition.

39 tasks · usage observed in 8 · mean 17.2%

Data: Anthropic Economic Index — labor_market_impacts, CC-BY, https://huggingface.co/datasets/Anthropic/EconomicIndex

AI Changing Work uses Anthropic Economic Index data under CC-BY; Anthropic does not endorse or sponsor this site or its analyses.

Version:
hf-lmi-2026-03
License:
CC BY 4.0
Observation period:
(not applicable to this release)
Model:
(not stated by the source)

2023 prediction vs observation-based index published 2026-03-05

One card (GPTs are GPTs) is a 2023 estimate of what AI could theoretically do; the other (Anthropic Economic Index) is built from observed usage and was published on 2026-03-05 — that is its publication date, not the period it observed. They measure different things, so the two figures cannot be added, averaged, or ranked against each other. The older figure is kept here as a baseline for comparison rather than removed.

Caution: the Anthropic figures — observed exposure and task penetration — take the Eloundou β as one of their inputs. The two sides resembling each other is therefore not evidence that the earlier prediction came true; reading it that way is circular reasoning.

The Anthropic figures are measured on Claude users, who are not the whole economy and not the whole workforce.

The mapping of O*NET tasks and occupation codes was performed by AI Changing Work. The source figures themselves were not modified.

These indices are not forecasts. Which point in time each one belongs to is stated on the badge on its card.

Task Breakdown

  • Create language learning materials and exercises
  • Assess student language proficiency levels
  • Lead conversational practice and pronunciation coaching
  • Adapt lessons for diverse cultural backgrounds

About This Occupation

If you work as an ESL Teacher, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 22/100 and overall exposure at 43%, this role faces moderate transformation. The highest-impact area is creating language learning materials and exercises at 70% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role. BLS projects +5% growth through 2034, with median annual wage of $60,100. AI-powered language tools like chatbots and translation engines can generate practice exercises and provide instant grammar feedback, reducing preparation time. However, effective ESL teaching depends heavily on cultural sensitivity, emotional support for learners navigating a new language, and real-time adaptation to student needs during live conversation -- capabilities that remain fundamentally human.

ISCO-08 classification

Unit group 2353ILO official

Other Language Teachers

Definition

ILO original text (English)

Other language teachers teach non-native languages to adults and children who are learning a language for reasons of migration, to fulfil employment requirements or opportunities, to facilitate participation in educational programmes delivered in a foreign language, or for personal enrichment. They work outside the mainstream primary, secondary and higher education systems, or in support of students and teachers within those systems.

Definition & vocabulary source

Source: International Labour Organization (ILO) — ISCO-08 Structure

License: ILO CC BY 4.0

View original

Official occupational information

  • ONET25-3011.00

    Adult Basic Education, Adult Secondary Education, and English as a Second Language Instructors

    Teach or instruct out-of-school youths and adults in basic education, literacy, or English as a Second Language classes, or in classes for earning a high school equivalency credential.

    View original

Source: O*NET 30.2, U.S. DOL/ETA

License: CC BY 4.0

View original

Frequently Asked Questions

The Anthropic Economic Index puts observed exposure at 6.4%. The OpenAI "GPTs are GPTs" rubric puts occupation-level β at 42.6% under human raters. Both figures are reproduced from published research without modification.

They come from two published datasets: the Anthropic Economic Index (labor_market_impacts, CC BY 4.0) and the OpenAI "GPTs are GPTs" exposure rubric (MIT License, Copyright (c) 2024 OpenAI). AI Changing Work maps them onto O*NET occupation and task codes and does not calculate exposure scores of its own. AI Changing Work uses Anthropic Economic Index data under CC-BY; Anthropic does not endorse or sponsor this site or its analyses.

No. They are a diagnosis of exposure as measured at the time each source dataset was published. AI Changing Work publishes no prediction of future automation or job displacement for this occupation.

Recent Changes Affecting This Occupation

Mar 2026: Published evergreen blog post analyzing AI impact on ESL teachers: 22% automation risk, 43% exposure. AI generates learning materials (70%), but cultural empathy and pronunciation coaching stay human.

[Source: AI Changing Work Blog]