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Fire Marshals

Protective Servicemediumaugment
BLS 2024-34: +4%
Median Wage: $68,210
Employment: 16K

Overall Exposure

38

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

56

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

20

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

17

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

3851
+13

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

5669
+13

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

2033
+13

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

1727
+10

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
202434521614actual
202538562017estimated
202643612521estimated
202747652924estimated
202851693327estimated

Task Breakdown

Review fire investigation reports and evidence documentation
55%β 1
Conduct on-site fire origin and cause investigations
15%β 0
Analyze building inspection data for code compliance
64%β 1

About This Occupation

If you work as a Fire Marshal, AI is augmenting your investigative and analytical work. With an automation risk of 17/100 and overall exposure at 38%, this role faces medium transformation. Building inspection data analysis sees the highest automation at 64%. BLS projects +4% growth through 2034.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 17%, Fire Marshals has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

The AI automation risk score for Fire Marshals is 17% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 38%, with 56% theoretical exposure and 20% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is 0 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Fire Marshals are: Analyze building inspection data for code compliance (64%), Review fire investigation reports and evidence documentation (55%), Conduct on-site fire origin and cause investigations (15%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects +4% employment change for Fire Marshals from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 38%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Fire Marshals should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.