Natural Sciences Managers

Management

AI exposure

  • Data source: BLSPublished: 2026-08

    High· relative

    LowFour relative bandsVery high

    Group-level value

    Scale, basis and source

    Four relative bands (Low / Moderate / High / Very high)

    831 detailed occupations in the BLS Employment Projections table. Assigned per National Employment Matrix (NEM) code, so occupations sharing a NEM code carry the same band

    Source dataset (XLSX download)

  • Data source: AnthropicPublished: 2026-03

    0.061

    0.000Range of values carried here0.745
    Scale, basis and source

    Observed exposure index, 0–1 as published

    Mapped onto O*NET tasks

    Source dataset

  • Data source: ILOPublished: 2025

    0.40

    0.09Range of values carried here0.70

    Group-level value

    Scale, basis and source

    Generative AI exposure index, 0–1 as published

    ISCO-08 unit group — every occupation sharing the code gets this value

    Computed by this site, not published by the ILO: of the 1,012 occupations this site links to the ILO dataset, 39% score at or above this value.

    Source dataset

What kind of figure this source publishes

The BLS category is a relative rank, not an absolute level, and it is not a first-hand measurement: it groups an occupation's percentile ranks across several published studies into four bands. It is not an employment or wage forecast, not a probability of adoption, and it does not separate automation from augmentation.

Task-level exposure

Values in this tab are predicted labels, not observations. Eloundou et al. (2023) published two rating regimes — human raters and GPT-4 — and the β shown here is derived from the GPT-4 rater basis alone; the same task can take a different value under the other regime. The unit and the meaning differ from the observed shares (%) in the other tabs, so do not place them on the same axis.

TaskβE1 + 0.5 × E2
Prepare project proposals.

O*NET Task ID 7206

1.0
Conduct own research in field of expertise.

O*NET Task ID 7214

1.0
Confer with scientists, engineers, regulators, or others to plan or review projects or to provide technical assistance.

O*NET Task ID 7203

0.5
Develop client relationships and communicate with clients to explain proposals, present research findings, establish specifications, or discuss project status.

O*NET Task ID 7204

0.5
Plan or direct research, development, or production activities.

O*NET Task ID 7205

0.5
Design or coordinate successive phases of problem analysis, solution proposals, or testing.

O*NET Task ID 7207

0.5
Review project activities and prepare and review research, testing, or operational reports.

O*NET Task ID 7208

0.5
Hire, supervise, or evaluate engineers, technicians, researchers, or other staff.

O*NET Task ID 7209

0.5
Determine scientific or technical goals within broad outlines provided by top management and make detailed plans to accomplish these goals.

O*NET Task ID 7210

0.5
Develop or implement policies, standards, or procedures for the architectural, scientific, or technical work performed to ensure regulatory compliance or operations enhancement.

O*NET Task ID 7211

0.5

β = E1 + 0.5 × E2 · E1 = tasks where direct LLM access alone cuts time by at least 50%, E2 = tasks where software built on top of an LLM cuts time by at least 50%. Values take only 0 / 0.5 / 1.0.

Data sources & licenses — O*NET®, Eloundou et al. (2023): see full notices on the Credits page

Occupation information