All occupationsCompare
Export

Pipe Fitters

Construction, Maintenance & Repairlowaugment
BLS 2024-34: +2%
Median Wage: $61,550
Employment: 135K

Overall Exposure

21

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

36

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

7

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

10

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 โ†’ 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

21โ†’32
+11

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

36โ†’48
+12

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

7โ†’16
+9

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

10โ†’17
+7

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
2024183258actual
20252136710estimated
202625401012estimated
202728441314estimated
202832481617estimated

Task Breakdown

Read and interpret blueprints and specifications
35%ฮฒ 0.5
Cut, thread, and bend pipes to required specifications
12%ฮฒ 0
Inspect and test installed pipe systems for leaks
28%ฮฒ 0.5

About This Occupation

If you work as a Pipe Fitter, AI has limited impact on your hands-on work. With an automation risk of 10/100 and overall exposure at 21%, this highly physical trade faces low transformation. Blueprint reading sees the most AI augmentation at 35%. BLS projects +2% growth through 2034.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 10%, Pipe Fitters has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

The AI automation risk score for Pipe Fitters is 10% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 21%, with 36% theoretical exposure and 7% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is 0 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Pipe Fitters are: Read and interpret blueprints and specifications (35%), Inspect and test installed pipe systems for leaks (28%), Cut, thread, and bend pipes to required specifications (12%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects +2% employment change for Pipe Fitters from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 21%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Pipe Fitters should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.

Recent AI Impact Changes

Mar 2026: Evergreen blog post published analyzing AI impact on pipe fitters (18% exposure, 8/100 risk).

[Source: AI Changing Work Blog]