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Protective Agents

Protective Servicelowaugment
BLS 2024-34: +6%
Median Wage: $72,350
Employment: 19K

Overall Exposure

22

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

39

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

9

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

11

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

2234
+12

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

3951
+12

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

921
+12

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

1120
+9

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
2024183558actual
20252239911estimated
202626431314estimated
202730471717estimated
202834512120estimated

Task Breakdown

Assess and monitor threat environments
35%β 0.5
Provide physical close protection
3%β 0
Plan secure travel routes and advance logistics
40%β 0.5

About This Occupation

If you work as a Protective Agent, AI is augmenting your threat assessment and route planning tasks. With an automation risk of 11/100 and overall exposure at 22%, this role faces low transformation. Route planning sees the highest automation at 40%. BLS projects +6% growth through 2034.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 11%, Protective Agents has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

The AI automation risk score for Protective Agents is 11% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 22%, with 39% theoretical exposure and 9% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is 0 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Protective Agents are: Plan secure travel routes and advance logistics (40%), Assess and monitor threat environments (35%), Provide physical close protection (3%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects +6% employment change for Protective Agents from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 22%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Protective Agents should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.