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Public Defenders

Legalmediumaugment
BLS 2024-34: +8%
Median Wage: $82,640
Employment: 15K

Overall Exposure

45

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

67

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

23

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

15

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

4559
+14

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

6779
+12

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

2340
+17

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

1524
+9

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
202440621812actual
202545672315estimated
202650712918estimated
202755753521estimated
202859794024estimated

Task Breakdown

Research case law and prepare legal briefs
70%β 1
Interview clients and witnesses to build case strategy
10%β 0
Argue motions and conduct trial advocacy in court
8%β 0

About This Occupation

If you work as a Public Defender, AI is augmenting your legal research and document preparation tasks. With an automation risk of 15/100 and overall exposure at 45%, this role faces medium transformation. Legal research sees the highest automation at 70%, but courtroom advocacy remains almost entirely human. BLS projects +8% growth through 2034.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 15%, Public Defenders has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

The AI automation risk score for Public Defenders is 15% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 45%, with 67% theoretical exposure and 23% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is 0 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Public Defenders are: Research case law and prepare legal briefs (70%), Interview clients and witnesses to build case strategy (10%), Argue motions and conduct trial advocacy in court (8%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects +8% employment change for Public Defenders from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 45%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Public Defenders should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.

Recent AI Impact Changes

Mar 2026: Published evergreen blog post on AI and public defenders. Legal research at 70% automation may help solve the caseload crisis. Courtroom advocacy stays at 8%.

[Source: AIChanging.Work Blog]