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Food Service Managers

Food Preparation & Servicemediumaugment
Projected change (est.): ~+8%
Median Wage (est.): ~$62,000
Employment (est.): ~340K

Overall Exposure

35+13

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

48

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

18

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

25

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

3550
+15

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

4863
+15

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

1833
+15

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

2537
+12

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Task Breakdown

Schedule staff and manage labor costs
55%β 1
Analyze sales data and financial reports
60%β 1
Ensure food safety and health compliance
25%β 0.5
Handle customer complaints and feedback
20%β 0

About This Occupation

If you work as a Food Service Managers, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 25/100 and overall exposure at 35%, this role faces medium transformation. The highest-impact area is analyze sales data and financial reports at 60% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role. BLS projects +8% growth through 2034. AI excels at back-office analytics and scheduling, but leadership, crisis handling, and hospitality judgment remain distinctly human strengths.

ISCO-08 classification

Unit group 1412ILO official

Restaurant Managers

Definition

ILO original text (English)

Restaurant managers plan, organize and direct the operations of cafes, restaurants and related establishments to provide dining and catering services.

Definition & vocabulary source

Source: International Labour Organization (ILO) — ISCO-08 Structure

License: ILO CC BY 4.0

View original

Official occupational information

  • ONET11-9051.00

    Food Service Managers

    Plan, direct, or coordinate activities of an organization or department that serves food and beverages.

    View original

Source: O*NET 30.2, U.S. DOL/ETA

License: CC BY 4.0

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Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 25%, Food Service Managers has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

Our estimated AI automation risk score for Food Service Managers is 25% for 2025. Estimated overall AI exposure is 35%, with 48% theoretical exposure and 18% observed exposure. The estimated risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +10 points. All of these are model-generated estimates, not measurements.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Food Service Managers are: Analyze sales data and financial reports (60%), Schedule staff and manage labor costs (55%), Ensure food safety and health compliance (25%). These rates are our own estimates of how much of each task current AI systems can handle. They are not measurements and are not taken from any external dataset.

We estimate a +8% employment change for Food Service Managers between 2024 and 2034. This is our own estimate, not a figure published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Combined with an estimated overall AI exposure of 35%, this occupation faces both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Food Service Managers should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.

Recent AI Impact Changes

Mar 2026: Published evergreen blog post analyzing AI impact on restaurant managers with 35% exposure and 25% automation risk.

[Source: AI Changing Work Blog]