Security Guards
Overall Exposure
2025 vs 2023
Theoretical Exposure
38What AI could do
Observed Exposure
10What AI actually does
Automation Risk Score
18Displacement risk
3-Year Outlook (2025 โ 2028)
Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.
Overall Exposure
2025 โ 2028 (estimated)
Theoretical Exposure
2025 โ 2028 (estimated)
Observed Exposure
2025 โ 2028 (estimated)
Automation Risk
2025 โ 2028 (estimated)
Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)
Detailed Metrics Table
| Year | Overall | Theoretical | Observed | Risk | Data Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 16 | 27 | 7 | 13 | actual |
| 2024 | 19 | 33 | 9 | 15 | actual |
| 2025 | 22 | 38 | 10 | 18 | actual |
| 2026 | 24 | 41 | 11 | 19 | estimated |
| 2027 | 25 | 43 | 11 | 20 | estimated |
| 2028 | 26 | 45 | 12 | 21 | estimated |
Task Breakdown
About This Occupation
If you work as a Security Guards, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 18/100 and overall exposure at 22%, this role faces low transformation. The highest-impact area is monitor surveillance systems at 65% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role. BLS projects -5% decline through 2034. Professionals who embrace AI tools will see their capabilities significantly amplified.
Frequently Asked Questions
With an automation risk score of 18%, Security Guards has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.
The AI automation risk score for Security Guards is 18% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 22%, with 38% theoretical exposure and 10% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +5 points.
The tasks with the highest automation potential for Security Guards are: Monitor surveillance systems (65%), Patrol premises (8%), Respond to incidents (5%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.
The BLS projects -5% employment change for Security Guards from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 22%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.
Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Security Guards should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.
Recent AI Impact Changes
Mar 2026: Updated blog to cover security officers broadly including courthouse and maritime
[Source: Blog Wave 19]Mar 2026: New evergreen blog post: AI impact analysis for bodyguards published
[Source: aichanging.work]