Security Guards

With an automation risk score of 18%, Security Guards has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

Our estimated AI automation risk score for Security Guards is 18% for 2025. Estimated overall AI exposure is 22%, with 38% theoretical exposure and 10% observed exposure. The estimated risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +5 points. All of these are model-generated estimates, not measurements.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Security Guards are: Monitor surveillance systems (65%), Patrol premises (8%), Respond to incidents (5%). These rates are our own estimates of how much of each task current AI systems can handle. They are not measurements and are not taken from any external dataset.

We estimate a -5% employment change for Security Guards between 2024 and 2034. This is our own estimate, not a figure published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Combined with an estimated overall AI exposure of 22%, this occupation faces both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Security Guards should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.