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Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels

Transportation & Material Movingmediumaugment
BLS 2024-34: +4%
Median Wage: $84,000
Employment: 36K

Overall Exposure

36+11

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

50

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

20

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

27

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 โ†’ 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

36โ†’51
+15

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

50โ†’65
+15

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

20โ†’32
+12

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

27โ†’39
+12

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
202325381218actual
202430441622actual
202536502027actual
202641552431estimated
202746602835estimated
202851653239estimated

Task Breakdown

Plan and execute vessel navigation routes
55%ฮฒ 0.5
Monitor weather and sea conditions
60%ฮฒ 1
Manage crew assignments and safety protocols
20%ฮฒ 0
Maintain compliance with maritime regulations
40%ฮฒ 0.5

About This Occupation

If you work as a Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 27/100 and overall exposure at 36%, this role faces medium transformation. The highest-impact area is monitor weather and sea conditions at 60% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role. BLS projects +4% growth through 2034. AI-powered navigation and weather analysis tools enhance decision-making, but human command judgment remains critical at sea.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 27%, Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

The AI automation risk score for Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels is 27% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 36%, with 50% theoretical exposure and 20% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +9 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels are: Monitor weather and sea conditions (60%), Plan and execute vessel navigation routes (55%), Maintain compliance with maritime regulations (40%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects +4% employment change for Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 36%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.

Recent AI Impact Changes

Mar 2026: Published evergreen blog post analyzing AI impact on fishing boat captains: 36% exposure, 27% automation risk.

[Source: AI Changing Work Blog]