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Stonemasons

Construction, Maintenance & Repairvery lowaugment
BLS 2024-34: -2%
Median Wage: $48,850
Employment: 29K

Overall Exposure

9+4

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

18

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

4

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

7

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

9→18
+9

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

18→30
+12

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

4→10
+6

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

7→13
+6

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
202351224actual
202471535actual
202591847actual
2026122269estimated
20271526811estimated
202818301013estimated

Task Breakdown

Cut and shape stone using hand and power tools
8%β 0
Lay stone in patterns and set with mortar
5%β 0
Read blueprints and plan stone layouts
22%β 0.5
Restore and repair existing stone structures
6%β 0
Estimate material quantities and project costs
35%β 0.5

About This Occupation

If you work as a Stonemason, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 7/100 and overall exposure at 9%, this role faces very-low transformation. The highest-impact area is estimate material quantities and project costs at 35% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role. BLS projects -2% growth through 2034. Stonemasonry remains one of the most hands-on trades, where craftsmanship and physical dexterity keep AI influence minimal.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 7%, Stonemasons has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

The AI automation risk score for Stonemasons is 7% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 9%, with 18% theoretical exposure and 4% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +3 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Stonemasons are: Estimate material quantities and project costs (35%), Read blueprints and plan stone layouts (22%), Cut and shape stone using hand and power tools (8%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects -2% employment change for Stonemasons from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 9%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Stonemasons should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.

Recent AI Impact Changes

Mar 2026: Evergreen blog post published analyzing AI impact on stonemasons (7% exposure, 5/100 risk).

[Source: AI Changing Work Blog]