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Wildfire Analysts

Protective Servicemediumaugment
BLS 2024-34: +6%
Median Wage: $62,580
Employment: 8K

Overall Exposure

47

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

66

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

28

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

19

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

4761
+14

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

6678
+12

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

2845
+17

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

1930
+11

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
202442622215actual
202547662819estimated
202652703423estimated
202757744027estimated
202861784530estimated

Task Breakdown

Analyze satellite imagery and fire behavior models
68%β 1
Conduct field observations during active fire incidents
10%β 0
Write fire behavior forecasts and situational reports
55%β 1

About This Occupation

If you work as a Wildfire Analyst, AI is augmenting your predictive modeling and data analysis. With an automation risk of 19/100 and overall exposure at 47%, this role faces medium transformation. Satellite imagery analysis sees the highest automation at 68%. BLS projects +6% growth through 2034.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 19%, Wildfire Analysts has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

The AI automation risk score for Wildfire Analysts is 19% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 47%, with 66% theoretical exposure and 28% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is 0 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Wildfire Analysts are: Analyze satellite imagery and fire behavior models (68%), Write fire behavior forecasts and situational reports (55%), Conduct field observations during active fire incidents (10%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects +6% employment change for Wildfire Analysts from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 47%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Wildfire Analysts should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.