Desenvolvedores Web
Computação e MatemáticaExposição à IA
- Fonte dos dados: BLSPublicado: '26.08
Muito alto· relativa
BaixoQuatro faixas relativasMuito altoValor por grupo ocupacional
Escala, base e fonte
Quatro faixas relativas (Baixo / Moderado / Alto / Muito alto)
831 ocupações detalhadas da tabela de projeções de emprego do BLS. O valor é atribuído por código da National Employment Matrix (NEM), pelo que as ocupações que partilham um código NEM recebem a mesma banda
- Fonte dos dados: AnthropicPublicado: '26.03
0.480
0.000Intervalo dos valores aqui apresentados0.745Escala, base e fonte
Índice de exposição observada, 0–1 tal como publicado
Mapeado sobre tarefas O*NET
- Fonte dos dados: ILOPublicado: '25
0.60
0.09Intervalo dos valores aqui apresentados0.70Valor por grupo ocupacional
Escala, base e fonte
Índice de exposição à IA generativa, 0–1 tal como publicado
Grupo de base CITP-08 — todas as ocupações com o mesmo código recebem este valor
Calculado por este site, não publicado pela OIT: das 1.012 ocupações que este site liga ao conjunto de dados da OIT, 4% atingem ou superam este valor.
Que tipo de valor esta fonte publica
A categoria de BLS é uma posição relativa, não um nível absoluto, e também não é uma medição de primeira mão: agrupa em quatro faixas as posições percentis da ocupação em vários estudos publicados. Não é uma previsão de emprego ou de salários, não é uma probabilidade de adoção e não distingue automação de aumento.
Task-level exposure
Apenas tarefas expostas| Task | Claude.aiRaw / share % | APIRaw / share % |
|---|---|---|
Design, build, or maintain Web sites, using authoring or scripting languages, content creation tools, management tools, and digital media.15-1134 | 1.590053.1 | 0.984140.9 |
Write supporting code for Web applications or Web sites.15-1134 | 0.473415.8 | 0.280111.6 |
Write, design, or edit Web page content, or direct others producing content.15-1134 | 0.27229.1 | 0.22079.2 |
Evaluate or recommend server hardware or software.15-1134 | 0.14825.0 | 0.08663.6 |
Develop or implement procedures for ongoing Web site revision.15-1134 | 0.12194.1 | 0.13535.6 |
Maintain understanding of current Web technologies or programming practices through continuing education, reading, or participation in professional conferences, workshops, or groups.15-1134 | 0.09153.1 | 0.03751.6 |
Develop Web site maps, application models, image templates, or page templates that meet project goals, user needs, or industry standards.15-1134 | 0.05491.8 | 0.03821.6 |
Collaborate with management or users to develop e-commerce strategies and to integrate these strategies with Web sites.15-1134 | 0.04741.6 | 0.01610.7 |
Develop and document style guidelines for Web site content.15-1134 | 0.04301.4 | 0.01800.7 |
Evaluate code to ensure that it is valid, is properly structured, meets industry standards, and is compatible with browsers, devices, or operating systems.15-1134 | 0.04211.4 | 0.481520.0 |
| Not observed on any surface — 14 task(s) — These tasks have no row in the source for this release. The 0 in the share row is a display-stage composition ratio; absence is what the — in the raw row states. | ||
Identify problems uncovered by testing or customer feedback, and correct problems or refer problems to appropriate personnel for correction. | —0 | —0 |
Analyze user needs to determine technical requirements. | —0 | —0 |
Develop or validate test routines and schedules to ensure that test cases mimic external interfaces and address all browser and device types. | —0 | —0 |
Renew domain name registrations. | —0 | —0 |
Communicate with network personnel or Web site hosting agencies to address hardware or software issues affecting Web sites. | —0 | —0 |
Perform Web site tests according to planned schedules, or after any Web site or product revision. | —0 | —0 |
Incorporate technical considerations into Web site design plans, such as budgets, equipment, performance requirements, or legal issues including accessibility and privacy. | —0 | —0 |
Establish appropriate server directory trees. | —0 | —0 |
Recommend and implement performance improvements. | —0 | —0 |
Register Web sites with search engines to increase Web site traffic. | —0 | —0 |
Create web models or prototypes that include physical, interface, logical, or data models. | —0 | —0 |
Document test plans, testing procedures, or test results. | —0 | —0 |
Document technical factors such as server load, bandwidth, database performance, and browser and device types. | —0 | —0 |
Install and configure hypertext transfer protocol (HTTP) servers and associated operating systems. | —0 | —0 |
Values in this tab are predicted labels, not observations. Eloundou et al. (2023) published two rating regimes — human raters and GPT-4 — and the β shown here is derived from the GPT-4 rater basis alone; the same task can take a different value under the other regime. The unit and the meaning differ from the observed shares (%) in the other tabs, so do not place them on the same axis.
| Task | βE1 + 0.5 × E2 |
|---|---|
Design, build, or maintain Web sites, using authoring or scripting languages, content creation tools, management tools, and digital media.O*NET Task ID 14694 | 1.0 |
Perform or direct Web site updates.O*NET Task ID 14695 | 1.0 |
Back up files from Web sites to local directories for instant recovery in case of problems.O*NET Task ID 14698 | 1.0 |
Evaluate code to ensure that it is valid, is properly structured, meets industry standards, and is compatible with browsers, devices, or operating systems.O*NET Task ID 14700 | 1.0 |
Analyze user needs to determine technical requirements.O*NET Task ID 14702 | 1.0 |
Develop databases that support Web applications and Web sites.O*NET Task ID 14704 | 1.0 |
Renew domain name registrations.O*NET Task ID 14705 | 1.0 |
Write supporting code for Web applications or Web sites.O*NET Task ID 14707 | 1.0 |
Communicate with network personnel or Web site hosting agencies to address hardware or software issues affecting Web sites.O*NET Task ID 14708 | 1.0 |
Perform Web site tests according to planned schedules, or after any Web site or product revision.O*NET Task ID 14710 | 1.0 |
β = E1 + 0.5 × E2 · E1 = tasks where direct LLM access alone cuts time by at least 50%, E2 = tasks where software built on top of an LLM cuts time by at least 50%. Values take only 0 / 0.5 / 1.0.
Data sources & licenses — O*NET®, Anthropic Economic Index, Eloundou et al. (2023): see full notices on the Credits page
Occupation information
Alterações recentes que afetam esta ocupação
mar. de 2026: Brookings freelance market study shows web developers less impacted than writers and designers by generative AI, likely due to iterative debugging and integration complexity in software projects.
[Fonte: Brookings Institution (Hui & Reshef, 2025)]mar. de 2026: Web developers, part of SOC group 15, saw significant employment deterioration starting early 2022 — before ChatGPT. New graduate entry rates into AI-exposed occupations began declining in 2021, suggesting structural factors beyond generative AI.
[Fonte: Frank et al. (2026) arXiv:2601.02554]mar. de 2026: Firm-level data reveals companies redirecting budgets from human contractors to AI tools, with outsourced development work in the direct impact zone.
[Fonte: Stevens (2026) arXiv]