Actuaries
Overall Exposure
2025 vs 2023
Theoretical Exposure
76What AI could do
Observed Exposure
36What AI actually does
Automation Risk Score
49Displacement risk
3-Year Outlook (2025 โ 2028)
Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.
Overall Exposure
2025 โ 2028 (estimated)
Theoretical Exposure
2025 โ 2028 (estimated)
Observed Exposure
2025 โ 2028 (estimated)
Automation Risk
2025 โ 2028 (estimated)
Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)
Detailed Metrics Table
| Year | Overall | Theoretical | Observed | Risk | Data Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 48 | 60 | 26 | 38 | actual |
| 2024 | 55 | 68 | 31 | 43 | actual |
| 2025 | 63 | 76 | 36 | 49 | actual |
| 2026 | 68 | 82 | 39 | 53 | estimated |
| 2027 | 72 | 87 | 42 | 56 | estimated |
| 2028 | 76 | 91 | 44 | 59 | estimated |
Task Breakdown
About This Occupation
Actuaries use mathematics, statistics, and financial theory to study uncertain future events, especially those of concern to insurance and pension programs. They evaluate the likelihood of those events and design creative ways to reduce the likelihood and decrease the impact of adverse events. The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects 23% employment growth for actuaries from 2024 to 2034, much faster than average. As of 2024, the median annual wage for actuaries was approximately $120,000.
Frequently Asked Questions
With an automation risk score of 49%, Actuaries faces a moderate level of AI-driven change. Some tasks can be automated, but many require human judgment, creativity, or interpersonal skills that AI cannot yet replicate. The role is more likely to evolve alongside AI than be replaced.
The AI automation risk score for Actuaries is 49% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 63%, with 76% theoretical exposure and 36% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +11 points.
The tasks with the highest automation potential for Actuaries are: Calculate insurance premiums (82%), Build statistical risk models (75%), Analyze mortality and loss data (70%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.
The BLS projects +23% employment change for Actuaries from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 63%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.
Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Actuaries should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.
Recent AI Impact Changes
Mar 2026: Published evergreen blog post. 63% exposure, 49% risk, BLS +23% growth despite 82% premium automation.
[Source: AI Changing Work Blog]