Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers
Overall Exposure
2025 vs 2023
Theoretical Exposure
48What AI could do
Observed Exposure
18What AI actually does
Automation Risk Score
14Displacement risk
3-Year Outlook (2025 โ 2028)
Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.
Overall Exposure
2025 โ 2028 (estimated)
Theoretical Exposure
2025 โ 2028 (estimated)
Observed Exposure
2025 โ 2028 (estimated)
Automation Risk
2025 โ 2028 (estimated)
Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)
Detailed Metrics Table
| Year | Overall | Theoretical | Observed | Risk | Data Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 25 | 40 | 12 | 10 | actual |
| 2024 | 29 | 44 | 15 | 12 | actual |
| 2025 | 33 | 48 | 18 | 14 | actual |
| 2026 | 37 | 53 | 22 | 16 | estimated |
| 2027 | 41 | 58 | 26 | 18 | estimated |
| 2028 | 45 | 62 | 30 | 20 | estimated |
Task Breakdown
About This Occupation
If you work as an Airline Pilot, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 14/100 and overall exposure at 33%, this role faces moderate transformation concentrated in planning and monitoring tasks. The highest-impact area is reviewing weather conditions and filing flight plans at 68% automation, where AI-powered weather analysis and automated flight planning tools have significantly streamlined pre-flight operations. Autopilot systems handle most cruise-phase flying, but takeoff, landing, and emergency situations remain firmly in human hands at 18% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role, where AI enhances pilot capabilities rather than replacing them. BLS projects +4% growth through 2034, with median annual wage of $174,310. Regulatory frameworks and public trust continue to require human pilots in the cockpit, and the global pilot shortage ensures strong job security.
Frequently Asked Questions
With an automation risk score of 14%, Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.
The AI automation risk score for Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers is 14% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 33%, with 48% theoretical exposure and 18% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +4 points.
The tasks with the highest automation potential for Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers are: Review weather conditions and file flight plans (68%), Monitor flight instruments and navigation systems (55%), Operate aircraft controls during takeoff, flight, and landing (18%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.
The BLS projects +4% employment change for Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 33%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.
Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Airline Pilots, Copilots, and Flight Engineers should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.
Recent AI Impact Changes
Mar 2026: New evergreen blog post published analyzing AI impact on airline pilots. Automation risk 14%, BLS projects +4% growth through 2034.
[Source: AI Changing Work Blog]