Instructional Designers and Technologists
Overall Exposure
2025 vs 2023
Theoretical Exposure
70What AI could do
Observed Exposure
32What AI actually does
Automation Risk Score
28Displacement risk
3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)
Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.
Overall Exposure
2025 → 2028 (estimated)
Theoretical Exposure
2025 → 2028 (estimated)
Observed Exposure
2025 → 2028 (estimated)
Automation Risk
2025 → 2028 (estimated)
Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)
Task Breakdown
About This Occupation
If you work as an Instructional Designer and Technologist, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 28/100 and overall exposure at 50%, this role faces moderate transformation. The highest-impact area is developing assessment tools and evaluation rubrics at 68% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role, where AI amplifies human expertise rather than replacing it. BLS projects +2% growth through 2034, with median annual wage of $74,800. AI-powered content generation tools can rapidly draft lesson plans and assessments, but effective curriculum design still requires deep understanding of pedagogical theory, student needs, and institutional context. Professionals who master AI-assisted design tools will significantly increase their productivity.
ISCO-08 classification
Education Methods Specialists
Definition
ILO original text (English)
Education methods specialists conduct research and develop or advise on teaching methods, courses and aids. They review and examine teachers' work, the functioning of educational institutions and the results achieved and recommend changes and improvements.
Definition & vocabulary source
Source: International Labour Organization (ILO) — ISCO-08 Structure
License: ILO CC BY 4.0
Official occupational information
- ONET25-9031.00
Instructional Coordinators
Develop instructional material, coordinate educational content, and incorporate current technology into instruction in order to provide guidelines to educators and instructors for developing curricula and conducting courses. May train and coach teachers. Includes educational consultants and specialists, and instructional material directors.
View original
Frequently Asked Questions
With an automation risk score of 28%, Instructional Designers and Technologists has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.
Our estimated AI automation risk score for Instructional Designers and Technologists is 28% for 2025. Estimated overall AI exposure is 50%, with 70% theoretical exposure and 32% observed exposure. The estimated risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +8 points. All of these are model-generated estimates, not measurements.
The tasks with the highest automation potential for Instructional Designers and Technologists are: Develop assessment tools and evaluation rubrics (68%), Design instructional content and learning objectives (62%), Research educational standards and emerging pedagogy (55%). These rates are our own estimates of how much of each task current AI systems can handle. They are not measurements and are not taken from any external dataset.
We estimate a +2% employment change for Instructional Designers and Technologists between 2024 and 2034. This is our own estimate, not a figure published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Combined with an estimated overall AI exposure of 50%, this occupation faces both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.
Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Instructional Designers and Technologists should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.
Recent AI Impact Changes
Mar 2026: New evergreen blog post published analyzing AI impact on curriculum designers with 50% exposure and 28% automation risk
[Source: AI Changing Work Blog]