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Instructional Designers and Technologists

Education & Trainingmediumaugment
Projected change (est.): ~+2%
Median Wage (est.): ~$74,800
Employment (est.): ~209K

Overall Exposure

50+12

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

70

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

32

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

28

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

50→64
+14

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

70→81
+11

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

32→50
+18

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

28→37
+9

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Task Breakdown

Design instructional content and learning objectives
62%β 0.5
Develop assessment tools and evaluation rubrics
68%β 1
Research educational standards and emerging pedagogy
55%β 0.5
Collaborate with educators on curriculum implementation
18%β 0

About This Occupation

If you work as an Instructional Designer and Technologist, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 28/100 and overall exposure at 50%, this role faces moderate transformation. The highest-impact area is developing assessment tools and evaluation rubrics at 68% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role, where AI amplifies human expertise rather than replacing it. BLS projects +2% growth through 2034, with median annual wage of $74,800. AI-powered content generation tools can rapidly draft lesson plans and assessments, but effective curriculum design still requires deep understanding of pedagogical theory, student needs, and institutional context. Professionals who master AI-assisted design tools will significantly increase their productivity.

ISCO-08 classification

Unit group 2351ILO official

Education Methods Specialists

Definition

ILO original text (English)

Education methods specialists conduct research and develop or advise on teaching methods, courses and aids. They review and examine teachers' work, the functioning of educational institutions and the results achieved and recommend changes and improvements.

Definition & vocabulary source

Source: International Labour Organization (ILO) — ISCO-08 Structure

License: ILO CC BY 4.0

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Official occupational information

  • ONET25-9031.00

    Instructional Coordinators

    Develop instructional material, coordinate educational content, and incorporate current technology into instruction in order to provide guidelines to educators and instructors for developing curricula and conducting courses. May train and coach teachers. Includes educational consultants and specialists, and instructional material directors.

    View original

Source: O*NET 30.2, U.S. DOL/ETA

License: CC BY 4.0

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Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 28%, Instructional Designers and Technologists has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

Our estimated AI automation risk score for Instructional Designers and Technologists is 28% for 2025. Estimated overall AI exposure is 50%, with 70% theoretical exposure and 32% observed exposure. The estimated risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +8 points. All of these are model-generated estimates, not measurements.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Instructional Designers and Technologists are: Develop assessment tools and evaluation rubrics (68%), Design instructional content and learning objectives (62%), Research educational standards and emerging pedagogy (55%). These rates are our own estimates of how much of each task current AI systems can handle. They are not measurements and are not taken from any external dataset.

We estimate a +2% employment change for Instructional Designers and Technologists between 2024 and 2034. This is our own estimate, not a figure published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Combined with an estimated overall AI exposure of 50%, this occupation faces both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Instructional Designers and Technologists should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.

Recent AI Impact Changes

Mar 2026: New evergreen blog post published analyzing AI impact on curriculum designers with 50% exposure and 28% automation risk

[Source: AI Changing Work Blog]