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Intelligence Analysts

Protective Servicemediumaugment
BLS 2024-34: +6%
Median Wage: $88,600
Employment: 41K

Overall Exposure

42+12

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

62

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

25

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

26

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 โ†’ 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

42โ†’56
+14

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

62โ†’76
+14

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

25โ†’39
+14

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

26โ†’35
+9

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
202330501518actual
202436562022actual
202542622526actual
202647673029estimated
202752723532estimated
202856763935estimated

Task Breakdown

Analyze digital evidence and network traffic patterns
60%ฮฒ 1
Compile intelligence reports and threat briefings
55%ฮฒ 1
Coordinate with law enforcement agencies on cases
10%ฮฒ 0
Monitor dark web and open-source intelligence feeds
65%ฮฒ 1

About This Occupation

If you work as an Intelligence Analyst investigating cybercrime, AI is meaningfully reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 26/100 and overall exposure at 42%, this role faces moderate transformation. The highest-impact area is monitoring dark web and open-source intelligence feeds at 65% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role, where AI supercharges analytical capabilities rather than replacing investigative judgment. BLS projects +6% growth through 2034, with median annual wage of $88,600. AI and machine learning tools excel at sifting through massive datasets, detecting anomalies in network traffic, and correlating indicators of compromise, but the interpretation of complex threat landscapes, cross-agency coordination, and courtroom-ready evidence preparation remain firmly human domains. Analysts who master AI-powered OSINT and forensic tools will be in exceptionally high demand.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 26%, Intelligence Analysts has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

The AI automation risk score for Intelligence Analysts is 26% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 42%, with 62% theoretical exposure and 25% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +8 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Intelligence Analysts are: Monitor dark web and open-source intelligence feeds (65%), Analyze digital evidence and network traffic patterns (60%), Compile intelligence reports and threat briefings (55%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects +6% employment change for Intelligence Analysts from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 42%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Intelligence Analysts should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.

Recent AI Impact Changes

Mar 2026: New evergreen blog post: AI impact analysis for cybercrime investigators

[Source: aichanging.work]