Educational, Guidance, and Career Counselors
United States · BLS Employment Projections 2024–34 (figures for SOC 21-1012 occupational group)
AI exposure in published research
Figures below are reproduced from external datasets without modification. Where a dataset does not cover this occupation, the value is shown as — rather than as zero.
Data provider: OpenAI · "GPTs are GPTs"
Time basis: 2023 baselineex-ante estimate
Scored against GPT-4-generation capability.
- Human rater basis
- 32.5%
- GPT-4 rater basis
- 28.9%
β = direct exposure (E1) + 0.5 × exposure when tools are available (E2), per the source repository's definition.
34 rated tasks · 19 tasks with β ≥ 0.5 (55.9%)
- Version:
- gh-main-0471612
- License:
- MIT License · Copyright (c) 2024 OpenAI
Data provider: Anthropic Economic Index
Time basis: Published 2026-03-05composite index
- Observed exposure
- 11.8%
Theoretical exposure index weighted by measured Claude usage, per the original report's definition.
24 tasks · usage observed in 5 · mean 17.0%
Data: Anthropic Economic Index — labor_market_impacts, CC-BY, https://huggingface.co/datasets/Anthropic/EconomicIndex
AI Changing Work uses Anthropic Economic Index data under CC-BY; Anthropic does not endorse or sponsor this site or its analyses.
- Version:
- hf-lmi-2026-03
- License:
- CC BY 4.0
- Observation period:
- — (not applicable to this release)
- Model:
- — (not stated by the source)
- Definition source:
- https://www.anthropic.com/research/labor-market-impacts
2023 prediction vs observation-based index published 2026-03-05
One card (GPTs are GPTs) is a 2023 estimate of what AI could theoretically do; the other (Anthropic Economic Index) is built from observed usage and was published on 2026-03-05 — that is its publication date, not the period it observed. They measure different things, so the two figures cannot be added, averaged, or ranked against each other. The older figure is kept here as a baseline for comparison rather than removed.
Caution: the Anthropic figures — observed exposure and task penetration — take the Eloundou β as one of their inputs. The two sides resembling each other is therefore not evidence that the earlier prediction came true; reading it that way is circular reasoning.
The Anthropic figures are measured on Claude users, who are not the whole economy and not the whole workforce.
The mapping of O*NET tasks and occupation codes was performed by AI Changing Work. The source figures themselves were not modified.
These indices are not forecasts. Which point in time each one belongs to is stated on the badge on its card.
Task Breakdown
- Assess student academic progress and career interests
- Provide one-on-one counseling sessions to students
- Develop educational plans and course schedules
- Maintain student records and prepare progress reports
About This Occupation
If you work as an Educational, Guidance, or Career Counselor, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 26/100 and overall exposure at 44%, this role faces moderate transformation. The highest-impact area is maintaining student records and preparing progress reports at 78% automation, where AI systems can automatically compile academic data, flag at-risk students, and draft progress summaries. One-on-one counseling sessions remain largely unaffected at 12% automation, as empathetic human interaction and trust-building are difficult to replicate. This is classified as an 'augment' role, where AI enhances counselor effectiveness rather than replacing them. BLS projects +4% growth through 2034, with median annual wage of $60,140 and roughly 328,000 professionals employed. AI-powered career matching tools and predictive analytics for student outcomes are expanding counselor reach, enabling them to serve more students with data-driven insights while reserving in-person time for complex emotional and developmental needs.
ISCO-08 classification
Personnel and Careers Professionals
Indirect mapping — this occupation is linked to the ISCO unit group by a rule-based fallback.
Definition
ILO original text (English)
Personnel and careers professionals provide professional business services related to personnel policies such as employee recruitment or development, occupational analysis and vocational guidance.
Definition & vocabulary source
Source: International Labour Organization (ILO) — ISCO-08 Structure
License: ILO CC BY 4.0
Official occupational information
- ONET13-1071.00
Human Resources Specialists
Recruit, screen, interview, or place individuals within an organization. May perform other activities in multiple human resources areas.
View original - ONET13-1075.00
Labor Relations Specialists
Resolve disputes between workers and managers, negotiate collective bargaining agreements, or coordinate grievance procedures to handle employee complaints.
View original - ONET13-1141.00
Compensation, Benefits, and Job Analysis Specialists
Conduct programs of compensation and benefits and job analysis for employer. May specialize in specific areas, such as position classification and pension programs.
View original - ONET21-1012.00
Educational, Guidance, and Career Counselors and Advisors
Advise and assist students and provide educational and vocational guidance services.
View original
Frequently Asked Questions
The Anthropic Economic Index puts observed exposure at 11.8%. The OpenAI "GPTs are GPTs" rubric puts occupation-level β at 32.5% under human raters. Both figures are reproduced from published research without modification.
They come from two published datasets: the Anthropic Economic Index (labor_market_impacts, CC BY 4.0) and the OpenAI "GPTs are GPTs" exposure rubric (MIT License, Copyright (c) 2024 OpenAI). AI Changing Work maps them onto O*NET occupation and task codes and does not calculate exposure scores of its own. AI Changing Work uses Anthropic Economic Index data under CC-BY; Anthropic does not endorse or sponsor this site or its analyses.
No. They are a diagnosis of exposure as measured at the time each source dataset was published. AI Changing Work publishes no prediction of future automation or job displacement for this occupation.