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Forensic Chemists

Life, Physical & Social Sciencesmediumaugment
Projected change (est.): ~+4%
Median Wage (est.): ~$63,170
Employment (est.): ~17K

Overall Exposure

40+14

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

58

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

24

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

27

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

40→56
+16

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

58→74
+16

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

24→38
+14

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

27→39
+12

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Task Breakdown

Perform chemical analysis on evidence samples using spectrometry and chromatography
55%β 1
Maintain chain of custody and document evidence handling procedures
38%β 0.5
Prepare detailed forensic reports for court testimony
48%β 1
Calibrate and maintain laboratory instruments and equipment
30%β 0.5
Identify unknown substances through database matching and spectral comparison
68%β 1

About This Occupation

If you work as a Forensic Chemist, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 27/100 and overall exposure at 40%, this role faces medium transformation. The highest-impact area is identifying unknown substances through database matching and spectral comparison at 68% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role. BLS projects +4% growth through 2034. AI-powered spectral analysis and substance databases are dramatically speeding up identification, while sample handling and courtroom testimony remain human-dependent.

ISCO-08 classification

Unit group 3119ILO official

Physical and Engineering Science Technicians Not Elsewhere Classified

Definition

ILO original text (English)

This unit group covers physical and engineering science technicians not classified elsewhere in Minor Group 311: Physical and Engineering Science Technicians. For instance, the unit group includes those who assist scientists and engineers engaged in developing procedures or conducting research on safety, biomedical, environmental or industrial and production engineering.

Definition & vocabulary source

Source: International Labour Organization (ILO) — ISCO-08 Structure

License: ILO CC BY 4.0

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Official occupational information

  • ONET19-4092.00

    Forensic Science Technicians

    Collect, identify, classify, and analyze physical evidence related to criminal investigations. Perform tests on weapons or substances, such as fiber, hair, and tissue to determine significance to investigation. May testify as expert witnesses on evidence or crime laboratory techniques. May serve as specialists in area of expertise, such as ballistics, fingerprinting, handwriting, or biochemistry.

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  • ONET33-2022.00

    Forest Fire Inspectors and Prevention Specialists

    Enforce fire regulations, inspect forest for fire hazards, and recommend forest fire prevention or control measures. May report forest fires and weather conditions.

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  • ONET53-6041.00

    Traffic Technicians

    Conduct field studies to determine traffic volume, speed, effectiveness of signals, adequacy of lighting, and other factors influencing traffic conditions, under direction of traffic engineer.

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Source: O*NET 30.2, U.S. DOL/ETA

License: CC BY 4.0

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Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 27%, Forensic Chemists has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

Our estimated AI automation risk score for Forensic Chemists is 27% for 2025. Estimated overall AI exposure is 40%, with 58% theoretical exposure and 24% observed exposure. The estimated risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +9 points. All of these are model-generated estimates, not measurements.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Forensic Chemists are: Identify unknown substances through database matching and spectral comparison (68%), Perform chemical analysis on evidence samples using spectrometry and chromatography (55%), Prepare detailed forensic reports for court testimony (48%). These rates are our own estimates of how much of each task current AI systems can handle. They are not measurements and are not taken from any external dataset.

We estimate a +4% employment change for Forensic Chemists between 2024 and 2034. This is our own estimate, not a figure published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Combined with an estimated overall AI exposure of 40%, this occupation faces both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Forensic Chemists should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.

Recent AI Impact Changes

Mar 2026: New blog post: AI impact analysis for fragrance chemists

[Source: aichanging.work]