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Grounds Maintenance Workers

Construction, Maintenance & Repairvery lowaugment
BLS 2024-34: +6%
Median Wage: $37,600
Employment: 1.2M

Overall Exposure

18

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

34

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

6

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

15

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 โ†’ 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

18โ†’30
+12

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

34โ†’46
+12

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

6โ†’15
+9

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

15โ†’24
+9

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
20241530412actual
20251834615estimated
20262238918estimated
202726421221estimated
202830461524estimated

Task Breakdown

Schedule maintenance tasks based on seasonal needs
45%ฮฒ 0.5
Operate mowing and trimming equipment
18%ฮฒ 0
Monitor irrigation systems and plant health
40%ฮฒ 0.5

About This Occupation

If you work as a Grounds Maintenance Worker, AI and smart sensors are aiding irrigation and scheduling. With an automation risk of 15/100 and overall exposure at 18%, this role faces very low transformation. Seasonal scheduling sees the most AI assistance at 45%. BLS projects +6% growth through 2034.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 15%, Grounds Maintenance Workers has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

The AI automation risk score for Grounds Maintenance Workers is 15% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 18%, with 34% theoretical exposure and 6% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is 0 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Grounds Maintenance Workers are: Schedule maintenance tasks based on seasonal needs (45%), Monitor irrigation systems and plant health (40%), Operate mowing and trimming equipment (18%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects +6% employment change for Grounds Maintenance Workers from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 18%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Grounds Maintenance Workers should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.

Recent AI Impact Changes

Mar 2026: Published evergreen blog analyzing AI impact on landscapers (15% automation risk)

[Source: Blog Wave 19]