Grounds Maintenance Workers
Overall Exposure
2025 vs 2023
Theoretical Exposure
34What AI could do
Observed Exposure
6What AI actually does
Automation Risk Score
15Displacement risk
3-Year Outlook (2025 โ 2028)
Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.
Overall Exposure
2025 โ 2028 (estimated)
Theoretical Exposure
2025 โ 2028 (estimated)
Observed Exposure
2025 โ 2028 (estimated)
Automation Risk
2025 โ 2028 (estimated)
Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)
Detailed Metrics Table
| Year | Overall | Theoretical | Observed | Risk | Data Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 15 | 30 | 4 | 12 | actual |
| 2025 | 18 | 34 | 6 | 15 | estimated |
| 2026 | 22 | 38 | 9 | 18 | estimated |
| 2027 | 26 | 42 | 12 | 21 | estimated |
| 2028 | 30 | 46 | 15 | 24 | estimated |
Task Breakdown
About This Occupation
If you work as a Grounds Maintenance Worker, AI and smart sensors are aiding irrigation and scheduling. With an automation risk of 15/100 and overall exposure at 18%, this role faces very low transformation. Seasonal scheduling sees the most AI assistance at 45%. BLS projects +6% growth through 2034.
Frequently Asked Questions
With an automation risk score of 15%, Grounds Maintenance Workers has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.
The AI automation risk score for Grounds Maintenance Workers is 15% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 18%, with 34% theoretical exposure and 6% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is 0 points.
The tasks with the highest automation potential for Grounds Maintenance Workers are: Schedule maintenance tasks based on seasonal needs (45%), Monitor irrigation systems and plant health (40%), Operate mowing and trimming equipment (18%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.
The BLS projects +6% employment change for Grounds Maintenance Workers from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 18%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.
Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Grounds Maintenance Workers should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.
Recent AI Impact Changes
Mar 2026: Published evergreen blog analyzing AI impact on landscapers (15% automation risk)
[Source: Blog Wave 19]