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Hoist and Winch Operators

Transportation & Material Movinglowaugment
BLS 2024-34: -2%
Median Wage: $48,960
Employment: 3K

Overall Exposure

24

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

42

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

9

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

21

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 โ†’ 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

24โ†’38
+14

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

42โ†’55
+13

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

9โ†’21
+12

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

21โ†’33
+12

2025 โ†’ 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Detailed Metrics Table

YearOverallTheoreticalObservedRiskData Type
20242038618actual
20252442921estimated
202628461225estimated
202733501629estimated
202838552133estimated

Task Breakdown

Operate hoist controls to position loads
18%ฮฒ 0
Inspect cables, pulleys, and safety mechanisms
22%ฮฒ 0
Document load weights and equipment maintenance logs
58%ฮฒ 1

About This Occupation

If you work as a Hoist and Winch Operator, AI is augmenting your documentation and monitoring tasks. With an automation risk of 21/100 and overall exposure at 24%, this role faces low transformation. Documentation has the highest automation at 58%. BLS projects -2% decline through 2034.

Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 21%, Hoist and Winch Operators has a low risk of AI replacement. Most tasks in this role require skills that are difficult for AI to replicate, such as complex decision-making, physical dexterity, or deep interpersonal interaction. AI is more likely to serve as a supportive tool.

The AI automation risk score for Hoist and Winch Operators is 21% (2025 data). Overall AI exposure is 24%, with 42% theoretical exposure and 9% observed exposure. The risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is 0 points.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Hoist and Winch Operators are: Document load weights and equipment maintenance logs (58%), Inspect cables, pulleys, and safety mechanisms (22%), Operate hoist controls to position loads (18%). These rates reflect how much of each task current AI systems can handle, based on research data from Anthropic and academic sources.

The BLS projects -2% employment change for Hoist and Winch Operators from 2024 to 2034. Combined with an overall AI exposure of 24%, this occupation is experiencing both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily augments capabilities in this role, professionals in Hoist and Winch Operators should embrace AI as a productivity multiplier. Focus on learning to use AI tools effectively, developing higher-order analytical and creative skills, and positioning yourself as someone who can leverage AI to deliver greater value.