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Payroll and Timekeeping Clerks

Office & Administrative Supportvery highautomate
Projected change (est.): ~-14%
Median Wage (est.): ~$50,000
Employment (est.): ~120K

Overall Exposure

78+20

2025 vs 2023

Theoretical Exposure

90

What AI could do

Observed Exposure

64

What AI actually does

Automation Risk Score

75

Displacement risk

3-Year Outlook (2025 → 2028)

Projected changes in AI automation metrics over the next 3 years based on estimated data.

Overall Exposure

78→93
+15

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Theoretical Exposure

90→98
+8

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Observed Exposure

64→84
+20

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Automation Risk

75→90
+15

2025 → 2028 (estimated)

Exposure Metrics (2023 - 2028)

Task Breakdown

Calculate wages, deductions, and tax withholdings
95%β 1
Process timesheets and attendance records
90%β 1
Generate payroll reports and compliance filings
88%β 1
Resolve employee payroll discrepancies and inquiries
40%β 0.5

About This Occupation

If you work as a Payroll and Timekeeping Clerk, AI is reshaping your profession. With an automation risk of 75/100 and overall exposure at 78%, this role faces very-high transformation. The highest-impact area is calculate wages, deductions, and tax withholdings at 95% automation. This is classified as an 'automate' role. BLS projects -14% growth through 2034. Cloud-based payroll platforms and AI-driven automation are eliminating most manual payroll tasks, with remaining roles shifting toward exception handling and compliance oversight.

ISCO-08 classification

Unit group 4313ILO official

Payroll Clerks

Definition

ILO original text (English)

Payroll clerks collect, verify and process payroll information and compute pay and benefit entitlements for employees within a department, company or other establishment.

Definition & vocabulary source

Source: International Labour Organization (ILO) — ISCO-08 Structure

License: ILO CC BY 4.0

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Official occupational information

  • ONET43-3051.00

    Payroll and Timekeeping Clerks

    Compile and record employee time and payroll data. May compute employees' time worked, production, and commission. May compute and post wages and deductions, or prepare paychecks.

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Source: O*NET 30.2, U.S. DOL/ETA

License: CC BY 4.0

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Frequently Asked Questions

With an automation risk score of 75%, Payroll and Timekeeping Clerks faces a significant risk of AI-driven displacement. Many core tasks in this role can be automated by current AI systems. However, full replacement is unlikely in the near term -- AI will more likely transform the role rather than eliminate it entirely.

Our estimated AI automation risk score for Payroll and Timekeeping Clerks is 75% for 2025. Estimated overall AI exposure is 78%, with 90% theoretical exposure and 64% observed exposure. The estimated risk trend from 2023 to 2025 is +20 points. All of these are model-generated estimates, not measurements.

The tasks with the highest automation potential for Payroll and Timekeeping Clerks are: Calculate wages, deductions, and tax withholdings (95%), Process timesheets and attendance records (90%), Generate payroll reports and compliance filings (88%). These rates are our own estimates of how much of each task current AI systems can handle. They are not measurements and are not taken from any external dataset.

We estimate a -14% employment change for Payroll and Timekeeping Clerks between 2024 and 2034. This is our own estimate, not a figure published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Combined with an estimated overall AI exposure of 78%, this occupation faces both traditional labor market shifts and AI-driven transformation. Workers should monitor both employment trends and AI capability growth.

Since AI primarily automates tasks in this role, professionals in Payroll and Timekeeping Clerks should focus on developing skills that complement AI rather than compete with it. Consider learning AI tool management, shifting toward supervisory and quality-control tasks, and building expertise in areas where human judgment remains essential.