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Pension Fund Managers

Business & Financial Operations
Projected change 2024–34: +14.8%
Median annual wage (2024): $161,700
Employment (2024): 869K

United States · BLS Employment Projections 2024–34 (figures for SOC 11-3031 occupational group)

AI exposure in published research

Figures below are reproduced from external datasets without modification. Where a dataset does not cover this occupation, the value is shown as — rather than as zero.

Data provider: OpenAI · "GPTs are GPTs"

Time basis: 2023 baselineex-ante estimate

Scored against GPT-4-generation capability.

Human rater basis
40.8%
GPT-4 rater basis
47.4%

β = direct exposure (E1) + 0.5 × exposure when tools are available (E2), per the source repository's definition.

22 rated tasks · 21 tasks with β ≥ 0.5 (95.5%)

Version:
gh-main-0471612
License:
MIT License · Copyright (c) 2024 OpenAI

Data provider: Anthropic Economic Index

Time basis: Published 2026-03-05composite index

Observed exposure
39.1%

Theoretical exposure index weighted by measured Claude usage, per the original report's definition.

41 tasks · usage observed in 10 · mean 21.9%

Data: Anthropic Economic Index — labor_market_impacts, CC-BY, https://huggingface.co/datasets/Anthropic/EconomicIndex

AI Changing Work uses Anthropic Economic Index data under CC-BY; Anthropic does not endorse or sponsor this site or its analyses.

Version:
hf-lmi-2026-03
License:
CC BY 4.0
Observation period:
(not applicable to this release)
Model:
(not stated by the source)

2023 prediction vs observation-based index published 2026-03-05

One card (GPTs are GPTs) is a 2023 estimate of what AI could theoretically do; the other (Anthropic Economic Index) is built from observed usage and was published on 2026-03-05 — that is its publication date, not the period it observed. They measure different things, so the two figures cannot be added, averaged, or ranked against each other. The older figure is kept here as a baseline for comparison rather than removed.

Caution: the Anthropic figures — observed exposure and task penetration — take the Eloundou β as one of their inputs. The two sides resembling each other is therefore not evidence that the earlier prediction came true; reading it that way is circular reasoning.

The Anthropic figures are measured on Claude users, who are not the whole economy and not the whole workforce.

The mapping of O*NET tasks and occupation codes was performed by AI Changing Work. The source figures themselves were not modified.

These indices are not forecasts. Which point in time each one belongs to is stated on the badge on its card.

Task Breakdown

  • Analyze market conditions and adjust asset allocation
  • Monitor portfolio performance against benchmarks
  • Ensure regulatory compliance and fiduciary obligations
  • Conduct actuarial valuations and liability assessments

About This Occupation

If you work as a Pension Fund Manager, AI is transforming your profession. With an automation risk of 36/100 and overall exposure at 52%, this role faces medium transformation. The highest-impact area is monitor portfolio performance against benchmarks at 72% automation. This is classified as an 'augment' role — AI enhances quantitative analysis and risk modeling, but fiduciary judgment and stakeholder relationship management remain fundamentally human. BLS projects +5% growth through 2034.

ISCO-08 classification

Unit group 1346ILO official

Financial and Insurance Services Branch managers

Indirect mapping — this occupation is linked to the ISCO unit group by a rule-based fallback.

Definition

ILO original text (English)

Financial and insurance services branch managers plan, direct, and coordinate the branches of institutions that provide financial and insurance services, such as banks, building societies, credit unions and insurance companies. They provide advice and assistance to clients on financial and insurance matters.

Definition & vocabulary source

Source: International Labour Organization (ILO) — ISCO-08 Structure

License: ILO CC BY 4.0

View original

Official occupational information

  • ONET11-3031.01

    Treasurers and Controllers

    Direct financial activities, such as planning, procurement, and investments for all or part of an organization.

    View original
  • ONET11-3031.03

    Investment Fund Managers

    Plan, direct, or coordinate investment strategy or operations for a large pool of liquid assets supplied by institutional investors or individual investors.

    View original

Source: O*NET 30.2, U.S. DOL/ETA

License: CC BY 4.0

View original

Frequently Asked Questions

The Anthropic Economic Index puts observed exposure at 39.1%. The OpenAI "GPTs are GPTs" rubric puts occupation-level β at 40.8% under human raters. Both figures are reproduced from published research without modification.

They come from two published datasets: the Anthropic Economic Index (labor_market_impacts, CC BY 4.0) and the OpenAI "GPTs are GPTs" exposure rubric (MIT License, Copyright (c) 2024 OpenAI). AI Changing Work maps them onto O*NET occupation and task codes and does not calculate exposure scores of its own. AI Changing Work uses Anthropic Economic Index data under CC-BY; Anthropic does not endorse or sponsor this site or its analyses.

No. They are a diagnosis of exposure as measured at the time each source dataset was published. AI Changing Work publishes no prediction of future automation or job displacement for this occupation.