Web Developers
Computer & MathematicalAI exposure
- Data source: BLSPublished: '26.08
Very high· relative
LowFour relative bandsVery highGroup-level value
Scale, basis and source
Four relative bands (Low / Moderate / High / Very high)
831 detailed occupations in the BLS Employment Projections table. Assigned per National Employment Matrix (NEM) code, so occupations sharing a NEM code carry the same band
- Data source: AnthropicPublished: '26.03
0.480
0.000Range of values carried here0.745Scale, basis and source
- Data source: ILOPublished: '25
0.60
0.09Range of values carried here0.70Group-level value
Scale, basis and source
Generative AI exposure index, 0–1 as published
ISCO-08 unit group — every occupation sharing the code gets this value
Computed by this site, not published by the ILO: of the 1,012 occupations this site links to the ILO dataset, 4% score at or above this value.
What kind of figure this source publishes
The BLS category is a relative rank, not an absolute level, and it is not a first-hand measurement: it groups an occupation's percentile ranks across several published studies into four bands. It is not an employment or wage forecast, not a probability of adoption, and it does not separate automation from augmentation.
Task-level exposure
Exposed tasks only| Task | Claude.aiRaw / share % | APIRaw / share % |
|---|---|---|
Design, build, or maintain Web sites, using authoring or scripting languages, content creation tools, management tools, and digital media.15-1134 | 1.983259.9 | 1.586757.6 |
Write supporting code for Web applications or Web sites.15-1134 | 0.465714.1 | 0.335312.2 |
Write, design, or edit Web page content, or direct others producing content.15-1134 | 0.394811.9 | 0.25959.4 |
Evaluate or recommend server hardware or software.15-1134 | 0.08522.6 | 0.02941.1 |
Develop Web site maps, application models, image templates, or page templates that meet project goals, user needs, or industry standards.15-1134 | 0.08122.5 | 0.05472.0 |
Develop or implement procedures for ongoing Web site revision.15-1134 | 0.07802.4 | 0.08693.2 |
Evaluate code to ensure that it is valid, is properly structured, meets industry standards, and is compatible with browsers, devices, or operating systems.15-1134 | 0.06071.8 | 0.305311.1 |
Maintain understanding of current Web technologies or programming practices through continuing education, reading, or participation in professional conferences, workshops, or groups.15-1134 | 0.04061.2 | 0.00550.2 |
Develop and document style guidelines for Web site content.15-1134 | 0.02440.7 | 0.01550.6 |
Provide clear, detailed descriptions of Web site specifications, such as product features, activities, software, communication protocols, programming languages, and operating systems software and hardware.15-1134 | 0.01850.6 | 0.00460.2 |
| Not observed on any surface — 16 task(s) — These tasks have no row in the source for this release. The 0 in the share row is a display-stage composition ratio; absence is what the — in the raw row states. | ||
Perform or direct Web site updates. | —0 | —0 |
Back up files from Web sites to local directories for instant recovery in case of problems. | —0 | —0 |
Identify problems uncovered by testing or customer feedback, and correct problems or refer problems to appropriate personnel for correction. | —0 | —0 |
Analyze user needs to determine technical requirements. | —0 | —0 |
Develop or validate test routines and schedules to ensure that test cases mimic external interfaces and address all browser and device types. | —0 | —0 |
Renew domain name registrations. | —0 | —0 |
Communicate with network personnel or Web site hosting agencies to address hardware or software issues affecting Web sites. | —0 | —0 |
Perform Web site tests according to planned schedules, or after any Web site or product revision. | —0 | —0 |
Incorporate technical considerations into Web site design plans, such as budgets, equipment, performance requirements, or legal issues including accessibility and privacy. | —0 | —0 |
Establish appropriate server directory trees. | —0 | —0 |
Recommend and implement performance improvements. | —0 | —0 |
Register Web sites with search engines to increase Web site traffic. | —0 | —0 |
Create web models or prototypes that include physical, interface, logical, or data models. | —0 | —0 |
Document test plans, testing procedures, or test results. | —0 | —0 |
Document technical factors such as server load, bandwidth, database performance, and browser and device types. | —0 | —0 |
Install and configure hypertext transfer protocol (HTTP) servers and associated operating systems. | —0 | —0 |
Values in this tab are predicted labels, not observations. Eloundou et al. (2023) published two rating regimes — human raters and GPT-4 — and the β shown here is derived from the GPT-4 rater basis alone; the same task can take a different value under the other regime. The unit and the meaning differ from the observed shares (%) in the other tabs, so do not place them on the same axis.
| Task | βE1 + 0.5 × E2 |
|---|---|
Design, build, or maintain Web sites, using authoring or scripting languages, content creation tools, management tools, and digital media.O*NET Task ID 14694 | 1.0 |
Perform or direct Web site updates.O*NET Task ID 14695 | 1.0 |
Back up files from Web sites to local directories for instant recovery in case of problems.O*NET Task ID 14698 | 1.0 |
Evaluate code to ensure that it is valid, is properly structured, meets industry standards, and is compatible with browsers, devices, or operating systems.O*NET Task ID 14700 | 1.0 |
Analyze user needs to determine technical requirements.O*NET Task ID 14702 | 1.0 |
Develop databases that support Web applications and Web sites.O*NET Task ID 14704 | 1.0 |
Renew domain name registrations.O*NET Task ID 14705 | 1.0 |
Write supporting code for Web applications or Web sites.O*NET Task ID 14707 | 1.0 |
Communicate with network personnel or Web site hosting agencies to address hardware or software issues affecting Web sites.O*NET Task ID 14708 | 1.0 |
Perform Web site tests according to planned schedules, or after any Web site or product revision.O*NET Task ID 14710 | 1.0 |
β = E1 + 0.5 × E2 · E1 = tasks where direct LLM access alone cuts time by at least 50%, E2 = tasks where software built on top of an LLM cuts time by at least 50%. Values take only 0 / 0.5 / 1.0.
Data sources & licenses — O*NET®, Anthropic Economic Index, Eloundou et al. (2023): see full notices on the Credits page
Occupation information
Recent Changes Affecting This Occupation
Mar 2026: Brookings freelance market study shows web developers less impacted than writers and designers by generative AI, likely due to iterative debugging and integration complexity in software projects.
[Source: Brookings Institution (Hui & Reshef, 2025)]Mar 2026: Web developers, part of SOC group 15, saw significant employment deterioration starting early 2022 — before ChatGPT. New graduate entry rates into AI-exposed occupations began declining in 2021, suggesting structural factors beyond generative AI.
[Source: Frank et al. (2026) arXiv:2601.02554]Mar 2026: Firm-level data reveals companies redirecting budgets from human contractors to AI tools, with outsourced development work in the direct impact zone.
[Source: Stevens (2026) arXiv]