Economistas

Ciências da Vida, Físicas e Sociais

Exposição à IA

Fonte dos dados: BLSPublicado: '26.08
Muito alto· relativa
BaixoQuatro faixas relativasMuito alto
Valor por grupo ocupacional
Escala, base e fonte
Quatro faixas relativas (Baixo / Moderado / Alto / Muito alto)
831 ocupações detalhadas da tabela de projeções de emprego do BLS. O valor é atribuído por código da National Employment Matrix (NEM), pelo que as ocupações que partilham um código NEM recebem a mesma banda
Conjunto de dados de origem (transferência XLSX)
Fonte dos dados: AnthropicPublicado: '26.03
0.242
0.000Intervalo dos valores aqui apresentados0.745
Escala, base e fonte
Índice de exposição observada, 0–1 tal como publicado
Mapeado sobre tarefas O*NET
Conjunto de dados de origem
Fonte dos dados: ILOPublicado: '25
0.55
0.09Intervalo dos valores aqui apresentados0.70
Valor por grupo ocupacional
Escala, base e fonte
Índice de exposição à IA generativa, 0–1 tal como publicado
Grupo de base CITP-08 — todas as ocupações com o mesmo código recebem este valor
Calculado por este site, não publicado pela OIT: das 1.012 ocupações que este site liga ao conjunto de dados da OIT, 12% atingem ou superam este valor.
Conjunto de dados de origem

Que tipo de valor esta fonte publica

A categoria de BLS é uma posição relativa, não um nível absoluto, e também não é uma medição de primeira mão: agrupa em quatro faixas as posições percentis da ocupação em vários estudos publicados. Não é uma previsão de emprego ou de salários, não é uma probabilidade de adoção e não distingue automação de aumento.

Task-level exposure

Apenas tarefas expostas

Task	Claude.aiRaw / share %	APIRaw / share %
Provide advice and consultation on economic relationships to businesses, public and private agencies, and other employers. 19-3011	0.134553.2	0.013419.9
Write technical documents or academic articles to communicate study results or economic forecasts. 19-3011	0.034513.7	0.008712.8
Study economic and statistical data in area of specialization, such as finance, labor, or agriculture. 19-3011	0.032012.7	0.019929.4
Compile, analyze, and report data to explain economic phenomena and forecast market trends, applying mathematical models and statistical techniques. 19-3011	0.025810.2	0.013119.4
Conduct research on economic issues and disseminate research findings through technical reports or scientific articles in journals. 19-3011	0.01315.2	0.00385.6
Formulate recommendations, policies, or plans to solve economic problems or to interpret markets. 19-3011	0.00542.1	0.00162.3
Supervise research projects and students' study projects. 19-3011	0.00381.5	—0
Develop economic models, forecasts, or scenarios to predict future economic and environmental outcomes. 19-3011	0.00341.4	0.007110.5
Not observed on any surface — 23 task(s) — These tasks have no row in the source for this release. The 0 in the share row is a display-stage composition ratio; absence is what the — in the raw row states.
Develop economic guidelines and standards and prepare points of view used in forecasting trends and formulating economic policy.	—0	—0
Testify at regulatory or legislative hearings concerning the estimated effects of changes in legislation or public policy and present recommendations based on cost-benefit analyses.	—0	—0
Forecast production and consumption of renewable resources and supply, consumption and depletion of non-renewable resources.	—0	—0
Teach theories, principles, and methods of economics.	—0	—0
Study the socioeconomic impacts of new public policies, such as proposed legislation, taxes, services, and regulations.	—0	—0
Provide litigation support, such as writing reports for expert testimony or testifying as an expert witness.	—0	—0
Prepare and deliver presentations to communicate economic and environmental study results, to present policy recommendations, or to raise awareness of environmental consequences.	—0	—0
Demonstrate or promote the economic benefits of sound environmental regulations.	—0	—0
Write social, legal, or economic impact statements to inform decision-makers for natural resource policies, standards, or programs.	—0	—0
Write research proposals and grant applications to obtain private or public funding for environmental and economic studies.	—0	—0
Examine the exhaustibility of natural resources or the long-term costs of environmental rehabilitation.	—0	—0
Develop systems for collecting, analyzing, and interpreting environmental and economic data.	—0	—0
Develop environmental research project plans, including information on budgets, goals, deliverables, timelines, and resource requirements.	—0	—0
Collect and analyze data to compare the environmental implications of economic policy or practice alternatives.	—0	—0
Perform complex, dynamic, and integrated mathematical modeling of ecological, environmental, or economic systems.	—0	—0
Conduct research to study the relationships among environmental problems and patterns of economic production and consumption.	—0	—0
Conduct research on economic and environmental topics, such as alternative fuel use, public and private land use, soil conservation, air and water pollution control, and endangered species protection.	—0	—0
Develop programs or policy recommendations to achieve environmental goals in cost-effective ways.	—0	—0
Assess the costs and benefits of various activities, policies, or regulations that affect the environment or natural resource stocks.	—0	—0
Develop programs or policy recommendations to promote sustainability and sustainable development.	—0	—0
Monitor or analyze market and environmental trends.	—0	—0
Interpret indicators to ascertain the overall health of an environment.	—0	—0
Identify and recommend environmentally-friendly business practices.	—0	—0

Values in this tab are predicted labels, not observations. Eloundou et al. (2023) published two rating regimes — human raters and GPT-4 — and the β shown here is derived from the GPT-4 rater basis alone; the same task can take a different value under the other regime. The unit and the meaning differ from the observed shares (%) in the other tabs, so do not place them on the same axis.

Task	βE1 + 0.5 × E2
Study economic and statistical data in area of specialization, such as finance, labor, or agriculture. O*NET Task ID 7536	0.5
Provide advice and consultation on economic relationships to businesses, public and private agencies, and other employers. O*NET Task ID 7537	0.5
Compile, analyze, and report data to explain economic phenomena and forecast market trends, applying mathematical models and statistical techniques. O*NET Task ID 7538	0.5
Formulate recommendations, policies, or plans to solve economic problems or to interpret markets. O*NET Task ID 7539	0.5
Develop economic guidelines and standards, and prepare points of view used in forecasting trends and formulating economic policy. O*NET Task ID 7540	0.5
Testify at regulatory or legislative hearings concerning the estimated effects of changes in legislation or public policy, and present recommendations based on cost-benefit analyses. O*NET Task ID 7541	0.5
Supervise research projects and students' study projects. O*NET Task ID 7542	0.5
Forecast production and consumption of renewable resources and supply, consumption, and depletion of non-renewable resources. O*NET Task ID 7543	0.5
Teach theories, principles, and methods of economics. O*NET Task ID 7544	0.5
Provide litigation support, such as writing reports for expert testimony or testifying as an expert witness. O*NET Task ID 20051	0.5
Study the socioeconomic impacts of new public policies, such as proposed legislation, taxes, services, and regulations. O*NET Task ID 20052	0.5
Conduct research on economic issues, and disseminate research findings through technical reports or scientific articles in journals. O*NET Task ID 20053	0.5
Explain economic impact of policies to the public. O*NET Task ID 21106	0.5
Ver mais 3 tarefas ▾Ver menos ▴

β = E1 + 0.5 × E2 · E1 = tasks where direct LLM access alone cuts time by at least 50%, E2 = tasks where software built on top of an LLM cuts time by at least 50%. Values take only 0 / 0.5 / 1.0.

Data sources & licenses — O*NET®, Anthropic Economic Index, Eloundou et al. (2023): see full notices on the Credits page

Occupation information

ILO

ILO occupational description

Economists

Economistas

Source: European Commission, DG EMPL — ESCO API 2026-08-08 (bridge v1.2.1)

License: CC BY 4.0 (EU Reuse Notice)

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Economists conduct research, monitor data, analyse information and prepare reports and plans to resolve economic and business problems and develop models to analyse, explain and forecast economic behaviour and patterns. They provide advice to business, interest groups and governments to formulate solutions to present or projected economic and business problems.

Tasks

(a) forecasting changes in the economic environment for short-term budgeting, long-term planning and investment evaluation;
(b) formulating recommendations, policies and plans for the economy, corporate strategies and investment, and undertaking feasibility studies for projects;
(c) monitoring economic data to assess the effectiveness, and advise on the appropriateness, of monetary and fiscal policies;
(d) forecasting production and consumption of specific products and services based on records of past production and consumption and general economic and industry-specific conditions;
(e) preparing forecasts of income and expenditure, interest rates and exchange rates;
(f) analysing factors that determine labour force participation, employment, wages, unemployment and other labour market outcomes;
(g) applying mathematical formulae and statistical techniques and apply to test economic theories and devise solutions to economic problems;
(h) compiling, analysing and interpreting economic data using economic theory and a variety of statistical and other techniques;
(i) evaluating the outcome of political decisions concerning public economy and finances and advising on economic policy and possible courses of action in the light of past, present and projected economic factors and trends;
(j) preparing scholarly papers and reports;
(k) examining problems related to the economic activities of individual companies;
(l) conducting research on market conditions in local, regional or national areas to set sales and pricing levels for goods and services, to assess market potential and future trends and to develop business strategies.

Example occupations

Econometrician · Economic adviser · Economic analyst · Economist · Labour economist

ISCO-08 2631

Sources: ILO ISCO-08 (CC BY 4.0) — details: Credits

ESCO occupational vocabulary

Investigador em economia empresarial/Investigadora em economia empresarialESCO 2631.1.1
Os investigadores em economia empresarial realizam investigações sobre temas relacionados com a economia, as organizações e a estratégia. Analisam as tendências macroeconómicas e microeconómicas e utilizam estas informações para analisar as posições das indústrias ou de empresas específicas na economia. Prestam aconselhamento em matéria de planeamento estratégico, viabilidade dos produtos, tendências previstas, mercados emergentes, políticas de tributação e tendências dos consumidores.
Especialista em política económicaESCO 2412.3
Os especialistas em política económica desenvolvem estratégias económicas. Monitorizam aspetos económicos como a competitividade, a inovação e o comércio. Os especialistas em política económica contribuem para o desenvolvimento de políticas, projetos e programas económicos. Investigam, analisam e avaliam os problemas de ordem pública e recomendam ações adequadas.
Consultor económico/Consultora económicaESCO 2631.1.2
Os consultores económicos investigam as evoluções da economia e prestam aconselhamento sobre problemas económicos. Preveem tendências e comportamentos no domínio da economia e prestam aconselhamento sobre assuntos financeiros, comerciais, fiscais e outros assuntos conexos. Aconselham as empresas e as organizações em matéria de técnicas de obtenção de lucro económico.
EconomistaESCO 2631.1
Os economistas realizam atividades de investigação e desenvolvem teorias no domínio da economia, para efeitos de análise microeconómica ou macroeconómica. Estudam as tendências, analisam os dados estatísticos e, em certa medida, trabalham com modelos económicos matemáticos a fim de prestarem aconselhamento a empresas, governos e instituições conexas. Prestam aconselhamento sobre a viabilidade dos produtos, as previsões de tendências, os mercados emergentes, as políticas fiscais e as tendências dos consumidores.
Coordenador de desenvolvimento económico/Coordenadora de desenvolvimento económicoESCO 2631.1.3
Os coordenadores de desenvolvimento económico definem e aplicam políticas destinadas a melhorar o crescimento e a estabilidade económicos de uma comunidade, de um governo ou de uma instituição. Investigam as tendências económicas e coordenam a cooperação entre as instituições que trabalham na área do desenvolvimento económico. Analisam os potenciais riscos e conflitos económicos e desenvolvem planos para a sua resolução. Os coordenadores de desenvolvimento económico prestam aconselhamento sobre a sustentabilidade económica e o crescimento económico das instituições.
Analista de política fiscalESCO 2631.1.4
Os analistas de política fiscal investigam e desenvolvem políticas e legislação em matéria de fiscalidade, tendo em vista a melhoria e o desenvolvimento de políticas fiscais. Prestam aconselhamento a organismos oficiais sobre a aplicação de políticas e as operações financeiras, além de preverem a influência financeira das alterações nas políticas fiscais.

Source: European Commission, DG EMPL — ESCO API 2026-08-08 (bridge v1.2.1)

License: CC BY 4.0 (EU Reuse Notice)

View original

ESCO reuse terms and the modification notice are in Credits.

Alterações recentes que afetam esta ocupação

mar. de 2026: New blog post: economists face 60% exposure, 36% risk.

[Fonte: ACW Blog]