Computer Programmers

Computer & Mathematical

AI exposure

  • Data source: BLSPublished: '26.08

    Very high· relative

    LowFour relative bandsVery high

    Group-level value

    Scale, basis and source

    Four relative bands (Low / Moderate / High / Very high)

    831 detailed occupations in the BLS Employment Projections table. Assigned per National Employment Matrix (NEM) code, so occupations sharing a NEM code carry the same band

    Source dataset (XLSX download)

  • Data source: AnthropicPublished: '26.03

    0.745

    0.000Range of values carried here0.745
    Scale, basis and source

    Observed exposure index, 0–1 as published

    Mapped onto O*NET tasks

    Source dataset

  • Data source: ILOPublished: '25

    0.57

    0.09Range of values carried here0.70

    Group-level value

    Scale, basis and source

    Generative AI exposure index, 0–1 as published

    ISCO-08 unit group — every occupation sharing the code gets this value

    Computed by this site, not published by the ILO: of the 1,012 occupations this site links to the ILO dataset, 7% score at or above this value.

    Source dataset

What kind of figure this source publishes

The BLS category is a relative rank, not an absolute level, and it is not a first-hand measurement: it groups an occupation's percentile ranks across several published studies into four bands. It is not an employment or wage forecast, not a probability of adoption, and it does not separate automation from augmentation.

Task-level exposure

Exposed tasks only
TaskClaude.aiRaw / share %APIRaw / share %
Write, update, and maintain computer programs or software packages to handle specific jobs such as tracking inventory, storing or retrieving data, or controlling other equipment.

15-1131

1.170535.20.975424.9
Correct errors by making appropriate changes and rechecking the program to ensure that the desired results are produced.

15-1131

0.887026.60.495912.7
Compile and write documentation of program development and subsequent revisions, inserting comments in the coded instructions so others can understand the program.

15-1131

0.759722.81.145729.3
Write, analyze, review, and rewrite programs, using workflow chart and diagram, and applying knowledge of computer capabilities, subject matter, and symbolic logic.

15-1131

0.26127.80.630116.1
Prepare detailed workflow charts and diagrams that describe input, output, and logical operation, and convert them into a series of instructions coded in a computer language.

15-1131

0.08152.40.05931.5
Consult with and assist computer operators or system analysts to define and resolve problems in running computer programs.

15-1131

0.07882.40.04741.2
Perform or direct revision, repair, or expansion of existing programs to increase operating efficiency or adapt to new requirements.

15-1131

0.07292.20.457711.7
Investigate whether networks, workstations, the central processing unit of the system, or peripheral equipment are responding to a program's instructions.

15-1131

0.00700.20.08002.0
Collaborate with computer manufacturers and other users to develop new programming methods.

15-1131

0.00650.20
Write or contribute to instructions or manuals to guide end users.

15-1131

0.00360.10.00170.0
Not observed on any surface — 3 task(s) These tasks have no row in the source for this release. The 0 in the share row is a display-stage composition ratio; absence is what the — in the raw row states.
Conduct trial runs of programs and software applications to be sure they will produce the desired information and that the instructions are correct.
00
Consult with managerial, engineering, and technical personnel to clarify program intent, identify problems, and suggest changes.
00
Train subordinates in programming and program coding.
00

Data sources & licenses — O*NET®, Anthropic Economic Index, Eloundou et al. (2023): see full notices on the Credits page

Occupation information

Recent Changes Affecting This Occupation

May 2026: Anthropic observed-exposure score: 75% (highest in dataset). Highest in dataset (75%). Computer & Math category overall sits at 33% observed vs 90% theoretical.

[Source: Anthropic Economic Research (Massenkoff & McCrory, 2026)]

Apr 2026: BOK research identifies codified, textbook-style knowledge work as most AI-vulnerable. Korean youth employment in AI-exposed coding/programming roles shows paradoxical growth (+1.2pp) but collapsing new-hire rates.

[Source: Bank of Korea Employment Research (2025)]

Mar 2026: Dallas Fed: Computer systems design sector shows employment decline of 5% alongside 16.7% wage growth, suggesting AI automates routine coding while rewarding complex problem-solving.

[Source: Dallas Fed (Feb 2026)]